Incumbent Democratic Rep. Maggie Goodlander holds a commanding position in New Hampshire’s 2nd congressional district, reflected in trader consensus around a 92% implied probability for a Democratic victory in the November 2026 general election. Recent Saint Anselm and University of New Hampshire polling shows her leading prospective Republican opponents by double digits, consistent with the district’s partisan voting index near D+2 and her 2024 win. Multiple Republicans, including Lily Tang Williams and Victor Orlando, are competing in the September 8 primary, while Goodlander faces limited Democratic opposition. Forecasters such as the Cook Political Report rate the seat Likely Democratic. A Republican gain would require either a national midterm wave, unusually strong turnout dynamics, or an unexpected primary outcome that elevates a high-profile challenger capable of closing the gap before November.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedNH-02 House Election Winner
NH-02 House Election Winner
$16,343 Vol.
$16,343 Vol.
Nov 4, 2026
Democratic Party
93%
Republican Party
7%
$16,343 Vol.
$16,343 Vol.
Nov 4, 2026
Democratic Party
$7,706 Vol.
93%
Republican Party
$8,637 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NH-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democratic Rep. Maggie Goodlander holds a commanding position in New Hampshire’s 2nd congressional district, reflected in trader consensus around a 92% implied probability for a Democratic victory in the November 2026 general election. Recent Saint Anselm and University of New Hampshire polling shows her leading prospective Republican opponents by double digits, consistent with the district’s partisan voting index near D+2 and her 2024 win. Multiple Republicans, including Lily Tang Williams and Victor Orlando, are competing in the September 8 primary, while Goodlander faces limited Democratic opposition. Forecasters such as the Cook Political Report rate the seat Likely Democratic. A Republican gain would require either a national midterm wave, unusually strong turnout dynamics, or an unexpected primary outcome that elevates a high-profile challenger capable of closing the gap before November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NH-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Market Opened: Dec 16, 2025, 12:24 PM ET
Volume
$16,343End Date
Nov 4, 2026Market Opened
Dec 16, 2025, 12:24 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NH-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democratic Rep. Maggie Goodlander holds a commanding position in New Hampshire’s 2nd congressional district, reflected in trader consensus around a 92% implied probability for a Democratic victory in the November 2026 general election. Recent Saint Anselm and University of New Hampshire polling shows her leading prospective Republican opponents by double digits, consistent with the district’s partisan voting index near D+2 and her 2024 win. Multiple Republicans, including Lily Tang Williams and Victor Orlando, are competing in the September 8 primary, while Goodlander faces limited Democratic opposition. Forecasters such as the Cook Political Report rate the seat Likely Democratic. A Republican gain would require either a national midterm wave, unusually strong turnout dynamics, or an unexpected primary outcome that elevates a high-profile challenger capable of closing the gap before November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NH-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$16,343End Date
Nov 4, 2026Market Opened
Dec 16, 2025, 12:24 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democratic Rep. Maggie Goodlander holds a commanding position in New Hampshire’s 2nd congressional district, reflected in trader consensus around a 92% implied probability for a Democratic victory in the November 2026 general election. Recent Saint Anselm and University of New Hampshire polling shows her leading prospective Republican opponents by double digits, consistent with the district’s partisan voting index near D+2 and her 2024 win. Multiple Republicans, including Lily Tang Williams and Victor Orlando, are competing in the September 8 primary, while Goodlander faces limited Democratic opposition. Forecasters such as the Cook Political Report rate the seat Likely Democratic. A Republican gain would require either a national midterm wave, unusually strong turnout dynamics, or an unexpected primary outcome that elevates a high-profile challenger capable of closing the gap before November.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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