The open seat after incumbent Mayor John Dailey’s decision not to seek re-election has produced a competitive nonpartisan primary on August 18, with a likely November runoff. Recent St. Pete Polls surveys show former state Sen. Loranne Ausley holding a narrow lead over City Commissioner Jeremy Matlow, followed by Daryl Parks and Michael Foust, amid roughly 30% undecided voters and vote-splitting among Democratic-leaning candidates. Candidate forums, campaign spending, and endorsements from labor groups and local organizations have kept visibility high without producing decisive separation. Trader consensus reflects Ausley’s edge in name recognition and early polling while acknowledging the potential for late shifts in turnout or consolidation behind one contender before primary voting concludes.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLoranne Ausley 57%
Jeremy Matlow 38.6%
Daryl Parks 6.0%
Michael Foust <1%
$130,718 Vol.
$130,718 Vol.
Aug 18, 2026
Loranne Ausley
57%
Jeremy Matlow
39%
Daryl Parks
6%
Michael Foust
<1%
Al Lawson
<1%
Loranne Ausley 57%
Jeremy Matlow 38.6%
Daryl Parks 6.0%
Michael Foust <1%
$130,718 Vol.
$130,718 Vol.
Aug 18, 2026
Loranne Ausley
$84,455 Vol.
57%
Jeremy Matlow
$10,695 Vol.
39%
Daryl Parks
$9,138 Vol.
6%
Michael Foust
$5,128 Vol.
<1%
Al Lawson
$21,302 Vol.
<1%
The 2026 Tallahassee mayoral election will be held on August 18, 2026, to elect the mayor of Tallahassee, Florida. If no candidate receives a majority of the vote, a runoff election will be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Tallahassee as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the City of Tallahassee or the State of Florida.The open seat after incumbent Mayor John Dailey’s decision not to seek re-election has produced a competitive nonpartisan primary on August 18, with a likely November runoff. Recent St. Pete Polls surveys show former state Sen. Loranne Ausley holding a narrow lead over City Commissioner Jeremy Matlow, followed by Daryl Parks and Michael Foust, amid roughly 30% undecided voters and vote-splitting among Democratic-leaning candidates. Candidate forums, campaign spending, and endorsements from labor groups and local organizations have kept visibility high without producing decisive separation. Trader consensus reflects Ausley’s edge in name recognition and early polling while acknowledging the potential for late shifts in turnout or consolidation behind one contender before primary voting concludes.
The 2026 Tallahassee mayoral election will be held on August 18, 2026, to elect the mayor of Tallahassee, Florida. If no candidate receives a majority of the vote, a runoff election will be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Tallahassee as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the City of Tallahassee or the State of Florida.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Tallahassee as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the City of Tallahassee or the State of Florida.
Market Opened: Jun 2, 2026, 2:03 PM ET
Volume
$130,718End Date
Aug 18, 2026Market Opened
Jun 2, 2026, 2:03 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The 2026 Tallahassee mayoral election will be held on August 18, 2026, to elect the mayor of Tallahassee, Florida. If no candidate receives a majority of the vote, a runoff election will be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Tallahassee as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the City of Tallahassee or the State of Florida.The open seat after incumbent Mayor John Dailey’s decision not to seek re-election has produced a competitive nonpartisan primary on August 18, with a likely November runoff. Recent St. Pete Polls surveys show former state Sen. Loranne Ausley holding a narrow lead over City Commissioner Jeremy Matlow, followed by Daryl Parks and Michael Foust, amid roughly 30% undecided voters and vote-splitting among Democratic-leaning candidates. Candidate forums, campaign spending, and endorsements from labor groups and local organizations have kept visibility high without producing decisive separation. Trader consensus reflects Ausley’s edge in name recognition and early polling while acknowledging the potential for late shifts in turnout or consolidation behind one contender before primary voting concludes.
The 2026 Tallahassee mayoral election will be held on August 18, 2026, to elect the mayor of Tallahassee, Florida. If no candidate receives a majority of the vote, a runoff election will be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Tallahassee as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the City of Tallahassee or the State of Florida.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Tallahassee as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the City of Tallahassee or the State of Florida.
Volume
$130,718End Date
Aug 18, 2026Market Opened
Jun 2, 2026, 2:03 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The open seat after incumbent Mayor John Dailey’s decision not to seek re-election has produced a competitive nonpartisan primary on August 18, with a likely November runoff. Recent St. Pete Polls surveys show former state Sen. Loranne Ausley holding a narrow lead over City Commissioner Jeremy Matlow, followed by Daryl Parks and Michael Foust, amid roughly 30% undecided voters and vote-splitting among Democratic-leaning candidates. Candidate forums, campaign spending, and endorsements from labor groups and local organizations have kept visibility high without producing decisive separation. Trader consensus reflects Ausley’s edge in name recognition and early polling while acknowledging the potential for late shifts in turnout or consolidation behind one contender before primary voting concludes.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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