Flu activity during late summer remains negligible, with CDC FluSurv-NET data showing weekly hospitalization rates falling to 0.1 per 100,000 by late May and continuing to decline through July amid minimal viral circulation. This positions the Week 31 rate below the 0.1 threshold at near-certainty, consistent with typical seasonal patterns where influenza transmission drops sharply outside the fall-winter period. Trader consensus reflects established surveillance trends and the absence of any anomalous summer signals. An atypical early surge driven by a novel strain or reporting anomalies could theoretically push the rate higher, though such events lack historical precedent in U.S. data.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedFlu Hospitalization Rate Week 31, 2026?
Flu Hospitalization Rate Week 31, 2026?
<0.1 99.6%
0.1 <1%
>0.1 <1%
$1,983 Vol.
$1,983 Vol.
Aug 14, 2026
<0.1
Yes
0.1
No
>0.1
No
<0.1 99.6%
0.1 <1%
>0.1 <1%
$1,983 Vol.
$1,983 Vol.
Aug 14, 2026
<0.1
$828 Vol.
Yes
0.1
$445 Vol.
No
>0.1
$711 Vol.
No
This market will resolve according to the weekly influenza-associated hospitalization rate per 100,000 population for the United States, as reported by CDC FluSurv-NET for the specified week.
The resolution source for this market will be CDC FluView / FluSurv-NET (see: https://www.cdc.gov/fluview/index.html). If the FluSurv-NET hospitalization rate for the specified week is not released by 11:59 PM ET on the tenth calendar day following the date of the prior FluView weekly report release, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
CDC FluView reports the weekly FluSurv-NET hospitalization rate per 100,000 population to one decimal point (e.g., 0.1). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note: Only the CDC FluSurv-NET weekly hospitalization rate per 100,000 population for the specified week will qualify, regardless of the cumulative influenza-associated hospitalization rate, estimates, projections, state-level reports, or other influenza surveillance metrics published by the CDC or other sources.Flu activity during late summer remains negligible, with CDC FluSurv-NET data showing weekly hospitalization rates falling to 0.1 per 100,000 by late May and continuing to decline through July amid minimal viral circulation. This positions the Week 31 rate below the 0.1 threshold at near-certainty, consistent with typical seasonal patterns where influenza transmission drops sharply outside the fall-winter period. Trader consensus reflects established surveillance trends and the absence of any anomalous summer signals. An atypical early surge driven by a novel strain or reporting anomalies could theoretically push the rate higher, though such events lack historical precedent in U.S. data.
This market will resolve according to the weekly influenza-associated hospitalization rate per 100,000 population for the United States, as reported by CDC FluSurv-NET for the specified week.
The resolution source for this market will be CDC FluView / FluSurv-NET (see: https://www.cdc.gov/fluview/index.html). If the FluSurv-NET hospitalization rate for the specified week is not released by 11:59 PM ET on the tenth calendar day following the date of the prior FluView weekly report release, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
CDC FluView reports the weekly FluSurv-NET hospitalization rate per 100,000 population to one decimal point (e.g., 0.1). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note: Only the CDC FluSurv-NET weekly hospitalization rate per 100,000 population for the specified week will qualify, regardless of the cumulative influenza-associated hospitalization rate, estimates, projections, state-level reports, or other influenza surveillance metrics published by the CDC or other sources.
The resolution source for this market will be CDC FluView / FluSurv-NET (see: https://www.cdc.gov/fluview/index.html). If the FluSurv-NET hospitalization rate for the specified week is not released by 11:59 PM ET on the tenth calendar day following the date of the prior FluView weekly report release, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
CDC FluView reports the weekly FluSurv-NET hospitalization rate per 100,000 population to one decimal point (e.g., 0.1). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note: Only the CDC FluSurv-NET weekly hospitalization rate per 100,000 population for the specified week will qualify, regardless of the cumulative influenza-associated hospitalization rate, estimates, projections, state-level reports, or other influenza surveillance metrics published by the CDC or other sources.
Market Opened: Aug 8, 2026, 12:08 PM ET
Volume
$1,983End Date
Aug 14, 2026Market Opened
Aug 8, 2026, 12:08 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: Yes
No dispute
Final outcome: Yes
This market will resolve according to the weekly influenza-associated hospitalization rate per 100,000 population for the United States, as reported by CDC FluSurv-NET for the specified week.
The resolution source for this market will be CDC FluView / FluSurv-NET (see: https://www.cdc.gov/fluview/index.html). If the FluSurv-NET hospitalization rate for the specified week is not released by 11:59 PM ET on the tenth calendar day following the date of the prior FluView weekly report release, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
CDC FluView reports the weekly FluSurv-NET hospitalization rate per 100,000 population to one decimal point (e.g., 0.1). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note: Only the CDC FluSurv-NET weekly hospitalization rate per 100,000 population for the specified week will qualify, regardless of the cumulative influenza-associated hospitalization rate, estimates, projections, state-level reports, or other influenza surveillance metrics published by the CDC or other sources.Flu activity during late summer remains negligible, with CDC FluSurv-NET data showing weekly hospitalization rates falling to 0.1 per 100,000 by late May and continuing to decline through July amid minimal viral circulation. This positions the Week 31 rate below the 0.1 threshold at near-certainty, consistent with typical seasonal patterns where influenza transmission drops sharply outside the fall-winter period. Trader consensus reflects established surveillance trends and the absence of any anomalous summer signals. An atypical early surge driven by a novel strain or reporting anomalies could theoretically push the rate higher, though such events lack historical precedent in U.S. data.
This market will resolve according to the weekly influenza-associated hospitalization rate per 100,000 population for the United States, as reported by CDC FluSurv-NET for the specified week.
The resolution source for this market will be CDC FluView / FluSurv-NET (see: https://www.cdc.gov/fluview/index.html). If the FluSurv-NET hospitalization rate for the specified week is not released by 11:59 PM ET on the tenth calendar day following the date of the prior FluView weekly report release, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
CDC FluView reports the weekly FluSurv-NET hospitalization rate per 100,000 population to one decimal point (e.g., 0.1). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note: Only the CDC FluSurv-NET weekly hospitalization rate per 100,000 population for the specified week will qualify, regardless of the cumulative influenza-associated hospitalization rate, estimates, projections, state-level reports, or other influenza surveillance metrics published by the CDC or other sources.
The resolution source for this market will be CDC FluView / FluSurv-NET (see: https://www.cdc.gov/fluview/index.html). If the FluSurv-NET hospitalization rate for the specified week is not released by 11:59 PM ET on the tenth calendar day following the date of the prior FluView weekly report release, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
CDC FluView reports the weekly FluSurv-NET hospitalization rate per 100,000 population to one decimal point (e.g., 0.1). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note: Only the CDC FluSurv-NET weekly hospitalization rate per 100,000 population for the specified week will qualify, regardless of the cumulative influenza-associated hospitalization rate, estimates, projections, state-level reports, or other influenza surveillance metrics published by the CDC or other sources.
Volume
$1,983End Date
Aug 14, 2026Market Opened
Aug 8, 2026, 12:08 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: Yes
No dispute
Final outcome: Yes
Flu activity during late summer remains negligible, with CDC FluSurv-NET data showing weekly hospitalization rates falling to 0.1 per 100,000 by late May and continuing to decline through July amid minimal viral circulation. This positions the Week 31 rate below the 0.1 threshold at near-certainty, consistent with typical seasonal patterns where influenza transmission drops sharply outside the fall-winter period. Trader consensus reflects established surveillance trends and the absence of any anomalous summer signals. An atypical early surge driven by a novel strain or reporting anomalies could theoretically push the rate higher, though such events lack historical precedent in U.S. data.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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