The 2026 Quebec general election, called August 27 for October 5 on a new 127-riding map, features a competitive multi-party contest with the Parti Québécois leading recent polls near 29 percent, followed closely by the Coalition Avenir Québec at 24 percent and the Quebec Liberal Party at 22 percent. Roughly 42 percent of decided voters remain open to switching preferences, while advance voting periods, mail options for those outside the province, and registration updates from September 14 to October 1 provide multiple participation channels. Historical provincial turnout has clustered in the mid-to-high 60s percent range in recent cycles. These factors sustain tight market pricing across the 62-74 percent bands, as a fragmented field and fluid voter intentions could either lift mobilization or leave participation near recent averages depending on campaign intensity and enthusiasm in the final weeks.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated66-70% 28%
70-74% 23%
62-66% 21%
58-62% 14%
<58%
10%
58-62%
14%
62-66%
21%
66-70%
28%
70-74%
23%
74%+
13%
66-70% 28%
70-74% 23%
62-66% 21%
58-62% 14%
<58%
10%
58-62%
14%
62-66%
21%
66-70%
28%
70-74%
23%
74%+
13%
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the next Quebec general election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters (see 2022 example: https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/en/results-and-statistics/general-election-results/2022-10-03/).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be official information published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).
Market Opened: Aug 31, 2026, 3:10 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.electionsquebec.qc.caResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the next Quebec general election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters (see 2022 example: https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/en/results-and-statistics/general-election-results/2022-10-03/).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be official information published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).
Resolution Source
https://www.electionsquebec.qc.caResolver
0x69c47De9D...The 2026 Quebec general election, called August 27 for October 5 on a new 127-riding map, features a competitive multi-party contest with the Parti Québécois leading recent polls near 29 percent, followed closely by the Coalition Avenir Québec at 24 percent and the Quebec Liberal Party at 22 percent. Roughly 42 percent of decided voters remain open to switching preferences, while advance voting periods, mail options for those outside the province, and registration updates from September 14 to October 1 provide multiple participation channels. Historical provincial turnout has clustered in the mid-to-high 60s percent range in recent cycles. These factors sustain tight market pricing across the 62-74 percent bands, as a fragmented field and fluid voter intentions could either lift mobilization or leave participation near recent averages depending on campaign intensity and enthusiasm in the final weeks.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated


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