Recent Bank of Israel monetary policy easing, including consecutive 25 basis point cuts to 3.5 percent in May and July, has anchored trader expectations for a hold at the September 1 meeting. Stable inflation near the 1.5–1.9 percent midpoint of the 1–3 percent target range, a strong shekel, and the risk premium returning to pre-2023 levels support the 71.5 percent consensus on no change. Updated central bank forecasts project 4 percent GDP growth in 2026 amid post-conflict recovery, with Governor Amir Yaron signaling gradual further easing only if disinflation persists. This underpins the 28.5 percent probability of another cut while leaving negligible room for a hike.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedNo Change 72%
Decrease 29%
Increase <1%
$50,291 Vol.
$50,291 Vol.
Decrease
29%
No Change
72%
Increase
<1%
No Change 72%
Decrease 29%
Increase <1%
$50,291 Vol.
$50,291 Vol.
Decrease
29%
No Change
72%
Increase
<1%
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Israel after its September 1, 2026 monetary policy decision, as listed on the official Bank of Israel interest rate decision schedule: https://www.boi.org.il/en/economic-roles/monetary-policy/interest-rate-announcement-dates-2025-2026/#
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Israel's announcement of their September 1, 2026 decision with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the Bank of Israel Interest Rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Market Opened: Jul 10, 2026, 10:27 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Israel after its September 1, 2026 monetary policy decision, as listed on the official Bank of Israel interest rate decision schedule: https://www.boi.org.il/en/economic-roles/monetary-policy/interest-rate-announcement-dates-2025-2026/#
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Israel's announcement of their September 1, 2026 decision with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the Bank of Israel Interest Rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Bank of Israel monetary policy easing, including consecutive 25 basis point cuts to 3.5 percent in May and July, has anchored trader expectations for a hold at the September 1 meeting. Stable inflation near the 1.5–1.9 percent midpoint of the 1–3 percent target range, a strong shekel, and the risk premium returning to pre-2023 levels support the 71.5 percent consensus on no change. Updated central bank forecasts project 4 percent GDP growth in 2026 amid post-conflict recovery, with Governor Amir Yaron signaling gradual further easing only if disinflation persists. This underpins the 28.5 percent probability of another cut while leaving negligible room for a hike.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated



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