Ella Langley’s “Choosin’ Texas” has dominated the 2026 Billboard Hot 100 with a record 17-week run at No. 1, establishing the country crossover artist as the year’s clearest frontrunner while creating a high bar for new contenders. Ten artists have reached the summit so far, including Taylor Swift (with “I Knew It, I Knew You” from Toy Story 5 still charting high), Ariana Grande (recent entries like “Hate That I Made You Love Me” and “Petal”), Drake, Bruno Mars, Olivia Rodrigo, Bad Bunny, BTS, Harry Styles, and Mariah Carey. Traders are watching streaming velocity, radio airplay, and sales spikes from major fall releases, holiday season boosts, and late-year album campaigns that could push additional acts like Morgan Wallen or emerging pop and hip-hop contenders over the threshold before year-end chart lock.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedWhich artists will have a Billboard #1 song this year?
Which artists will have a Billboard #1 song this year?
$163,315 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
Mariah Carey
68%
Peso Pluma
51%
Post Malone
50%
The Weeknd
29%
Kendrick Lamar
39%
Playboi Carti
24%
Future
12%
Tyler, The Creator
15%
Billie Eilish
26%
Jack Harlow
12%
Zach Bryan
12%
Luke Combs
17%
Rihanna
20%
Frank Ocean
13%
Travis Scott
13%
Doja Cat
13%
A$AP Rocky
5%
Ed Sheeran
5%
Kanye West
3%
SZA
41%
Lil Baby
47%
Morgan Wallen
52%
Sabrina Carpenter
52%
$163,315 Vol.
Mariah Carey
$2,854 Vol.
68%
Peso Pluma
$0 Vol.
51%
Post Malone
$357 Vol.
50%
The Weeknd
$5,196 Vol.
29%
Kendrick Lamar
$4,543 Vol.
39%
Playboi Carti
$7,885 Vol.
24%
Future
$6,996 Vol.
12%
Tyler, The Creator
$560 Vol.
15%
Billie Eilish
$40,125 Vol.
26%
Jack Harlow
$8,959 Vol.
12%
Zach Bryan
$933 Vol.
12%
Luke Combs
$2,666 Vol.
17%
Rihanna
$750 Vol.
20%
Frank Ocean
$9,021 Vol.
13%
Travis Scott
$5,384 Vol.
13%
Doja Cat
$10,854 Vol.
13%
A$AP Rocky
$2,067 Vol.
5%
Ed Sheeran
$674 Vol.
5%
Kanye West
$866 Vol.
3%
SZA
$517 Vol.
41%
Lil Baby
$680 Vol.
47%
Morgan Wallen
$352 Vol.
52%
Sabrina Carpenter
$472 Vol.
52%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any song by the listed artist is the number 1 song in any official weekly Billboard Hot 100 songs chart released for a data collection reference period entirely between January 1 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Any song released with the listed artist as a primary artist will count, including songs released before 2026. If a song is released jointly by multiple artists credited equally as primary artists, it will count for all of them. Features, writing credits, production credits, or other forms of non-primary contributions to a song will not count. Artist attribution will be determined solely by the artists displayed by Billboard on the relevant chart.
Billboard updates its Hot 100 songs chart each Tuesday (with adjusted release schedules on some holiday weeks), reflecting data collected in the previous week (Friday-Thursday). Each Billboard chart is then titled “Week of (date of the upcoming Saturday)”. The first Billboard Hot 100 song chart relevant to this market will be the chart titled “Week of January 17, 2026” for a data collection reference period of January 2-8, 2026. The final Billboard Hot 100 song chart relevant to this market will be the Chart titled “Week of January 9, 2027” for a data collection reference period of December 25-31, 2026.
Updates or revisions made within this market’s timeframe to the #1-ranked song on previously published Billboard Hot 100 charts will be considered; however, such updates will not disqualify a previously published Billboard Hot 100 #1 song from counting. If a Billboard Hot 100 #1 song is revised after initial publication, both the originally published #1 song and the revised #1 song will count for this market. Updates or revisions made after the release of the final Billboard Hot 100 song chart relevant to this market will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be the weekly Billboard Hot 100 songs charts published each week at https://www.billboard.com/charts/hot-100/ and through other official Billboard channels.Ella Langley’s “Choosin’ Texas” has dominated the 2026 Billboard Hot 100 with a record 17-week run at No. 1, establishing the country crossover artist as the year’s clearest frontrunner while creating a high bar for new contenders. Ten artists have reached the summit so far, including Taylor Swift (with “I Knew It, I Knew You” from Toy Story 5 still charting high), Ariana Grande (recent entries like “Hate That I Made You Love Me” and “Petal”), Drake, Bruno Mars, Olivia Rodrigo, Bad Bunny, BTS, Harry Styles, and Mariah Carey. Traders are watching streaming velocity, radio airplay, and sales spikes from major fall releases, holiday season boosts, and late-year album campaigns that could push additional acts like Morgan Wallen or emerging pop and hip-hop contenders over the threshold before year-end chart lock.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any song by the listed artist is the number 1 song in any official weekly Billboard Hot 100 songs chart released for a data collection reference period entirely between January 1 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Any song released with the listed artist as a primary artist will count, including songs released before 2026. If a song is released jointly by multiple artists credited equally as primary artists, it will count for all of them. Features, writing credits, production credits, or other forms of non-primary contributions to a song will not count. Artist attribution will be determined solely by the artists displayed by Billboard on the relevant chart.
Billboard updates its Hot 100 songs chart each Tuesday (with adjusted release schedules on some holiday weeks), reflecting data collected in the previous week (Friday-Thursday). Each Billboard chart is then titled “Week of (date of the upcoming Saturday)”. The first Billboard Hot 100 song chart relevant to this market will be the chart titled “Week of January 17, 2026” for a data collection reference period of January 2-8, 2026. The final Billboard Hot 100 song chart relevant to this market will be the Chart titled “Week of January 9, 2027” for a data collection reference period of December 25-31, 2026.
Updates or revisions made within this market’s timeframe to the #1-ranked song on previously published Billboard Hot 100 charts will be considered; however, such updates will not disqualify a previously published Billboard Hot 100 #1 song from counting. If a Billboard Hot 100 #1 song is revised after initial publication, both the originally published #1 song and the revised #1 song will count for this market. Updates or revisions made after the release of the final Billboard Hot 100 song chart relevant to this market will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be the weekly Billboard Hot 100 songs charts published each week at https://www.billboard.com/charts/hot-100/ and through other official Billboard channels.
Any song released with the listed artist as a primary artist will count, including songs released before 2026. If a song is released jointly by multiple artists credited equally as primary artists, it will count for all of them. Features, writing credits, production credits, or other forms of non-primary contributions to a song will not count. Artist attribution will be determined solely by the artists displayed by Billboard on the relevant chart.
Billboard updates its Hot 100 songs chart each Tuesday (with adjusted release schedules on some holiday weeks), reflecting data collected in the previous week (Friday-Thursday). Each Billboard chart is then titled “Week of (date of the upcoming Saturday)”. The first Billboard Hot 100 song chart relevant to this market will be the chart titled “Week of January 17, 2026” for a data collection reference period of January 2-8, 2026. The final Billboard Hot 100 song chart relevant to this market will be the Chart titled “Week of January 9, 2027” for a data collection reference period of December 25-31, 2026.
Updates or revisions made within this market’s timeframe to the #1-ranked song on previously published Billboard Hot 100 charts will be considered; however, such updates will not disqualify a previously published Billboard Hot 100 #1 song from counting. If a Billboard Hot 100 #1 song is revised after initial publication, both the originally published #1 song and the revised #1 song will count for this market. Updates or revisions made after the release of the final Billboard Hot 100 song chart relevant to this market will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be the weekly Billboard Hot 100 songs charts published each week at https://www.billboard.com/charts/hot-100/ and through other official Billboard channels.
Market Opened: Jan 9, 2026, 4:29 PM ET
Volume
$163,315End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Jan 9, 2026, 4:29 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if any song by the listed artist is the number 1 song in any official weekly Billboard Hot 100 songs chart released for a data collection reference period entirely between January 1 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Any song released with the listed artist as a primary artist will count, including songs released before 2026. If a song is released jointly by multiple artists credited equally as primary artists, it will count for all of them. Features, writing credits, production credits, or other forms of non-primary contributions to a song will not count. Artist attribution will be determined solely by the artists displayed by Billboard on the relevant chart.
Billboard updates its Hot 100 songs chart each Tuesday (with adjusted release schedules on some holiday weeks), reflecting data collected in the previous week (Friday-Thursday). Each Billboard chart is then titled “Week of (date of the upcoming Saturday)”. The first Billboard Hot 100 song chart relevant to this market will be the chart titled “Week of January 17, 2026” for a data collection reference period of January 2-8, 2026. The final Billboard Hot 100 song chart relevant to this market will be the Chart titled “Week of January 9, 2027” for a data collection reference period of December 25-31, 2026.
Updates or revisions made within this market’s timeframe to the #1-ranked song on previously published Billboard Hot 100 charts will be considered; however, such updates will not disqualify a previously published Billboard Hot 100 #1 song from counting. If a Billboard Hot 100 #1 song is revised after initial publication, both the originally published #1 song and the revised #1 song will count for this market. Updates or revisions made after the release of the final Billboard Hot 100 song chart relevant to this market will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be the weekly Billboard Hot 100 songs charts published each week at https://www.billboard.com/charts/hot-100/ and through other official Billboard channels.Ella Langley’s “Choosin’ Texas” has dominated the 2026 Billboard Hot 100 with a record 17-week run at No. 1, establishing the country crossover artist as the year’s clearest frontrunner while creating a high bar for new contenders. Ten artists have reached the summit so far, including Taylor Swift (with “I Knew It, I Knew You” from Toy Story 5 still charting high), Ariana Grande (recent entries like “Hate That I Made You Love Me” and “Petal”), Drake, Bruno Mars, Olivia Rodrigo, Bad Bunny, BTS, Harry Styles, and Mariah Carey. Traders are watching streaming velocity, radio airplay, and sales spikes from major fall releases, holiday season boosts, and late-year album campaigns that could push additional acts like Morgan Wallen or emerging pop and hip-hop contenders over the threshold before year-end chart lock.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any song by the listed artist is the number 1 song in any official weekly Billboard Hot 100 songs chart released for a data collection reference period entirely between January 1 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Any song released with the listed artist as a primary artist will count, including songs released before 2026. If a song is released jointly by multiple artists credited equally as primary artists, it will count for all of them. Features, writing credits, production credits, or other forms of non-primary contributions to a song will not count. Artist attribution will be determined solely by the artists displayed by Billboard on the relevant chart.
Billboard updates its Hot 100 songs chart each Tuesday (with adjusted release schedules on some holiday weeks), reflecting data collected in the previous week (Friday-Thursday). Each Billboard chart is then titled “Week of (date of the upcoming Saturday)”. The first Billboard Hot 100 song chart relevant to this market will be the chart titled “Week of January 17, 2026” for a data collection reference period of January 2-8, 2026. The final Billboard Hot 100 song chart relevant to this market will be the Chart titled “Week of January 9, 2027” for a data collection reference period of December 25-31, 2026.
Updates or revisions made within this market’s timeframe to the #1-ranked song on previously published Billboard Hot 100 charts will be considered; however, such updates will not disqualify a previously published Billboard Hot 100 #1 song from counting. If a Billboard Hot 100 #1 song is revised after initial publication, both the originally published #1 song and the revised #1 song will count for this market. Updates or revisions made after the release of the final Billboard Hot 100 song chart relevant to this market will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be the weekly Billboard Hot 100 songs charts published each week at https://www.billboard.com/charts/hot-100/ and through other official Billboard channels.
Any song released with the listed artist as a primary artist will count, including songs released before 2026. If a song is released jointly by multiple artists credited equally as primary artists, it will count for all of them. Features, writing credits, production credits, or other forms of non-primary contributions to a song will not count. Artist attribution will be determined solely by the artists displayed by Billboard on the relevant chart.
Billboard updates its Hot 100 songs chart each Tuesday (with adjusted release schedules on some holiday weeks), reflecting data collected in the previous week (Friday-Thursday). Each Billboard chart is then titled “Week of (date of the upcoming Saturday)”. The first Billboard Hot 100 song chart relevant to this market will be the chart titled “Week of January 17, 2026” for a data collection reference period of January 2-8, 2026. The final Billboard Hot 100 song chart relevant to this market will be the Chart titled “Week of January 9, 2027” for a data collection reference period of December 25-31, 2026.
Updates or revisions made within this market’s timeframe to the #1-ranked song on previously published Billboard Hot 100 charts will be considered; however, such updates will not disqualify a previously published Billboard Hot 100 #1 song from counting. If a Billboard Hot 100 #1 song is revised after initial publication, both the originally published #1 song and the revised #1 song will count for this market. Updates or revisions made after the release of the final Billboard Hot 100 song chart relevant to this market will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be the weekly Billboard Hot 100 songs charts published each week at https://www.billboard.com/charts/hot-100/ and through other official Billboard channels.
Volume
$163,315End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Jan 9, 2026, 4:29 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Ella Langley’s “Choosin’ Texas” has dominated the 2026 Billboard Hot 100 with a record 17-week run at No. 1, establishing the country crossover artist as the year’s clearest frontrunner while creating a high bar for new contenders. Ten artists have reached the summit so far, including Taylor Swift (with “I Knew It, I Knew You” from Toy Story 5 still charting high), Ariana Grande (recent entries like “Hate That I Made You Love Me” and “Petal”), Drake, Bruno Mars, Olivia Rodrigo, Bad Bunny, BTS, Harry Styles, and Mariah Carey. Traders are watching streaming velocity, radio airplay, and sales spikes from major fall releases, holiday season boosts, and late-year album campaigns that could push additional acts like Morgan Wallen or emerging pop and hip-hop contenders over the threshold before year-end chart lock.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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