António Guterres is serving the final months of his second term as UN Secretary-General, which concludes on 31 December 2026 under the standard five-year appointment cycle. The formal selection process for his successor is already advanced, with multiple candidates nominated by member states, interactive dialogues completed, and Security Council straw polls underway as of mid-2026. Guterres continues to fulfill official duties, including recent public statements on climate action, AI governance, and diplomatic visits, without reported institutional challenges or resignation pressures that would trigger an early departure. Trader consensus on the “No” outcome at 74.5% aligns with the predictable timeline for term completion and the absence of extraordinary events altering the appointment process.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedAntónio Guterres out by December 31?
An announcement of António Guterres's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from António Guterres and the United Nations; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Apr 21, 2026, 2:17 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...An announcement of António Guterres's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from António Guterres and the United Nations; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...António Guterres is serving the final months of his second term as UN Secretary-General, which concludes on 31 December 2026 under the standard five-year appointment cycle. The formal selection process for his successor is already advanced, with multiple candidates nominated by member states, interactive dialogues completed, and Security Council straw polls underway as of mid-2026. Guterres continues to fulfill official duties, including recent public statements on climate action, AI governance, and diplomatic visits, without reported institutional challenges or resignation pressures that would trigger an early departure. Trader consensus on the “No” outcome at 74.5% aligns with the predictable timeline for term completion and the absence of extraordinary events altering the appointment process.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated



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