Ongoing Ukrainian drone strikes targeting the Moscow region have repeatedly prompted Russian aviation authorities to impose temporary flight restrictions at major airports including Sheremetyevo, Domodedovo, and Vnukovo for safety during air defense operations. In late August 2026, attacks led to closures or coordinated limits at multiple facilities, with similar patterns documented in June and July involving dozens to hundreds of intercepted drones. Trader consensus in this market reflects the established rhythm of these incidents through the end of August, driven by the active conflict and Russia's standard response protocols. No major diplomatic or military de-escalation events have altered this dynamic in the past 30 days.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedMoscow air traffic suspended by...?
Moscow air traffic suspended by...?
$22,721 Vol.
Aug 31, 2026
August 31
3%
September 15
40%
$22,721 Vol.
August 31
$20,253 Vol.
3%
September 15
$2,469 Vol.
40%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Russian government or aviation authorities suspend departures and arrivals at all three of the following Moscow airports at any point between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.
The relevant airports are:
- Sheremetyevo (SVO);
- Domodedovo (DME); and
- Vnukovo (VKO).
A qualifying suspension refers to official flight restrictions suspending both departures and arrivals at all three airports for any amount of time. Such suspensions may be issued as one singular order or separate notices, provided suspensions of arrivals and departures are concurrently in effect at all three airports between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Suspensions described as "temporary restrictions on arrivals and departures" at the relevant airports by Russian authorities will qualify.
The primary resolution source will be official communications from the Russian government and Russian aviation authorities, including the Rosaviatsiya federal air transport agency; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Ongoing Ukrainian drone strikes targeting the Moscow region have repeatedly prompted Russian aviation authorities to impose temporary flight restrictions at major airports including Sheremetyevo, Domodedovo, and Vnukovo for safety during air defense operations. In late August 2026, attacks led to closures or coordinated limits at multiple facilities, with similar patterns documented in June and July involving dozens to hundreds of intercepted drones. Trader consensus in this market reflects the established rhythm of these incidents through the end of August, driven by the active conflict and Russia's standard response protocols. No major diplomatic or military de-escalation events have altered this dynamic in the past 30 days.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Russian government or aviation authorities suspend departures and arrivals at all three of the following Moscow airports at any point between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.
The relevant airports are:
- Sheremetyevo (SVO);
- Domodedovo (DME); and
- Vnukovo (VKO).
A qualifying suspension refers to official flight restrictions suspending both departures and arrivals at all three airports for any amount of time. Such suspensions may be issued as one singular order or separate notices, provided suspensions of arrivals and departures are concurrently in effect at all three airports between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Suspensions described as "temporary restrictions on arrivals and departures" at the relevant airports by Russian authorities will qualify.
The primary resolution source will be official communications from the Russian government and Russian aviation authorities, including the Rosaviatsiya federal air transport agency; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The relevant airports are:
- Sheremetyevo (SVO);
- Domodedovo (DME); and
- Vnukovo (VKO).
A qualifying suspension refers to official flight restrictions suspending both departures and arrivals at all three airports for any amount of time. Such suspensions may be issued as one singular order or separate notices, provided suspensions of arrivals and departures are concurrently in effect at all three airports between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Suspensions described as "temporary restrictions on arrivals and departures" at the relevant airports by Russian authorities will qualify.
The primary resolution source will be official communications from the Russian government and Russian aviation authorities, including the Rosaviatsiya federal air transport agency; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Aug 24, 2026, 7:11 PM ET
Volume
$22,721End Date
Sep 16, 2026Market Opened
Aug 24, 2026, 7:11 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Russian government or aviation authorities suspend departures and arrivals at all three of the following Moscow airports at any point between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.
The relevant airports are:
- Sheremetyevo (SVO);
- Domodedovo (DME); and
- Vnukovo (VKO).
A qualifying suspension refers to official flight restrictions suspending both departures and arrivals at all three airports for any amount of time. Such suspensions may be issued as one singular order or separate notices, provided suspensions of arrivals and departures are concurrently in effect at all three airports between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Suspensions described as "temporary restrictions on arrivals and departures" at the relevant airports by Russian authorities will qualify.
The primary resolution source will be official communications from the Russian government and Russian aviation authorities, including the Rosaviatsiya federal air transport agency; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Ongoing Ukrainian drone strikes targeting the Moscow region have repeatedly prompted Russian aviation authorities to impose temporary flight restrictions at major airports including Sheremetyevo, Domodedovo, and Vnukovo for safety during air defense operations. In late August 2026, attacks led to closures or coordinated limits at multiple facilities, with similar patterns documented in June and July involving dozens to hundreds of intercepted drones. Trader consensus in this market reflects the established rhythm of these incidents through the end of August, driven by the active conflict and Russia's standard response protocols. No major diplomatic or military de-escalation events have altered this dynamic in the past 30 days.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Russian government or aviation authorities suspend departures and arrivals at all three of the following Moscow airports at any point between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.
The relevant airports are:
- Sheremetyevo (SVO);
- Domodedovo (DME); and
- Vnukovo (VKO).
A qualifying suspension refers to official flight restrictions suspending both departures and arrivals at all three airports for any amount of time. Such suspensions may be issued as one singular order or separate notices, provided suspensions of arrivals and departures are concurrently in effect at all three airports between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Suspensions described as "temporary restrictions on arrivals and departures" at the relevant airports by Russian authorities will qualify.
The primary resolution source will be official communications from the Russian government and Russian aviation authorities, including the Rosaviatsiya federal air transport agency; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The relevant airports are:
- Sheremetyevo (SVO);
- Domodedovo (DME); and
- Vnukovo (VKO).
A qualifying suspension refers to official flight restrictions suspending both departures and arrivals at all three airports for any amount of time. Such suspensions may be issued as one singular order or separate notices, provided suspensions of arrivals and departures are concurrently in effect at all three airports between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Suspensions described as "temporary restrictions on arrivals and departures" at the relevant airports by Russian authorities will qualify.
The primary resolution source will be official communications from the Russian government and Russian aviation authorities, including the Rosaviatsiya federal air transport agency; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$22,721End Date
Sep 16, 2026Market Opened
Aug 24, 2026, 7:11 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Ongoing Ukrainian drone strikes targeting the Moscow region have repeatedly prompted Russian aviation authorities to impose temporary flight restrictions at major airports including Sheremetyevo, Domodedovo, and Vnukovo for safety during air defense operations. In late August 2026, attacks led to closures or coordinated limits at multiple facilities, with similar patterns documented in June and July involving dozens to hundreds of intercepted drones. Trader consensus in this market reflects the established rhythm of these incidents through the end of August, driven by the active conflict and Russia's standard response protocols. No major diplomatic or military de-escalation events have altered this dynamic in the past 30 days.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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