Recent datamining on Dota 2 test servers has placed candidates like Arjun (chariot-themed abilities) and Bartfrog into the hero pool speculation ahead of TI 2026 in Shanghai, yet Valve has issued no official patch notes or reveal confirming a launch during the main event or qualifiers. This uncertainty drives the tight trader consensus, with "no hero" edging at 54.5% implied probability while several named options and "other" cluster near 50%, reflecting ongoing debates over Valve's typical release cadence, last-minute balance changes, and historical patterns of surprise announcements at The International. Competitive dynamics hinge on whether roster expansions materialize before the bracket concludes or remain deferred to future updates.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updatedno hero 55%
Arjun 35%
Any different hero 11%
$10,934 Vol.
$10,934 Vol.
no hero
55%
Arjun
35%
Any different hero
11%
no hero 55%
Arjun 35%
Any different hero 11%
$10,934 Vol.
$10,934 Vol.
no hero
55%
Arjun
35%
Any different hero
11%
If Valve announces more than one new hero, this market will resolve to "Other".
If The International 2026 is canceled or postponed beyond September 6, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Valve Corporation via official Dota 2 channels; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Aug 6, 2026, 11:33 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If Valve announces more than one new hero, this market will resolve to "Other".
If The International 2026 is canceled or postponed beyond September 6, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Valve Corporation via official Dota 2 channels; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent datamining on Dota 2 test servers has placed candidates like Arjun (chariot-themed abilities) and Bartfrog into the hero pool speculation ahead of TI 2026 in Shanghai, yet Valve has issued no official patch notes or reveal confirming a launch during the main event or qualifiers. This uncertainty drives the tight trader consensus, with "no hero" edging at 54.5% implied probability while several named options and "other" cluster near 50%, reflecting ongoing debates over Valve's typical release cadence, last-minute balance changes, and historical patterns of surprise announcements at The International. Competitive dynamics hinge on whether roster expansions materialize before the bracket concludes or remain deferred to future updates.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated



Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions