Recent indirect messaging between Washington and Tehran continues amid a standoff over Strait of Hormuz transit rules, sanctions relief, and compliance with the June 2026 Islamabad Memorandum of Understanding, which set a 60-day window for broader talks now expired. Iran is advancing technical arrangements with Oman on maritime access while denying formal bilateral negotiations, and U.S. officials describe ongoing or “semi-negotiating” contacts through intermediaries. No direct high-level round has occurred since earlier technical sessions in Doha and Switzerland, with progress slowed by Iranian internal factional debates and U.S. naval posture. Any new round by August 31 would likely require rapid mediation breakthroughs on Hormuz and de-escalation guarantees before scheduled diplomatic calendars close.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$88,819 Vol.
Aug 31, 2026
Mohammed bin Abdulrahman Al Thani
37%
Rafael Grossi
17%
Badr bin Hamad Al Busaidi
10%
Kazem Gharibabadi
13%
Majid Takht-Ravanchi
11%
Steve Witkoff
11%
Abbas Araghchi
11%
Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf
11%
Ishaq Dar
11%
Jared Kushner
10%
J.D. Vance
6%
Pete Hegseth
4%
Masoud Pezeshkian
4%
Marco Rubio
4%
Esmail Qaani
3%
Donald Trump
2%
Mojtaba Khamenei
2%
Ahmad Vahidi
1%
Nick Stewart
48%
$88,819 Vol.
Mohammed bin Abdulrahman Al Thani
$253 Vol.
37%
Rafael Grossi
$881 Vol.
17%
Badr bin Hamad Al Busaidi
$1,730 Vol.
10%
Kazem Gharibabadi
$1,296 Vol.
13%
Majid Takht-Ravanchi
$2,854 Vol.
11%
Steve Witkoff
$12,535 Vol.
11%
Abbas Araghchi
$8,570 Vol.
11%
Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf
$11,223 Vol.
11%
Ishaq Dar
$2,602 Vol.
11%
Jared Kushner
$13,236 Vol.
10%
J.D. Vance
$10,339 Vol.
6%
Pete Hegseth
$2,568 Vol.
4%
Masoud Pezeshkian
$1,719 Vol.
4%
Marco Rubio
$7,551 Vol.
4%
Esmail Qaani
$389 Vol.
3%
Donald Trump
$6,184 Vol.
2%
Mojtaba Khamenei
$317 Vol.
2%
Ahmad Vahidi
$4,561 Vol.
1%
Nick Stewart
$11 Vol.
48%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual attends any formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran between market creation and August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying round must be a deliberate in-person diplomatic meeting or negotiating round concerning US-Iran relations, involving senior representatives of both the United States and Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to conduct or materially direct diplomacy on behalf of their governments.
Indirect in-person diplomacy through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors will qualify, provided senior representatives of both the United States and Iran are participating in the same formal diplomatic process with the knowledge and authorization of their respective governments. The representatives need not be in the same room at the same time.
Follow-on technical talks from the June 22 Switzerland round will not qualify by themselves. Technical, staff-level, working-group, implementation, monitoring, preparatory, or deconfliction meetings will not qualify unless they occur as part of a new formally convened senior-level U.S.-Iran peace-talks round.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, photo opportunities, ceremonial appearances, or talks not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating.
If a formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Recent indirect messaging between Washington and Tehran continues amid a standoff over Strait of Hormuz transit rules, sanctions relief, and compliance with the June 2026 Islamabad Memorandum of Understanding, which set a 60-day window for broader talks now expired. Iran is advancing technical arrangements with Oman on maritime access while denying formal bilateral negotiations, and U.S. officials describe ongoing or “semi-negotiating” contacts through intermediaries. No direct high-level round has occurred since earlier technical sessions in Doha and Switzerland, with progress slowed by Iranian internal factional debates and U.S. naval posture. Any new round by August 31 would likely require rapid mediation breakthroughs on Hormuz and de-escalation guarantees before scheduled diplomatic calendars close.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual attends any formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran between market creation and August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying round must be a deliberate in-person diplomatic meeting or negotiating round concerning US-Iran relations, involving senior representatives of both the United States and Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to conduct or materially direct diplomacy on behalf of their governments.
Indirect in-person diplomacy through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors will qualify, provided senior representatives of both the United States and Iran are participating in the same formal diplomatic process with the knowledge and authorization of their respective governments. The representatives need not be in the same room at the same time.
Follow-on technical talks from the June 22 Switzerland round will not qualify by themselves. Technical, staff-level, working-group, implementation, monitoring, preparatory, or deconfliction meetings will not qualify unless they occur as part of a new formally convened senior-level U.S.-Iran peace-talks round.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, photo opportunities, ceremonial appearances, or talks not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating.
If a formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
A qualifying round must be a deliberate in-person diplomatic meeting or negotiating round concerning US-Iran relations, involving senior representatives of both the United States and Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to conduct or materially direct diplomacy on behalf of their governments.
Indirect in-person diplomacy through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors will qualify, provided senior representatives of both the United States and Iran are participating in the same formal diplomatic process with the knowledge and authorization of their respective governments. The representatives need not be in the same room at the same time.
Follow-on technical talks from the June 22 Switzerland round will not qualify by themselves. Technical, staff-level, working-group, implementation, monitoring, preparatory, or deconfliction meetings will not qualify unless they occur as part of a new formally convened senior-level U.S.-Iran peace-talks round.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, photo opportunities, ceremonial appearances, or talks not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating.
If a formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Market Opened: Jun 30, 2026, 2:30 PM ET
Volume
$88,819End Date
Aug 31, 2026Market Opened
Jun 30, 2026, 2:30 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual attends any formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran between market creation and August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying round must be a deliberate in-person diplomatic meeting or negotiating round concerning US-Iran relations, involving senior representatives of both the United States and Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to conduct or materially direct diplomacy on behalf of their governments.
Indirect in-person diplomacy through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors will qualify, provided senior representatives of both the United States and Iran are participating in the same formal diplomatic process with the knowledge and authorization of their respective governments. The representatives need not be in the same room at the same time.
Follow-on technical talks from the June 22 Switzerland round will not qualify by themselves. Technical, staff-level, working-group, implementation, monitoring, preparatory, or deconfliction meetings will not qualify unless they occur as part of a new formally convened senior-level U.S.-Iran peace-talks round.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, photo opportunities, ceremonial appearances, or talks not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating.
If a formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Recent indirect messaging between Washington and Tehran continues amid a standoff over Strait of Hormuz transit rules, sanctions relief, and compliance with the June 2026 Islamabad Memorandum of Understanding, which set a 60-day window for broader talks now expired. Iran is advancing technical arrangements with Oman on maritime access while denying formal bilateral negotiations, and U.S. officials describe ongoing or “semi-negotiating” contacts through intermediaries. No direct high-level round has occurred since earlier technical sessions in Doha and Switzerland, with progress slowed by Iranian internal factional debates and U.S. naval posture. Any new round by August 31 would likely require rapid mediation breakthroughs on Hormuz and de-escalation guarantees before scheduled diplomatic calendars close.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual attends any formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran between market creation and August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying round must be a deliberate in-person diplomatic meeting or negotiating round concerning US-Iran relations, involving senior representatives of both the United States and Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to conduct or materially direct diplomacy on behalf of their governments.
Indirect in-person diplomacy through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors will qualify, provided senior representatives of both the United States and Iran are participating in the same formal diplomatic process with the knowledge and authorization of their respective governments. The representatives need not be in the same room at the same time.
Follow-on technical talks from the June 22 Switzerland round will not qualify by themselves. Technical, staff-level, working-group, implementation, monitoring, preparatory, or deconfliction meetings will not qualify unless they occur as part of a new formally convened senior-level U.S.-Iran peace-talks round.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, photo opportunities, ceremonial appearances, or talks not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating.
If a formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
A qualifying round must be a deliberate in-person diplomatic meeting or negotiating round concerning US-Iran relations, involving senior representatives of both the United States and Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to conduct or materially direct diplomacy on behalf of their governments.
Indirect in-person diplomacy through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors will qualify, provided senior representatives of both the United States and Iran are participating in the same formal diplomatic process with the knowledge and authorization of their respective governments. The representatives need not be in the same room at the same time.
Follow-on technical talks from the June 22 Switzerland round will not qualify by themselves. Technical, staff-level, working-group, implementation, monitoring, preparatory, or deconfliction meetings will not qualify unless they occur as part of a new formally convened senior-level U.S.-Iran peace-talks round.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, photo opportunities, ceremonial appearances, or talks not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating.
If a formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$88,819End Date
Aug 31, 2026Market Opened
Jun 30, 2026, 2:30 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent indirect messaging between Washington and Tehran continues amid a standoff over Strait of Hormuz transit rules, sanctions relief, and compliance with the June 2026 Islamabad Memorandum of Understanding, which set a 60-day window for broader talks now expired. Iran is advancing technical arrangements with Oman on maritime access while denying formal bilateral negotiations, and U.S. officials describe ongoing or “semi-negotiating” contacts through intermediaries. No direct high-level round has occurred since earlier technical sessions in Doha and Switzerland, with progress slowed by Iranian internal factional debates and U.S. naval posture. Any new round by August 31 would likely require rapid mediation breakthroughs on Hormuz and de-escalation guarantees before scheduled diplomatic calendars close.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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