Intensified US sanctions under the recent “Operation Economic Exclusion,” combined with naval restrictions on Iranian ports and renewed military strikes, have sharply curtailed oil export revenues and foreign-currency inflows, sustaining downward pressure on the rial. Free-market rates have climbed past 2.1–2.2 million per dollar in early September amid 60-plus percent inflation, severed UAE trade links, and limited Chinese purchases conducted at steep discounts. Central Bank interventions and any renewed diplomatic openings could moderate further depreciation, while escalation around the Strait of Hormuz or tighter secondary sanctions on remaining buyers would accelerate it. These cross-currents keep the 2.0–2.5 million and 2.5–3.0 million bands closely matched in trader pricing through year-end.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated2.0 - 2.5M 36%
2.5 - 3.0M 28%
<2.0M 19%
3.0 - 3.5M 17%
NEW
NEW
Dec 31, 2026
<2.0M
19%
2.0 - 2.5M
36%
2.5 - 3.0M
28%
3.0 - 3.5M
17%
3.5 - 4.0M
5%
4.0M+
5%
2.0 - 2.5M 36%
2.5 - 3.0M 28%
<2.0M 19%
3.0 - 3.5M 17%
NEW
NEW
Dec 31, 2026
<2.0M
$2,081 Vol.
19%
2.0 - 2.5M
$396 Vol.
36%
2.5 - 3.0M
$254 Vol.
28%
3.0 - 3.5M
$181 Vol.
17%
3.5 - 4.0M
$61 Vol.
5%
4.0M+
$61 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve according to the finalized USD exchange rate on Bonbast for December 31, 2026.
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
This market will resolve according to the finalized free-market USD exchange rate for the specified date as displayed on Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd), which publishes prices in Iranian toman, where 1 Iranian toman equals 10 Iranian rials (IRR).
A daily figure will be considered finalized once the following day’s figure is released.
Resolution will occur once the specified exchange rate data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.
If Iran redenominates the rial, or Bonbast changes the unit in which it displays the USD exchange rate, before the relevant figure has been finalized, the displayed figure will be converted into current Iranian rials at the official conversion ratio between the new unit and the current rial (for example, 1 new rial equals 10,000 current rials), and the converted figure will be used for resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd). If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, another resolution source will be chosen.Intensified US sanctions under the recent “Operation Economic Exclusion,” combined with naval restrictions on Iranian ports and renewed military strikes, have sharply curtailed oil export revenues and foreign-currency inflows, sustaining downward pressure on the rial. Free-market rates have climbed past 2.1–2.2 million per dollar in early September amid 60-plus percent inflation, severed UAE trade links, and limited Chinese purchases conducted at steep discounts. Central Bank interventions and any renewed diplomatic openings could moderate further depreciation, while escalation around the Strait of Hormuz or tighter secondary sanctions on remaining buyers would accelerate it. These cross-currents keep the 2.0–2.5 million and 2.5–3.0 million bands closely matched in trader pricing through year-end.
This market will resolve according to the finalized USD exchange rate on Bonbast for December 31, 2026.
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
This market will resolve according to the finalized free-market USD exchange rate for the specified date as displayed on Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd), which publishes prices in Iranian toman, where 1 Iranian toman equals 10 Iranian rials (IRR).
A daily figure will be considered finalized once the following day’s figure is released.
Resolution will occur once the specified exchange rate data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.
If Iran redenominates the rial, or Bonbast changes the unit in which it displays the USD exchange rate, before the relevant figure has been finalized, the displayed figure will be converted into current Iranian rials at the official conversion ratio between the new unit and the current rial (for example, 1 new rial equals 10,000 current rials), and the converted figure will be used for resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd). If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, another resolution source will be chosen.
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
This market will resolve according to the finalized free-market USD exchange rate for the specified date as displayed on Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd), which publishes prices in Iranian toman, where 1 Iranian toman equals 10 Iranian rials (IRR).
A daily figure will be considered finalized once the following day’s figure is released.
Resolution will occur once the specified exchange rate data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.
If Iran redenominates the rial, or Bonbast changes the unit in which it displays the USD exchange rate, before the relevant figure has been finalized, the displayed figure will be converted into current Iranian rials at the official conversion ratio between the new unit and the current rial (for example, 1 new rial equals 10,000 current rials), and the converted figure will be used for resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd). If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, another resolution source will be chosen.
Market Opened: Sep 3, 2026, 6:23 PM ET
Volume
$3,034End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Sep 3, 2026, 6:23 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the finalized USD exchange rate on Bonbast for December 31, 2026.
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
This market will resolve according to the finalized free-market USD exchange rate for the specified date as displayed on Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd), which publishes prices in Iranian toman, where 1 Iranian toman equals 10 Iranian rials (IRR).
A daily figure will be considered finalized once the following day’s figure is released.
Resolution will occur once the specified exchange rate data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.
If Iran redenominates the rial, or Bonbast changes the unit in which it displays the USD exchange rate, before the relevant figure has been finalized, the displayed figure will be converted into current Iranian rials at the official conversion ratio between the new unit and the current rial (for example, 1 new rial equals 10,000 current rials), and the converted figure will be used for resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd). If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, another resolution source will be chosen.Intensified US sanctions under the recent “Operation Economic Exclusion,” combined with naval restrictions on Iranian ports and renewed military strikes, have sharply curtailed oil export revenues and foreign-currency inflows, sustaining downward pressure on the rial. Free-market rates have climbed past 2.1–2.2 million per dollar in early September amid 60-plus percent inflation, severed UAE trade links, and limited Chinese purchases conducted at steep discounts. Central Bank interventions and any renewed diplomatic openings could moderate further depreciation, while escalation around the Strait of Hormuz or tighter secondary sanctions on remaining buyers would accelerate it. These cross-currents keep the 2.0–2.5 million and 2.5–3.0 million bands closely matched in trader pricing through year-end.
This market will resolve according to the finalized USD exchange rate on Bonbast for December 31, 2026.
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
This market will resolve according to the finalized free-market USD exchange rate for the specified date as displayed on Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd), which publishes prices in Iranian toman, where 1 Iranian toman equals 10 Iranian rials (IRR).
A daily figure will be considered finalized once the following day’s figure is released.
Resolution will occur once the specified exchange rate data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.
If Iran redenominates the rial, or Bonbast changes the unit in which it displays the USD exchange rate, before the relevant figure has been finalized, the displayed figure will be converted into current Iranian rials at the official conversion ratio between the new unit and the current rial (for example, 1 new rial equals 10,000 current rials), and the converted figure will be used for resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd). If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, another resolution source will be chosen.
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
This market will resolve according to the finalized free-market USD exchange rate for the specified date as displayed on Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd), which publishes prices in Iranian toman, where 1 Iranian toman equals 10 Iranian rials (IRR).
A daily figure will be considered finalized once the following day’s figure is released.
Resolution will occur once the specified exchange rate data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.
If Iran redenominates the rial, or Bonbast changes the unit in which it displays the USD exchange rate, before the relevant figure has been finalized, the displayed figure will be converted into current Iranian rials at the official conversion ratio between the new unit and the current rial (for example, 1 new rial equals 10,000 current rials), and the converted figure will be used for resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd). If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, another resolution source will be chosen.
Volume
$3,034End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Sep 3, 2026, 6:23 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Intensified US sanctions under the recent “Operation Economic Exclusion,” combined with naval restrictions on Iranian ports and renewed military strikes, have sharply curtailed oil export revenues and foreign-currency inflows, sustaining downward pressure on the rial. Free-market rates have climbed past 2.1–2.2 million per dollar in early September amid 60-plus percent inflation, severed UAE trade links, and limited Chinese purchases conducted at steep discounts. Central Bank interventions and any renewed diplomatic openings could moderate further depreciation, while escalation around the Strait of Hormuz or tighter secondary sanctions on remaining buyers would accelerate it. These cross-currents keep the 2.0–2.5 million and 2.5–3.0 million bands closely matched in trader pricing through year-end.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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