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Sports·Games

Melbourne Demons vs. Brisbane Lions

icon for Melbourne Demons vs. Brisbane Lions
Sports·Games

Melbourne Demons vs. Brisbane Lions

Aug 16

Aug 22

Aug 22

Aug 22

Aug 16

Aug 22

Aug 22

Aug 22

Melbourne Demons

47% chance
Polymarket
NEW

Melbourne Demons

47% chance
Polymarket
NEW
This market refers to the AFL Women match between Melbourne Demons and Brisbane Lions, scheduled for August 29 at 11:05PM ET. This market will resolve to "Melbourne Demons" if Melbourne Demons is officially credited with the match win. This market will resolve to "Brisbane Lions" if Brisbane Lions is officially credited with the match win. The official final result will be used, including extra time when the competition uses it. If the official result is a draw, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, this market will resolve to a team only if that team is officially credited with the win; otherwise it will resolve 50-50. If the match does not begin, is canceled, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official Australian Football League results. If official results have not been published within 24 hours after the match concludes, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.Brisbane Lions hold a slim 53% implied probability in this matchup due to their elite counter-attacking efficiency, leading the competition in chain-to-score rate and defensive-to-inside-50 transitions under coach Chris Fagan, combined with strong recent form that includes multiple high-margin wins. Melbourne Demons counter with stoppage dominance and post-clearance strength in Steven King’s first season, which has delivered 15 wins despite key absences like suspended forward Jacob van Rooyen and fitness doubts around Jake Lever and Matt Jefferson. The narrow margin reflects competitive balance between Brisbane’s transition edge and Melbourne’s midfield resilience plus historical MCG success in close contests, with potential shifts hinging on confirmed lineups, ruck battles involving Max Gawn, and any late injury updates ahead of resolution.

This market refers to the AFL Women match between Melbourne Demons and Brisbane Lions, scheduled for August 29 at 11:05PM ET.

This market will resolve to "Melbourne Demons" if Melbourne Demons is officially credited with the match win.

This market will resolve to "Brisbane Lions" if Brisbane Lions is officially credited with the match win.

The official final result will be used, including extra time when the competition uses it. If the official result is a draw, this market will resolve 50-50.

If the match begins but is not completed, this market will resolve to a team only if that team is officially credited with the win; otherwise it will resolve 50-50. If the match does not begin, is canceled, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without beginning, this market will resolve 50-50.

Resolution will be based on official Australian Football League results. If official results have not been published within 24 hours after the match concludes, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Volume
$0
End Date
Sep 6, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 24, 2026, 4:31 AM ET

Resolution Source

https://www.afl.com.au/aflw

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market refers to the AFL Women match between Melbourne Demons and Brisbane Lions, scheduled for August 29 at 11:05PM ET. This market will resolve to "Melbourne Demons" if Melbourne Demons is officially credited with the match win. This market will resolve to "Brisbane Lions" if Brisbane Lions is officially credited with the match win. The official final result will be used, including extra time when the competition uses it. If the official result is a draw, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, this market will resolve to a team only if that team is officially credited with the win; otherwise it will resolve 50-50. If the match does not begin, is canceled, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official Australian Football League results. If official results have not been published within 24 hours after the match concludes, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
This market refers to the AFL Women match between Melbourne Demons and Brisbane Lions, scheduled for August 29 at 11:05PM ET. This market will resolve to "Melbourne Demons" if Melbourne Demons is officially credited with the match win. This market will resolve to "Brisbane Lions" if Brisbane Lions is officially credited with the match win. The official final result will be used, including extra time when the competition uses it. If the official result is a draw, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, this market will resolve to a team only if that team is officially credited with the win; otherwise it will resolve 50-50. If the match does not begin, is canceled, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official Australian Football League results. If official results have not been published within 24 hours after the match concludes, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.Brisbane Lions hold a slim 53% implied probability in this matchup due to their elite counter-attacking efficiency, leading the competition in chain-to-score rate and defensive-to-inside-50 transitions under coach Chris Fagan, combined with strong recent form that includes multiple high-margin wins. Melbourne Demons counter with stoppage dominance and post-clearance strength in Steven King’s first season, which has delivered 15 wins despite key absences like suspended forward Jacob van Rooyen and fitness doubts around Jake Lever and Matt Jefferson. The narrow margin reflects competitive balance between Brisbane’s transition edge and Melbourne’s midfield resilience plus historical MCG success in close contests, with potential shifts hinging on confirmed lineups, ruck battles involving Max Gawn, and any late injury updates ahead of resolution.

This market refers to the AFL Women match between Melbourne Demons and Brisbane Lions, scheduled for August 29 at 11:05PM ET.

This market will resolve to "Melbourne Demons" if Melbourne Demons is officially credited with the match win.

This market will resolve to "Brisbane Lions" if Brisbane Lions is officially credited with the match win.

The official final result will be used, including extra time when the competition uses it. If the official result is a draw, this market will resolve 50-50.

If the match begins but is not completed, this market will resolve to a team only if that team is officially credited with the win; otherwise it will resolve 50-50. If the match does not begin, is canceled, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without beginning, this market will resolve 50-50.

Resolution will be based on official Australian Football League results. If official results have not been published within 24 hours after the match concludes, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Volume
$0
End Date
Sep 6, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 24, 2026, 4:31 AM ET

Resolution Source

https://www.afl.com.au/aflw

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market refers to the AFL Women match between Melbourne Demons and Brisbane Lions, scheduled for August 29 at 11:05PM ET. This market will resolve to "Melbourne Demons" if Melbourne Demons is officially credited with the match win. This market will resolve to "Brisbane Lions" if Brisbane Lions is officially credited with the match win. The official final result will be used, including extra time when the competition uses it. If the official result is a draw, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, this market will resolve to a team only if that team is officially credited with the win; otherwise it will resolve 50-50. If the match does not begin, is canceled, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official Australian Football League results. If official results have not been published within 24 hours after the match concludes, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Melbourne Demons vs. Brisbane Lions" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 2 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Melbourne Demons vs. Brisbane Lions" at 47%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 47¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 47% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Melbourne Demons vs. Brisbane Lions" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Aug 29, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Melbourne Demons vs. Brisbane Lions," browse the 2 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Melbourne Demons vs. Brisbane Lions" is "Melbourne Demons vs. Brisbane Lions" at 47%, meaning the market assigns a 47% chance to that outcome. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Melbourne Demons vs. Brisbane Lions" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.