Hoodwink leads the market at 59.5% implied probability due to its standout performance in TI 2026 regional qualifiers, where it recorded the highest total picks across maps and emerged as the top soft support. In the prevailing patch 7.41 meta, the hero's mobility, utility, and flexibility in drafts have made it a staple for pro teams, particularly in position 4 roles, aligning with recent form from squads like Team Vision. Bane follows at 35% on the strength of consistent qualifier appearances and hard support reliability, while mid-tier options such as Shadow Fiend, Io, and Earth Spirit reflect their contested status in high-level play and historical TI trends. Trader consensus views these probabilities as reflecting qualifier data and current patch priorities rather than guarantees, with the wide field of 50% outcomes underscoring uncertainty around full main-event drafts.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedBane 69%
Earth Spirit 59%
Hoodwink 50.0%
Lion 49%
Bane
69%
Earth Spirit
59%
Hoodwink
60%
Lion
49%
Mirana
48%
Windranger
46%
Naga Siren
46%
Magnus
46%
Abaddon
46%
Lifestealer
44%
Brewmaster
44%
Ogre Magi
44%
Medusa
44%
Tiny
42%
Sven
41%
Silencer
41%
Invoker
41%
Shadow Demon
41%
Arc Warden
41%
Enigma
40%
Bristleback
40%
Mars
26%
Muerta
26%
Pangolier
26%
Broodmother
26%
Kez
26%
Dazzle
26%
Keeper of the Light
26%
Lina
25%
Sand King
25%
Marci
25%
Grimstroke
25%
Anti-Mage
25%
Chaos Knight
25%
Storm Spirit
25%
Riki
25%
Morphling
24%
Primal Beast
24%
Axe
24%
Puck
24%
Treant Protector
22%
Elder Titan
21%
Ringmaster
5%
Drow Ranger
25%
Dark Seer
25%
Snapfire
2%
Razor
25%
Tidehunter
1%
Zeus
25%
Slardar
24%
Faceless Void
1%
Viper
1%
Venomancer
1%
Clockwerk
21%
Nature's Prophet
1%
Beastmaster
1%
Pugna
1%
Enchantress
1%
Leshrac
1%
Ancient Apparition
1%
Spectre
1%
Doom
1%
Juggernaut
25%
Bloodseeker
25%
Kunkka
1%
Wraith King
1%
Batrider
24%
Dragon Knight
1%
Death Prophet
1%
Ursa
1%
Bounty Hunter
1%
Spirit Breaker
1%
Phantom Lancer
1%
Gyrocopter
1%
Phantom Assassin
1%
Rubick
25%
Luna
1%
Largo
24%
Undying
1%
Templar Assassin
1%
Nyx Assassin
1%
Timbersaw
1%
Tusk
22%
Ember Spirit
1%
Legion Commander
1%
Phoenix
1%
Terrorblade
1%
Techies
1%
Oracle
1%
Winter Wyvern
1%
Monkey King
1%
Void Spirit
1%
Dawnbreaker
1%
Shadow Fiend
-
Io
32%
Centaur Warrunner
-
Dark Willow
-
Bane 69%
Earth Spirit 59%
Hoodwink 50.0%
Lion 49%
Bane
69%
Earth Spirit
59%
Hoodwink
60%
Lion
49%
Mirana
48%
Windranger
46%
Naga Siren
46%
Magnus
46%
Abaddon
46%
Lifestealer
44%
Brewmaster
44%
Ogre Magi
44%
Medusa
44%
Tiny
42%
Sven
41%
Silencer
41%
Invoker
41%
Shadow Demon
41%
Arc Warden
41%
Enigma
40%
Bristleback
40%
Mars
26%
Muerta
26%
Pangolier
26%
Broodmother
26%
Kez
26%
Dazzle
26%
Keeper of the Light
26%
Lina
25%
Sand King
25%
Marci
25%
Grimstroke
25%
Anti-Mage
25%
Chaos Knight
25%
Storm Spirit
25%
Riki
25%
Morphling
24%
Primal Beast
24%
Axe
24%
Puck
24%
Treant Protector
22%
Elder Titan
21%
Ringmaster
5%
Drow Ranger
25%
Dark Seer
25%
Snapfire
2%
Razor
25%
Tidehunter
1%
Zeus
25%
Slardar
24%
Faceless Void
1%
Viper
1%
Venomancer
1%
Clockwerk
21%
Nature's Prophet
1%
Beastmaster
1%
Pugna
1%
Enchantress
1%
Leshrac
1%
Ancient Apparition
1%
Spectre
1%
Doom
1%
Juggernaut
25%
Bloodseeker
25%
Kunkka
1%
Wraith King
1%
Batrider
24%
Dragon Knight
1%
Death Prophet
1%
Ursa
1%
Bounty Hunter
1%
Spirit Breaker
1%
Phantom Lancer
1%
Gyrocopter
1%
Phantom Assassin
1%
Rubick
25%
Luna
1%
Largo
24%
Undying
1%
Templar Assassin
1%
Nyx Assassin
1%
Timbersaw
1%
Tusk
22%
Ember Spirit
1%
Legion Commander
1%
Phoenix
1%
Terrorblade
1%
Techies
1%
Oracle
1%
Winter Wyvern
1%
Monkey King
1%
Void Spirit
1%
Dawnbreaker
1%
Shadow Fiend
-
Io
32%
Centaur Warrunner
-
Dark Willow
-
Only completed games will be considered for the purposes of this market, including forfeits in games that start.
In the case of a tie, this market will resolve to the hero with the higher win percentage. In case a tie persists, this market will resolve to the hero with higher ban rate. In case a tie still persists, the market will resolve to the hero whose name comes first alphabetically.
If a match does not complete for any reason, it will not be considered for the purposes of this market.
If the competition is cancelled, postponed after September 6, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or the results of The International 2026 are not determined within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Dotabuff. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Aug 7, 2026, 7:57 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Only completed games will be considered for the purposes of this market, including forfeits in games that start.
In the case of a tie, this market will resolve to the hero with the higher win percentage. In case a tie persists, this market will resolve to the hero with higher ban rate. In case a tie still persists, the market will resolve to the hero whose name comes first alphabetically.
If a match does not complete for any reason, it will not be considered for the purposes of this market.
If the competition is cancelled, postponed after September 6, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or the results of The International 2026 are not determined within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Dotabuff. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Hoodwink leads the market at 59.5% implied probability due to its standout performance in TI 2026 regional qualifiers, where it recorded the highest total picks across maps and emerged as the top soft support. In the prevailing patch 7.41 meta, the hero's mobility, utility, and flexibility in drafts have made it a staple for pro teams, particularly in position 4 roles, aligning with recent form from squads like Team Vision. Bane follows at 35% on the strength of consistent qualifier appearances and hard support reliability, while mid-tier options such as Shadow Fiend, Io, and Earth Spirit reflect their contested status in high-level play and historical TI trends. Trader consensus views these probabilities as reflecting qualifier data and current patch priorities rather than guarantees, with the wide field of 50% outcomes underscoring uncertainty around full main-event drafts.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated



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