US-Iran diplomacy centers on indirect technical talks and mediator channels following the June 2026 Islamabad Memorandum of Understanding, which set a 60-day window for addressing the Strait of Hormuz, sanctions relief, and nuclear issues after earlier ceasefires and strikes. In early August, President Trump stated that negotiations were underway or imminent as a "last chance," while Iranian officials denied formal bilateral sessions and pointed instead to separate Oman-mediated discussions on maritime access. Recent pauses in military exchanges and involvement of Qatari and Pakistani intermediaries have sustained low-level momentum, though persistent denials and focus on implementation details create uncertainty around attendance at any direct round before the August 31 cutoff.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$87,006 Vol.
Aug 31, 2026
Nick Stewart
48%
Mohammed bin Abdulrahman Al Thani
30%
Majid Takht-Ravanchi
12%
Steve Witkoff
12%
Jared Kushner
12%
Abbas Araghchi
12%
Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf
12%
Kazem Gharibabadi
19%
Ishaq Dar
11%
Badr bin Hamad Al Busaidi
10%
J.D. Vance
10%
Rafael Grossi
17%
Masoud Pezeshkian
4%
Pete Hegseth
3%
Donald Trump
3%
Marco Rubio
3%
Esmail Qaani
2%
Mojtaba Khamenei
1%
Ahmad Vahidi
1%
$87,006 Vol.
Nick Stewart
$10 Vol.
48%
Mohammed bin Abdulrahman Al Thani
$208 Vol.
30%
Majid Takht-Ravanchi
$2,626 Vol.
12%
Steve Witkoff
$12,414 Vol.
12%
Jared Kushner
$13,222 Vol.
12%
Abbas Araghchi
$8,554 Vol.
12%
Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf
$11,208 Vol.
12%
Kazem Gharibabadi
$1,190 Vol.
19%
Ishaq Dar
$2,595 Vol.
11%
Badr bin Hamad Al Busaidi
$1,725 Vol.
10%
J.D. Vance
$9,359 Vol.
10%
Rafael Grossi
$878 Vol.
17%
Masoud Pezeshkian
$1,702 Vol.
4%
Pete Hegseth
$2,551 Vol.
3%
Donald Trump
$6,087 Vol.
3%
Marco Rubio
$7,533 Vol.
3%
Esmail Qaani
$380 Vol.
2%
Mojtaba Khamenei
$296 Vol.
1%
Ahmad Vahidi
$4,466 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual attends any formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran between market creation and August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying round must be a deliberate in-person diplomatic meeting or negotiating round concerning US-Iran relations, involving senior representatives of both the United States and Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to conduct or materially direct diplomacy on behalf of their governments.
Indirect in-person diplomacy through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors will qualify, provided senior representatives of both the United States and Iran are participating in the same formal diplomatic process with the knowledge and authorization of their respective governments. The representatives need not be in the same room at the same time.
Follow-on technical talks from the June 22 Switzerland round will not qualify by themselves. Technical, staff-level, working-group, implementation, monitoring, preparatory, or deconfliction meetings will not qualify unless they occur as part of a new formally convened senior-level U.S.-Iran peace-talks round.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, photo opportunities, ceremonial appearances, or talks not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating.
If a formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.US-Iran diplomacy centers on indirect technical talks and mediator channels following the June 2026 Islamabad Memorandum of Understanding, which set a 60-day window for addressing the Strait of Hormuz, sanctions relief, and nuclear issues after earlier ceasefires and strikes. In early August, President Trump stated that negotiations were underway or imminent as a "last chance," while Iranian officials denied formal bilateral sessions and pointed instead to separate Oman-mediated discussions on maritime access. Recent pauses in military exchanges and involvement of Qatari and Pakistani intermediaries have sustained low-level momentum, though persistent denials and focus on implementation details create uncertainty around attendance at any direct round before the August 31 cutoff.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual attends any formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran between market creation and August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying round must be a deliberate in-person diplomatic meeting or negotiating round concerning US-Iran relations, involving senior representatives of both the United States and Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to conduct or materially direct diplomacy on behalf of their governments.
Indirect in-person diplomacy through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors will qualify, provided senior representatives of both the United States and Iran are participating in the same formal diplomatic process with the knowledge and authorization of their respective governments. The representatives need not be in the same room at the same time.
Follow-on technical talks from the June 22 Switzerland round will not qualify by themselves. Technical, staff-level, working-group, implementation, monitoring, preparatory, or deconfliction meetings will not qualify unless they occur as part of a new formally convened senior-level U.S.-Iran peace-talks round.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, photo opportunities, ceremonial appearances, or talks not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating.
If a formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
A qualifying round must be a deliberate in-person diplomatic meeting or negotiating round concerning US-Iran relations, involving senior representatives of both the United States and Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to conduct or materially direct diplomacy on behalf of their governments.
Indirect in-person diplomacy through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors will qualify, provided senior representatives of both the United States and Iran are participating in the same formal diplomatic process with the knowledge and authorization of their respective governments. The representatives need not be in the same room at the same time.
Follow-on technical talks from the June 22 Switzerland round will not qualify by themselves. Technical, staff-level, working-group, implementation, monitoring, preparatory, or deconfliction meetings will not qualify unless they occur as part of a new formally convened senior-level U.S.-Iran peace-talks round.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, photo opportunities, ceremonial appearances, or talks not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating.
If a formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Market Opened: Jun 24, 2026, 3:04 PM ET
Volume
$87,006End Date
Aug 31, 2026Market Opened
Jun 24, 2026, 3:04 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual attends any formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran between market creation and August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying round must be a deliberate in-person diplomatic meeting or negotiating round concerning US-Iran relations, involving senior representatives of both the United States and Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to conduct or materially direct diplomacy on behalf of their governments.
Indirect in-person diplomacy through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors will qualify, provided senior representatives of both the United States and Iran are participating in the same formal diplomatic process with the knowledge and authorization of their respective governments. The representatives need not be in the same room at the same time.
Follow-on technical talks from the June 22 Switzerland round will not qualify by themselves. Technical, staff-level, working-group, implementation, monitoring, preparatory, or deconfliction meetings will not qualify unless they occur as part of a new formally convened senior-level U.S.-Iran peace-talks round.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, photo opportunities, ceremonial appearances, or talks not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating.
If a formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.US-Iran diplomacy centers on indirect technical talks and mediator channels following the June 2026 Islamabad Memorandum of Understanding, which set a 60-day window for addressing the Strait of Hormuz, sanctions relief, and nuclear issues after earlier ceasefires and strikes. In early August, President Trump stated that negotiations were underway or imminent as a "last chance," while Iranian officials denied formal bilateral sessions and pointed instead to separate Oman-mediated discussions on maritime access. Recent pauses in military exchanges and involvement of Qatari and Pakistani intermediaries have sustained low-level momentum, though persistent denials and focus on implementation details create uncertainty around attendance at any direct round before the August 31 cutoff.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual attends any formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran between market creation and August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying round must be a deliberate in-person diplomatic meeting or negotiating round concerning US-Iran relations, involving senior representatives of both the United States and Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to conduct or materially direct diplomacy on behalf of their governments.
Indirect in-person diplomacy through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors will qualify, provided senior representatives of both the United States and Iran are participating in the same formal diplomatic process with the knowledge and authorization of their respective governments. The representatives need not be in the same room at the same time.
Follow-on technical talks from the June 22 Switzerland round will not qualify by themselves. Technical, staff-level, working-group, implementation, monitoring, preparatory, or deconfliction meetings will not qualify unless they occur as part of a new formally convened senior-level U.S.-Iran peace-talks round.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, photo opportunities, ceremonial appearances, or talks not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating.
If a formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
A qualifying round must be a deliberate in-person diplomatic meeting or negotiating round concerning US-Iran relations, involving senior representatives of both the United States and Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to conduct or materially direct diplomacy on behalf of their governments.
Indirect in-person diplomacy through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors will qualify, provided senior representatives of both the United States and Iran are participating in the same formal diplomatic process with the knowledge and authorization of their respective governments. The representatives need not be in the same room at the same time.
Follow-on technical talks from the June 22 Switzerland round will not qualify by themselves. Technical, staff-level, working-group, implementation, monitoring, preparatory, or deconfliction meetings will not qualify unless they occur as part of a new formally convened senior-level U.S.-Iran peace-talks round.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, photo opportunities, ceremonial appearances, or talks not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating.
If a formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$87,006End Date
Aug 31, 2026Market Opened
Jun 24, 2026, 3:04 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...US-Iran diplomacy centers on indirect technical talks and mediator channels following the June 2026 Islamabad Memorandum of Understanding, which set a 60-day window for addressing the Strait of Hormuz, sanctions relief, and nuclear issues after earlier ceasefires and strikes. In early August, President Trump stated that negotiations were underway or imminent as a "last chance," while Iranian officials denied formal bilateral sessions and pointed instead to separate Oman-mediated discussions on maritime access. Recent pauses in military exchanges and involvement of Qatari and Pakistani intermediaries have sustained low-level momentum, though persistent denials and focus on implementation details create uncertainty around attendance at any direct round before the August 31 cutoff.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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