OpenAI's confidential IPO filing in June 2026, following its March $852 billion post-money private valuation, remains the dominant driver of trader focus on post-listing market capitalization thresholds. The company generates roughly $2 billion in monthly revenue—split between consumer subscriptions and enterprise API usage exceeding 40%—yet continues to post substantial losses, with breakeven not expected until after 2030. Recent deliberations have tilted toward a 2027 debut to support a $1 trillion target, up from the prior $730–840 billion range, amid competitive pressure from Anthropic and broader tech-IPO sentiment tied to Treasury yields and risk appetite. Key upcoming milestones include any S-1 amendments or underwriter updates that could clarify share count, pricing, and lock-up terms.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$1,517,235 Vol.
$1,517,235 Vol.
Dec 31, 2027
$800B
87%
$1T
75%
$1.2T
59%
$1.4T
39%
$1.6T
18%
$1,517,235 Vol.
$1,517,235 Vol.
Dec 31, 2027
$800B
$106,210 Vol.
87%
$1T
$1,046,717 Vol.
75%
$1.2T
$248,684 Vol.
59%
$1.4T
$67,298 Vol.
39%
$1.6T
$48,326 Vol.
18%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the official closing price for OpenAI's market capitalization on its first trading day is above the listed value. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI's first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading.OpenAI's confidential IPO filing in June 2026, following its March $852 billion post-money private valuation, remains the dominant driver of trader focus on post-listing market capitalization thresholds. The company generates roughly $2 billion in monthly revenue—split between consumer subscriptions and enterprise API usage exceeding 40%—yet continues to post substantial losses, with breakeven not expected until after 2030. Recent deliberations have tilted toward a 2027 debut to support a $1 trillion target, up from the prior $730–840 billion range, amid competitive pressure from Anthropic and broader tech-IPO sentiment tied to Treasury yields and risk appetite. Key upcoming milestones include any S-1 amendments or underwriter updates that could clarify share count, pricing, and lock-up terms.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the official closing price for OpenAI's market capitalization on its first trading day is above the listed value. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI's first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI's first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading.
Market Opened: Jan 30, 2026, 7:25 PM ET
Volume
$1,517,235End Date
Dec 31, 2027Market Opened
Jan 30, 2026, 7:25 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if the official closing price for OpenAI's market capitalization on its first trading day is above the listed value. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI's first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading.OpenAI's confidential IPO filing in June 2026, following its March $852 billion post-money private valuation, remains the dominant driver of trader focus on post-listing market capitalization thresholds. The company generates roughly $2 billion in monthly revenue—split between consumer subscriptions and enterprise API usage exceeding 40%—yet continues to post substantial losses, with breakeven not expected until after 2030. Recent deliberations have tilted toward a 2027 debut to support a $1 trillion target, up from the prior $730–840 billion range, amid competitive pressure from Anthropic and broader tech-IPO sentiment tied to Treasury yields and risk appetite. Key upcoming milestones include any S-1 amendments or underwriter updates that could clarify share count, pricing, and lock-up terms.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the official closing price for OpenAI's market capitalization on its first trading day is above the listed value. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI's first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI's first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading.
Volume
$1,517,235End Date
Dec 31, 2027Market Opened
Jan 30, 2026, 7:25 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...OpenAI's confidential IPO filing in June 2026, following its March $852 billion post-money private valuation, remains the dominant driver of trader focus on post-listing market capitalization thresholds. The company generates roughly $2 billion in monthly revenue—split between consumer subscriptions and enterprise API usage exceeding 40%—yet continues to post substantial losses, with breakeven not expected until after 2030. Recent deliberations have tilted toward a 2027 debut to support a $1 trillion target, up from the prior $730–840 billion range, amid competitive pressure from Anthropic and broader tech-IPO sentiment tied to Treasury yields and risk appetite. Key upcoming milestones include any S-1 amendments or underwriter updates that could clarify share count, pricing, and lock-up terms.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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