Congressman Chris Pappas holds a commanding lead in the September 8 New Hampshire Democratic Senate primary, backed by strong name recognition as the state's sitting U.S. representative and consistent polling majorities that have ranged from 53% to 71% in recent surveys. His established record and broad support across Democratic voters have kept challenger Karishma Manzur and lesser-known candidates well behind. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing aligns with these trends, though the race could still shift if unusually low turnout mobilizes Manzur's younger or progressive base, a late-breaking development alters momentum, or unexpected endorsements consolidate opposition support before primary day.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$37,398 Vol.
$37,398 Vol.

Chris Pappas
95%

Karishma Manzur
2%
$37,398 Vol.
$37,398 Vol.

Chris Pappas
95%

Karishma Manzur
2%
If no 2026 New Hampshire Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the New Hampshire Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Market Opened: Nov 26, 2025, 5:20 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no 2026 New Hampshire Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the New Hampshire Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Congressman Chris Pappas holds a commanding lead in the September 8 New Hampshire Democratic Senate primary, backed by strong name recognition as the state's sitting U.S. representative and consistent polling majorities that have ranged from 53% to 71% in recent surveys. His established record and broad support across Democratic voters have kept challenger Karishma Manzur and lesser-known candidates well behind. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing aligns with these trends, though the race could still shift if unusually low turnout mobilizes Manzur's younger or progressive base, a late-breaking development alters momentum, or unexpected endorsements consolidate opposition support before primary day.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated


Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions