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icon for NCAA Football: 2026 Big 12 Passing TDs Leader

NCAA Football: 2026 Big 12 Passing TDs Leader

icon for NCAA Football: 2026 Big 12 Passing TDs Leader

NCAA Football: 2026 Big 12 Passing TDs Leader

Michael Hawkins Jr. 98%

Alonza Barnett III 98%

Cole Ballard 98%

Jaden Craig 98%

Polymarket
NEW

Michael Hawkins Jr. 98%

Alonza Barnett III 98%

Cole Ballard 98%

Jaden Craig 98%

Polymarket
NEW

Michael Hawkins Jr.

$45 Vol.

98%

Alonza Barnett III

$45 Vol.

98%

Cole Ballard

$45 Vol.

98%

Jaden Craig

$45 Vol.

98%

Julian Lewis

$45 Vol.

98%

JC French IV

$58 Vol.

97%

Conner Weigman

$45 Vol.

97%

Will Hammond

$58 Vol.

96%

Jaylen Raynor

$58 Vol.

96%

Noah Fifita

$58 Vol.

96%

DJ Lagway

$45 Vol.

95%

Avery Johnson

$58 Vol.

94%

Cutter Boley

$45 Vol.

94%

Drew Mestemaker

$58 Vol.

93%

Devon Dampier

$45 Vol.

93%

Scotty Fox Jr.

$58 Vol.

93%

Bear Bachmeier

$0 Vol.

50%

This market will resolve in favor of the player on a Big 12 Conference team that finishes the 2026 NCAA FBS regular season with the most passing touchdowns among all Big 12 players. A player's conference is the football conference affiliation of his team for the 2026 season as recognized by the NCAA. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the tied player with more passing yards during the 2026 NCAA FBS regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player with a higher average of passing yards per attempt during the 2026 NCAA FBS regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to "Other". If the 2026 NCAA FBS season concludes early, is shortened, or is truncated for any reason, the outcome shall be determined using available NCAA FBS statistics for completed games. If the 2026 NCAA FBS regular season is cancelled, postponed after January 3, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or it is unclear which Big 12 player led the conference in passing touchdowns within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NCAA (https://www.ncaa.com/stats/football/fbs); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The 2026 Big 12 passing touchdowns race remains tightly bunched in trader consensus because the conference features exceptional quarterback depth and parity early in the season. After Week 1, standouts like Cutter Boley (Arizona State) posted six scores while players such as Bear Bachmeier (BYU), Devon Dampier (Utah), Avery Johnson (Kansas State), and Noah Fifita (Arizona) each reached three or two, yet most contenders have played just one game against varying competition. Returning producers and transfers including Drew Mestemaker (Oklahoma State), Conner Weigman (Houston), and DJ Lagway (Baylor) bring proven volume potential from prior high-output systems, but differing offensive schemes, defensive matchups, and injury risks across a 12-team slate keep any single leader from separating. This even distribution reflects the wisdom of crowds pricing realistic paths for multiple signal-callers to finish atop the category.

This market will resolve in favor of the player on a Big 12 Conference team that finishes the 2026 NCAA FBS regular season with the most passing touchdowns among all Big 12 players. A player's conference is the football conference affiliation of his team for the 2026 season as recognized by the NCAA.

In the event of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the tied player with more passing yards during the 2026 NCAA FBS regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player with a higher average of passing yards per attempt during the 2026 NCAA FBS regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to "Other".

If the 2026 NCAA FBS season concludes early, is shortened, or is truncated for any reason, the outcome shall be determined using available NCAA FBS statistics for completed games.

If the 2026 NCAA FBS regular season is cancelled, postponed after January 3, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or it is unclear which Big 12 player led the conference in passing touchdowns within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NCAA (https://www.ncaa.com/stats/football/fbs); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve in favor of the player on a Big 12 Conference team that finishes the 2026 NCAA FBS regular season with the most passing touchdowns among all Big 12 players. A player's conference is the football conference affiliation of his team for the 2026 season as recognized by the NCAA. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the tied player with more passing yards during the 2026 NCAA FBS regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player with a higher average of passing yards per attempt during the 2026 NCAA FBS regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to "Other". If the 2026 NCAA FBS season concludes early, is shortened, or is truncated for any reason, the outcome shall be determined using available NCAA FBS statistics for completed games. If the 2026 NCAA FBS regular season is cancelled, postponed after January 3, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or it is unclear which Big 12 player led the conference in passing touchdowns within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NCAA (https://www.ncaa.com/stats/football/fbs); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$811
End Date
Dec 6, 2026
Market Opened
Sep 4, 2026, 3:38 PM ET
This market will resolve in favor of the player on a Big 12 Conference team that finishes the 2026 NCAA FBS regular season with the most passing touchdowns among all Big 12 players. A player's conference is the football conference affiliation of his team for the 2026 season as recognized by the NCAA. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the tied player with more passing yards during the 2026 NCAA FBS regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player with a higher average of passing yards per attempt during the 2026 NCAA FBS regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to "Other". If the 2026 NCAA FBS season concludes early, is shortened, or is truncated for any reason, the outcome shall be determined using available NCAA FBS statistics for completed games. If the 2026 NCAA FBS regular season is cancelled, postponed after January 3, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or it is unclear which Big 12 player led the conference in passing touchdowns within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NCAA (https://www.ncaa.com/stats/football/fbs); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The 2026 Big 12 passing touchdowns race remains tightly bunched in trader consensus because the conference features exceptional quarterback depth and parity early in the season. After Week 1, standouts like Cutter Boley (Arizona State) posted six scores while players such as Bear Bachmeier (BYU), Devon Dampier (Utah), Avery Johnson (Kansas State), and Noah Fifita (Arizona) each reached three or two, yet most contenders have played just one game against varying competition. Returning producers and transfers including Drew Mestemaker (Oklahoma State), Conner Weigman (Houston), and DJ Lagway (Baylor) bring proven volume potential from prior high-output systems, but differing offensive schemes, defensive matchups, and injury risks across a 12-team slate keep any single leader from separating. This even distribution reflects the wisdom of crowds pricing realistic paths for multiple signal-callers to finish atop the category.

This market will resolve in favor of the player on a Big 12 Conference team that finishes the 2026 NCAA FBS regular season with the most passing touchdowns among all Big 12 players. A player's conference is the football conference affiliation of his team for the 2026 season as recognized by the NCAA.

In the event of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the tied player with more passing yards during the 2026 NCAA FBS regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player with a higher average of passing yards per attempt during the 2026 NCAA FBS regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to "Other".

If the 2026 NCAA FBS season concludes early, is shortened, or is truncated for any reason, the outcome shall be determined using available NCAA FBS statistics for completed games.

If the 2026 NCAA FBS regular season is cancelled, postponed after January 3, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or it is unclear which Big 12 player led the conference in passing touchdowns within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NCAA (https://www.ncaa.com/stats/football/fbs); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve in favor of the player on a Big 12 Conference team that finishes the 2026 NCAA FBS regular season with the most passing touchdowns among all Big 12 players. A player's conference is the football conference affiliation of his team for the 2026 season as recognized by the NCAA. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the tied player with more passing yards during the 2026 NCAA FBS regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player with a higher average of passing yards per attempt during the 2026 NCAA FBS regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to "Other". If the 2026 NCAA FBS season concludes early, is shortened, or is truncated for any reason, the outcome shall be determined using available NCAA FBS statistics for completed games. If the 2026 NCAA FBS regular season is cancelled, postponed after January 3, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or it is unclear which Big 12 player led the conference in passing touchdowns within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NCAA (https://www.ncaa.com/stats/football/fbs); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$811
End Date
Dec 6, 2026
Market Opened
Sep 4, 2026, 3:38 PM ET

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Frequently Asked Questions

"NCAA Football: 2026 Big 12 Passing TDs Leader" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 17 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Bear Bachmeier" at 50%, followed by "Michael Hawkins Jr." at 49%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 50¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 50% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"NCAA Football: 2026 Big 12 Passing TDs Leader" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Sep 4, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "NCAA Football: 2026 Big 12 Passing TDs Leader," browse the 17 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "NCAA Football: 2026 Big 12 Passing TDs Leader" is "Bear Bachmeier" at 50%, meaning the market assigns a 50% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Michael Hawkins Jr." at 49%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "NCAA Football: 2026 Big 12 Passing TDs Leader" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.