Netflix shares closed near $78.25 on September 4 after a sharp intraday decline, trading well below the 52-week high of $126.71 amid decelerating revenue growth. Q2 results showed 13.4% top-line expansion to $12.56 billion with an EPS beat, yet management narrowed full-year 2026 revenue guidance to $51.0–51.4 billion and highlighted softer Q3 momentum at 11.7% growth. Record $4.7 billion in quarterly buybacks and advertising revenue doubling toward $3 billion provide support, but elevated Treasury yields and competitive pressures have weighed on valuation multiples. With the next earnings release not until October 20 and no major near-term catalysts, trader positioning favors the $70–$80 bucket while assigning elevated implied odds to distant higher ranges that would require a sharp reversal.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$110-$120 83%
$80-$90 45%
$70-$80 43%
$60-$70 36%
<$30
1%
$30-$40
17%
$40-$50
1%
$50-$60
8%
$60-$70
36%
$70-$80
43%
$80-$90
45%
$90-$100
16%
$100-$110
7%
$110-$120
83%
>$120
1%
$110-$120 83%
$80-$90 45%
$70-$80 43%
$60-$70 36%
<$30
1%
$30-$40
17%
$40-$50
1%
$50-$60
8%
$60-$70
36%
$70-$80
43%
$80-$90
45%
$90-$100
16%
$100-$110
7%
$110-$120
83%
>$120
1%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If the relevant session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of that shortened session will be used.
If the relevant day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle for Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.NFLX%2FUSD.
Market Opened: Sep 4, 2026, 6:00 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.NFLX%2FUSDResolver
0x69c47De9D...If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If the relevant session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of that shortened session will be used.
If the relevant day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle for Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.NFLX%2FUSD.
Resolution Source
https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.NFLX%2FUSDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Netflix shares closed near $78.25 on September 4 after a sharp intraday decline, trading well below the 52-week high of $126.71 amid decelerating revenue growth. Q2 results showed 13.4% top-line expansion to $12.56 billion with an EPS beat, yet management narrowed full-year 2026 revenue guidance to $51.0–51.4 billion and highlighted softer Q3 momentum at 11.7% growth. Record $4.7 billion in quarterly buybacks and advertising revenue doubling toward $3 billion provide support, but elevated Treasury yields and competitive pressures have weighed on valuation multiples. With the next earnings release not until October 20 and no major near-term catalysts, trader positioning favors the $70–$80 bucket while assigning elevated implied odds to distant higher ranges that would require a sharp reversal.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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