United Russia holds a commanding position in the September 2026 Karelian Legislative Assembly election, reflecting its status as the incumbent party with established administrative resources and a track record of securing majorities in prior regional votes. Coinciding with the national State Duma contest, the race features registered lists from parties including CPRF, LDPR, A Just Russia, New People, and others, yet recent court rulings have removed select opposition candidates and lists, such as Yabloko's, following challenges from registered competitors. Trader consensus aligns with historical patterns of incumbent dominance in Russian regional assemblies, where procedural and registration factors shape participation. Scenarios that could alter outcomes include shifts in candidate approvals, turnout dynamics, or late developments in the narrow pre-election window.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedUnited Russia 96.0%
New People 1.8%
Rodina <1%
LDPR <1%
NEW
NEW
Sep 20, 2026
United Russia
96%
New People
2%
Rodina
1%
LDPR
1%
CPRF
<1%
The Greens
<1%
Party of Pensioners
<1%
A Just Russia
<1%
Communists of Russia
<1%
Yabloko
<1%
United Russia 96.0%
New People 1.8%
Rodina <1%
LDPR <1%
NEW
NEW
Sep 20, 2026
United Russia
$675 Vol.
96%
New People
$330 Vol.
2%
Rodina
$660 Vol.
1%
LDPR
$380 Vol.
1%
CPRF
$279 Vol.
<1%
The Greens
$310 Vol.
<1%
Party of Pensioners
$199 Vol.
<1%
A Just Russia
$219 Vol.
<1%
Communists of Russia
$229 Vol.
<1%
Yabloko
$232 Vol.
<1%
Parliamentary elections to elect the Legislative Assembly of Karelia, Russia are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Legislative Assembly of Karelia as a result of this election.
The number of seats will include all members of the Legislative Assembly of Karelia serving as a result of this election, including members elected in a single- or multiple-member constituency or by proportional representation, where applicable.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose party list received a greater number of valid votes in the specified region’s proportional representation system. Aggregate votes received in constituencies will have no bearing on resolution in a tie. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose name as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order.
A constituency-elected member will count towards the party they registered to contest the election with. A member elected by proportional representation will count towards the party whose list they were elected from.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. Independents will not count towards any party.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Karelia and Russia, including the Election Commission of Karelia and the Central Election Commission of Russia.United Russia holds a commanding position in the September 2026 Karelian Legislative Assembly election, reflecting its status as the incumbent party with established administrative resources and a track record of securing majorities in prior regional votes. Coinciding with the national State Duma contest, the race features registered lists from parties including CPRF, LDPR, A Just Russia, New People, and others, yet recent court rulings have removed select opposition candidates and lists, such as Yabloko's, following challenges from registered competitors. Trader consensus aligns with historical patterns of incumbent dominance in Russian regional assemblies, where procedural and registration factors shape participation. Scenarios that could alter outcomes include shifts in candidate approvals, turnout dynamics, or late developments in the narrow pre-election window.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Legislative Assembly of Karelia, Russia are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Legislative Assembly of Karelia as a result of this election.
The number of seats will include all members of the Legislative Assembly of Karelia serving as a result of this election, including members elected in a single- or multiple-member constituency or by proportional representation, where applicable.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose party list received a greater number of valid votes in the specified region’s proportional representation system. Aggregate votes received in constituencies will have no bearing on resolution in a tie. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose name as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order.
A constituency-elected member will count towards the party they registered to contest the election with. A member elected by proportional representation will count towards the party whose list they were elected from.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. Independents will not count towards any party.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Karelia and Russia, including the Election Commission of Karelia and the Central Election Commission of Russia.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Legislative Assembly of Karelia as a result of this election.
The number of seats will include all members of the Legislative Assembly of Karelia serving as a result of this election, including members elected in a single- or multiple-member constituency or by proportional representation, where applicable.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose party list received a greater number of valid votes in the specified region’s proportional representation system. Aggregate votes received in constituencies will have no bearing on resolution in a tie. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose name as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order.
A constituency-elected member will count towards the party they registered to contest the election with. A member elected by proportional representation will count towards the party whose list they were elected from.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. Independents will not count towards any party.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Karelia and Russia, including the Election Commission of Karelia and the Central Election Commission of Russia.
Market Opened: Jul 28, 2026, 11:46 AM ET
Volume
$3,512End Date
Sep 20, 2026Market Opened
Jul 28, 2026, 11:46 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections to elect the Legislative Assembly of Karelia, Russia are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Legislative Assembly of Karelia as a result of this election.
The number of seats will include all members of the Legislative Assembly of Karelia serving as a result of this election, including members elected in a single- or multiple-member constituency or by proportional representation, where applicable.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose party list received a greater number of valid votes in the specified region’s proportional representation system. Aggregate votes received in constituencies will have no bearing on resolution in a tie. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose name as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order.
A constituency-elected member will count towards the party they registered to contest the election with. A member elected by proportional representation will count towards the party whose list they were elected from.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. Independents will not count towards any party.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Karelia and Russia, including the Election Commission of Karelia and the Central Election Commission of Russia.United Russia holds a commanding position in the September 2026 Karelian Legislative Assembly election, reflecting its status as the incumbent party with established administrative resources and a track record of securing majorities in prior regional votes. Coinciding with the national State Duma contest, the race features registered lists from parties including CPRF, LDPR, A Just Russia, New People, and others, yet recent court rulings have removed select opposition candidates and lists, such as Yabloko's, following challenges from registered competitors. Trader consensus aligns with historical patterns of incumbent dominance in Russian regional assemblies, where procedural and registration factors shape participation. Scenarios that could alter outcomes include shifts in candidate approvals, turnout dynamics, or late developments in the narrow pre-election window.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Legislative Assembly of Karelia, Russia are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Legislative Assembly of Karelia as a result of this election.
The number of seats will include all members of the Legislative Assembly of Karelia serving as a result of this election, including members elected in a single- or multiple-member constituency or by proportional representation, where applicable.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose party list received a greater number of valid votes in the specified region’s proportional representation system. Aggregate votes received in constituencies will have no bearing on resolution in a tie. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose name as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order.
A constituency-elected member will count towards the party they registered to contest the election with. A member elected by proportional representation will count towards the party whose list they were elected from.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. Independents will not count towards any party.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Karelia and Russia, including the Election Commission of Karelia and the Central Election Commission of Russia.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Legislative Assembly of Karelia as a result of this election.
The number of seats will include all members of the Legislative Assembly of Karelia serving as a result of this election, including members elected in a single- or multiple-member constituency or by proportional representation, where applicable.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose party list received a greater number of valid votes in the specified region’s proportional representation system. Aggregate votes received in constituencies will have no bearing on resolution in a tie. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose name as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order.
A constituency-elected member will count towards the party they registered to contest the election with. A member elected by proportional representation will count towards the party whose list they were elected from.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. Independents will not count towards any party.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Karelia and Russia, including the Election Commission of Karelia and the Central Election Commission of Russia.
Volume
$3,512End Date
Sep 20, 2026Market Opened
Jul 28, 2026, 11:46 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...United Russia holds a commanding position in the September 2026 Karelian Legislative Assembly election, reflecting its status as the incumbent party with established administrative resources and a track record of securing majorities in prior regional votes. Coinciding with the national State Duma contest, the race features registered lists from parties including CPRF, LDPR, A Just Russia, New People, and others, yet recent court rulings have removed select opposition candidates and lists, such as Yabloko's, following challenges from registered competitors. Trader consensus aligns with historical patterns of incumbent dominance in Russian regional assemblies, where procedural and registration factors shape participation. Scenarios that could alter outcomes include shifts in candidate approvals, turnout dynamics, or late developments in the narrow pre-election window.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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