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Sports·ATP

2026 Men’s US Open Winner (Tennis)

icon for 2026 Men’s US Open Winner (Tennis)
Sports·ATP

2026 Men’s US Open Winner (Tennis)

Jannik Sinner 52%

Alexander Zverev 13.3%

Carlos Alcaraz 12%

Novak Djokovic 6.3%

Polymarket

$6,298,137 Vol.

Jannik Sinner 52%

Alexander Zverev 13.3%

Carlos Alcaraz 12%

Novak Djokovic 6.3%

Polymarket

$6,298,137 Vol.

Jannik Sinner

$232,673 Vol.

52%

Alexander Zverev

$183,273 Vol.

13%

Carlos Alcaraz

$313,457 Vol.

12%

Novak Djokovic

$324,394 Vol.

6%

Ben Shelton

$222,431 Vol.

5%

Taylor Fritz

$214,056 Vol.

3%

Daniil Medvedev

$202,880 Vol.

2%

Jakub Mensik

$247,520 Vol.

1%

Arthur Fils

$215,532 Vol.

1%

Joao Fonseca

$243,544 Vol.

1%

Felix Auger Aliassime

$608,086 Vol.

1%

Alexander Bublik

$190,877 Vol.

1%

Frances Tiafoe

$172,565 Vol.

1%

Andrey Rublev

$245,483 Vol.

1%

Lorenzo Musetti

$318,400 Vol.

1%

Matteo Berrettini

$413,291 Vol.

<1%

Flavio Cobolli

$131,694 Vol.

<1%

Jiri Lehecka

$432,628 Vol.

<1%

Jack Draper

$214,392 Vol.

<1%

Hubert Hurkacz

$261,280 Vol.

<1%

Grigor Dimitrov

$756,934 Vol.

<1%

Holger Rune

$152,750 Vol.

<1%

The 2026 U.S. Open tennis tournament is scheduled for August 23 - September 13, 2026. This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after October 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. Open (https://www.usopen.org/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Jannik Sinner leads the 2026 US Open market at 51.5% implied probability due to his dominant 2026 campaign, including a Wimbledon title defense and a 44-3 record across multiple Masters 1000 titles on varied surfaces. Alexander Zverev sits at 13.3% after capturing his first major at Roland Garros and reaching the Wimbledon final, highlighting improved consistency in big matches. Carlos Alcaraz holds 12.0% as defending champion but faces uncertainty from a right wrist injury that has sidelined him since April, limiting recent hard-court preparation. Novak Djokovic at 6.3% reflects veteran Grand Slam experience tempered by age-related form questions, while younger players like Ben Shelton and Taylor Fritz occupy lower shares based on hard-court results and ranking trajectories. Hard-court conditions and recent head-to-head patterns among the top three further shape trader consensus around these probabilities.

The 2026 U.S. Open tennis tournament is scheduled for August 23 - September 13, 2026.

This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament.

If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.

If the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after October 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. Open (https://www.usopen.org/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$6,298,137
End Date
Sep 13, 2026
Market Opened
Jan 2, 2026, 2:09 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
The 2026 U.S. Open tennis tournament is scheduled for August 23 - September 13, 2026. This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after October 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. Open (https://www.usopen.org/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The 2026 U.S. Open tennis tournament is scheduled for August 23 - September 13, 2026. This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after October 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. Open (https://www.usopen.org/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Jannik Sinner leads the 2026 US Open market at 51.5% implied probability due to his dominant 2026 campaign, including a Wimbledon title defense and a 44-3 record across multiple Masters 1000 titles on varied surfaces. Alexander Zverev sits at 13.3% after capturing his first major at Roland Garros and reaching the Wimbledon final, highlighting improved consistency in big matches. Carlos Alcaraz holds 12.0% as defending champion but faces uncertainty from a right wrist injury that has sidelined him since April, limiting recent hard-court preparation. Novak Djokovic at 6.3% reflects veteran Grand Slam experience tempered by age-related form questions, while younger players like Ben Shelton and Taylor Fritz occupy lower shares based on hard-court results and ranking trajectories. Hard-court conditions and recent head-to-head patterns among the top three further shape trader consensus around these probabilities.

The 2026 U.S. Open tennis tournament is scheduled for August 23 - September 13, 2026.

This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament.

If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.

If the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after October 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. Open (https://www.usopen.org/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$6,298,137
End Date
Sep 13, 2026
Market Opened
Jan 2, 2026, 2:09 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
The 2026 U.S. Open tennis tournament is scheduled for August 23 - September 13, 2026. This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after October 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. Open (https://www.usopen.org/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"2026 Men’s US Open Winner (Tennis)" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 22 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Jannik Sinner" at 52%, followed by "Alexander Zverev" at 13%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 52¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 52% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "2026 Men’s US Open Winner (Tennis)" has generated $6.3 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Jan 2, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "2026 Men’s US Open Winner (Tennis)," browse the 22 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "2026 Men’s US Open Winner (Tennis)" is "Jannik Sinner" at 52%, meaning the market assigns a 52% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Alexander Zverev" at 13%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "2026 Men’s US Open Winner (Tennis)" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.