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Sports·Formula 1

F1 Drivers' Champion

icon for F1 Drivers' Champion
Sports·Formula 1

F1 Drivers' Champion

Kimi Antonelli 74.6%

Lewis Hamilton 10.1%

George Russell 7%

Charles Leclerc 2.6%

Polymarket

$200,973,857 Vol.

Kimi Antonelli 74.6%

Lewis Hamilton 10.1%

George Russell 7%

Charles Leclerc 2.6%

Polymarket

$200,973,857 Vol.

Kimi Antonelli

$3,971,408 Vol.

75%

Lewis Hamilton

$5,197,592 Vol.

10%

George Russell

$2,581,245 Vol.

7%

Charles Leclerc

$5,181,943 Vol.

3%

Lando Norris

$6,632,300 Vol.

2%

Max Verstappen

$5,801,912 Vol.

2%

Oscar Piastri

$6,233,805 Vol.

<1%

Esteban Ocon

$9,493,819 Vol.

<1%

Fernando Alonso

$9,130,865 Vol.

<1%

Nico Hülkenberg

$8,459,973 Vol.

<1%

Pierre Gasly

$11,500,594 Vol.

<1%

Liam Lawson

$10,709,345 Vol.

<1%

Arvid Lindblad

$12,039,179 Vol.

<1%

Carlos Sainz Jr.

$11,087,464 Vol.

<1%

Sergio Pérez

$11,786,864 Vol.

<1%

Isack Hadjar

$9,362,512 Vol.

<1%

Lance Stroll

$11,729,442 Vol.

<1%

Oliver Bearman

$12,885,043 Vol.

<1%

Gabriel Bortoleto

$10,915,956 Vol.

<1%

Franco Colapinto

$12,214,866 Vol.

<1%

Alexander Albon

$11,865,139 Vol.

<1%

Valtteri Bottas

$12,192,591 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the listed driver that finishes 1st in the driver standings for the 2026 F1 season. This market will resolve as soon as the official results of the final scheduled race of the 2026 F1 season are known. If multiple drivers tie for first place in the drivers standings, this market will resolve according to the tiebreak procedure used by F1 to determine the 2026 F1 Drivers’ champion. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed driver to win the 2026 F1 Drivers Championship based on the rules of F1 (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from contention), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the F1 season is permanently canceled or has not been completed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Formula 1.Kimi Antonelli's commanding 50-point lead in the 2026 Drivers' Championship standings, built on consistent race wins and strong Mercedes pace, underpins the 74.7% implied probability assigned by traders. With 219 points after recent grands prix including the Belgian event, the Italian has extended his advantage over Ferrari's Lewis Hamilton (169 points) and teammate George Russell (160 points) through superior qualifying and race execution. Hamilton's move to Ferrari has yielded podiums but limited his ability to close the gap amid McLaren and Ferrari development battles. Later-season factors such as remaining circuits, reliability, and potential strategy swings could still influence the outcome, yet Antonelli's current form and points buffer shape the market consensus reflected in these probabilities.

This market will resolve according to the listed driver that finishes 1st in the driver standings for the 2026 F1 season.

This market will resolve as soon as the official results of the final scheduled race of the 2026 F1 season are known.

If multiple drivers tie for first place in the drivers standings, this market will resolve according to the tiebreak procedure used by F1 to determine the 2026 F1 Drivers’ champion.

If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed driver to win the 2026 F1 Drivers Championship based on the rules of F1 (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from contention), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.

If the F1 season is permanently canceled or has not been completed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Formula 1.
Volume
$200,973,857
End Date
Dec 6, 2026
Market Opened
Dec 8, 2025, 7:46 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the listed driver that finishes 1st in the driver standings for the 2026 F1 season. This market will resolve as soon as the official results of the final scheduled race of the 2026 F1 season are known. If multiple drivers tie for first place in the drivers standings, this market will resolve according to the tiebreak procedure used by F1 to determine the 2026 F1 Drivers’ champion. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed driver to win the 2026 F1 Drivers Championship based on the rules of F1 (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from contention), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the F1 season is permanently canceled or has not been completed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Formula 1.
This market will resolve according to the listed driver that finishes 1st in the driver standings for the 2026 F1 season. This market will resolve as soon as the official results of the final scheduled race of the 2026 F1 season are known. If multiple drivers tie for first place in the drivers standings, this market will resolve according to the tiebreak procedure used by F1 to determine the 2026 F1 Drivers’ champion. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed driver to win the 2026 F1 Drivers Championship based on the rules of F1 (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from contention), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the F1 season is permanently canceled or has not been completed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Formula 1.Kimi Antonelli's commanding 50-point lead in the 2026 Drivers' Championship standings, built on consistent race wins and strong Mercedes pace, underpins the 74.7% implied probability assigned by traders. With 219 points after recent grands prix including the Belgian event, the Italian has extended his advantage over Ferrari's Lewis Hamilton (169 points) and teammate George Russell (160 points) through superior qualifying and race execution. Hamilton's move to Ferrari has yielded podiums but limited his ability to close the gap amid McLaren and Ferrari development battles. Later-season factors such as remaining circuits, reliability, and potential strategy swings could still influence the outcome, yet Antonelli's current form and points buffer shape the market consensus reflected in these probabilities.

This market will resolve according to the listed driver that finishes 1st in the driver standings for the 2026 F1 season.

This market will resolve as soon as the official results of the final scheduled race of the 2026 F1 season are known.

If multiple drivers tie for first place in the drivers standings, this market will resolve according to the tiebreak procedure used by F1 to determine the 2026 F1 Drivers’ champion.

If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed driver to win the 2026 F1 Drivers Championship based on the rules of F1 (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from contention), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.

If the F1 season is permanently canceled or has not been completed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Formula 1.
Volume
$200,973,857
End Date
Dec 6, 2026
Market Opened
Dec 8, 2025, 7:46 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the listed driver that finishes 1st in the driver standings for the 2026 F1 season. This market will resolve as soon as the official results of the final scheduled race of the 2026 F1 season are known. If multiple drivers tie for first place in the drivers standings, this market will resolve according to the tiebreak procedure used by F1 to determine the 2026 F1 Drivers’ champion. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed driver to win the 2026 F1 Drivers Championship based on the rules of F1 (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from contention), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the F1 season is permanently canceled or has not been completed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Formula 1.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"F1 Drivers' Champion" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 22 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Kimi Antonelli" at 75%, followed by "Lewis Hamilton" at 10%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 75¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 75% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "F1 Drivers' Champion" has generated $201 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Dec 8, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "F1 Drivers' Champion," browse the 22 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "F1 Drivers' Champion" is "Kimi Antonelli" at 75%, meaning the market assigns a 75% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Lewis Hamilton" at 10%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "F1 Drivers' Champion" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.