Kimi Antonelli leads Italian Grand Prix pole-position odds at 27% due to his dominant 2026 campaign, including six poles and six wins in 11 starts for Mercedes, plus consistent front-row qualifying pace. Monza’s long straights and low-downforce demands reward strong power units and straight-line speed, where recent Mercedes upgrades and Antonelli’s qualifying form create a measurable edge over the clustered group at 14%—Charles Leclerc, Lando Norris, Lewis Hamilton, Oscar Piastri, and George Russell. Max Verstappen sits lower at 8% amid Red Bull’s inconsistent one-lap pace this season, while midfield options remain long shots given the track’s emphasis on outright speed and clean sectors rather than racecraft or tire management.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedKimi Antonelli 27%
Lando Norris 14%
Lewis Hamilton 14%
Oscar Piastri 14%
NEW
NEW
Sep 12, 2026
Kimi Antonelli
27%
Lando Norris
14%
Lewis Hamilton
14%
Oscar Piastri
14%
George Russell
14%
Charles Leclerc
14%
Max Verstappen
8%
Oliver Bearman
5%
Valtteri Bottas
5%
Pierre Gasly
3%
Fernando Alonso
3%
Franco Colapinto
3%
Nico Hulkenberg
3%
Arvid Lindblad
3%
Liam Lawson
3%
Isack Hadjar
3%
Carlos Sainz Jr.
<1%
Lance Stroll
<1%
Alexander Albon
<1%
Gabriel Bortoleto
<1%
Sergio Perez
<1%
Esteban Ocon
<1%
Kimi Antonelli 27%
Lando Norris 14%
Lewis Hamilton 14%
Oscar Piastri 14%
NEW
NEW
Sep 12, 2026
Kimi Antonelli
$7 Vol.
27%
Lando Norris
$0 Vol.
14%
Lewis Hamilton
$0 Vol.
14%
Oscar Piastri
$0 Vol.
14%
George Russell
$0 Vol.
14%
Charles Leclerc
$0 Vol.
14%
Max Verstappen
$7 Vol.
8%
Oliver Bearman
$19 Vol.
5%
Valtteri Bottas
$19 Vol.
5%
Pierre Gasly
$0 Vol.
3%
Fernando Alonso
$0 Vol.
3%
Franco Colapinto
$0 Vol.
3%
Nico Hulkenberg
$0 Vol.
3%
Arvid Lindblad
$0 Vol.
3%
Liam Lawson
$0 Vol.
3%
Isack Hadjar
$0 Vol.
3%
Carlos Sainz Jr.
$20 Vol.
<1%
Lance Stroll
$19 Vol.
<1%
Alexander Albon
$20 Vol.
<1%
Gabriel Bortoleto
$20 Vol.
<1%
Sergio Perez
$20 Vol.
<1%
Esteban Ocon
$20 Vol.
<1%
This is a polymarket on the driver who achieves pole position at the 2026 F1 Italian Grand Prix, scheduled for Sep 5, 2026.
If the 2026 F1 Italian Grand Prix is canceled or rescheduled to a date after Sep 12, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve in favor of the driver who is officially recognized by Formula 1 as having set the fastest time during the qualifying session for the 2026 F1 Italian Grand Prix. The market will be settled based on the FIA's official qualifying results, regardless of any subsequent penalties, disqualifications, or changes to the starting grid.
For example, if a driver sets the fastest qualifying time but later receives a grid penalty or is moved down the starting order, the market will still resolve to “Yes” for that driver.
The resolution source will be the official Formula 1 website and a consensus of credible sports news reporting.Kimi Antonelli leads Italian Grand Prix pole-position odds at 27% due to his dominant 2026 campaign, including six poles and six wins in 11 starts for Mercedes, plus consistent front-row qualifying pace. Monza’s long straights and low-downforce demands reward strong power units and straight-line speed, where recent Mercedes upgrades and Antonelli’s qualifying form create a measurable edge over the clustered group at 14%—Charles Leclerc, Lando Norris, Lewis Hamilton, Oscar Piastri, and George Russell. Max Verstappen sits lower at 8% amid Red Bull’s inconsistent one-lap pace this season, while midfield options remain long shots given the track’s emphasis on outright speed and clean sectors rather than racecraft or tire management.
This is a polymarket on the driver who achieves pole position at the 2026 F1 Italian Grand Prix, scheduled for Sep 5, 2026.
If the 2026 F1 Italian Grand Prix is canceled or rescheduled to a date after Sep 12, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve in favor of the driver who is officially recognized by Formula 1 as having set the fastest time during the qualifying session for the 2026 F1 Italian Grand Prix. The market will be settled based on the FIA's official qualifying results, regardless of any subsequent penalties, disqualifications, or changes to the starting grid.
For example, if a driver sets the fastest qualifying time but later receives a grid penalty or is moved down the starting order, the market will still resolve to “Yes” for that driver.
The resolution source will be the official Formula 1 website and a consensus of credible sports news reporting.
If the 2026 F1 Italian Grand Prix is canceled or rescheduled to a date after Sep 12, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve in favor of the driver who is officially recognized by Formula 1 as having set the fastest time during the qualifying session for the 2026 F1 Italian Grand Prix. The market will be settled based on the FIA's official qualifying results, regardless of any subsequent penalties, disqualifications, or changes to the starting grid.
For example, if a driver sets the fastest qualifying time but later receives a grid penalty or is moved down the starting order, the market will still resolve to “Yes” for that driver.
The resolution source will be the official Formula 1 website and a consensus of credible sports news reporting.
Market Opened: Aug 8, 2026, 7:30 AM ET
Volume
$172End Date
Sep 12, 2026Market Opened
Aug 8, 2026, 7:30 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.formula1.com/en/results/2026/racesResolver
0x69c47De9D...This is a polymarket on the driver who achieves pole position at the 2026 F1 Italian Grand Prix, scheduled for Sep 5, 2026.
If the 2026 F1 Italian Grand Prix is canceled or rescheduled to a date after Sep 12, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve in favor of the driver who is officially recognized by Formula 1 as having set the fastest time during the qualifying session for the 2026 F1 Italian Grand Prix. The market will be settled based on the FIA's official qualifying results, regardless of any subsequent penalties, disqualifications, or changes to the starting grid.
For example, if a driver sets the fastest qualifying time but later receives a grid penalty or is moved down the starting order, the market will still resolve to “Yes” for that driver.
The resolution source will be the official Formula 1 website and a consensus of credible sports news reporting.Kimi Antonelli leads Italian Grand Prix pole-position odds at 27% due to his dominant 2026 campaign, including six poles and six wins in 11 starts for Mercedes, plus consistent front-row qualifying pace. Monza’s long straights and low-downforce demands reward strong power units and straight-line speed, where recent Mercedes upgrades and Antonelli’s qualifying form create a measurable edge over the clustered group at 14%—Charles Leclerc, Lando Norris, Lewis Hamilton, Oscar Piastri, and George Russell. Max Verstappen sits lower at 8% amid Red Bull’s inconsistent one-lap pace this season, while midfield options remain long shots given the track’s emphasis on outright speed and clean sectors rather than racecraft or tire management.
This is a polymarket on the driver who achieves pole position at the 2026 F1 Italian Grand Prix, scheduled for Sep 5, 2026.
If the 2026 F1 Italian Grand Prix is canceled or rescheduled to a date after Sep 12, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve in favor of the driver who is officially recognized by Formula 1 as having set the fastest time during the qualifying session for the 2026 F1 Italian Grand Prix. The market will be settled based on the FIA's official qualifying results, regardless of any subsequent penalties, disqualifications, or changes to the starting grid.
For example, if a driver sets the fastest qualifying time but later receives a grid penalty or is moved down the starting order, the market will still resolve to “Yes” for that driver.
The resolution source will be the official Formula 1 website and a consensus of credible sports news reporting.
If the 2026 F1 Italian Grand Prix is canceled or rescheduled to a date after Sep 12, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve in favor of the driver who is officially recognized by Formula 1 as having set the fastest time during the qualifying session for the 2026 F1 Italian Grand Prix. The market will be settled based on the FIA's official qualifying results, regardless of any subsequent penalties, disqualifications, or changes to the starting grid.
For example, if a driver sets the fastest qualifying time but later receives a grid penalty or is moved down the starting order, the market will still resolve to “Yes” for that driver.
The resolution source will be the official Formula 1 website and a consensus of credible sports news reporting.
Volume
$172End Date
Sep 12, 2026Market Opened
Aug 8, 2026, 7:30 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.formula1.com/en/results/2026/racesResolver
0x69c47De9D...Kimi Antonelli leads Italian Grand Prix pole-position odds at 27% due to his dominant 2026 campaign, including six poles and six wins in 11 starts for Mercedes, plus consistent front-row qualifying pace. Monza’s long straights and low-downforce demands reward strong power units and straight-line speed, where recent Mercedes upgrades and Antonelli’s qualifying form create a measurable edge over the clustered group at 14%—Charles Leclerc, Lando Norris, Lewis Hamilton, Oscar Piastri, and George Russell. Max Verstappen sits lower at 8% amid Red Bull’s inconsistent one-lap pace this season, while midfield options remain long shots given the track’s emphasis on outright speed and clean sectors rather than racecraft or tire management.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions