The deep, evenly matched field at the 2026 FedEx St. Jude Championship at TPC Southwind drives the tight Polymarket pricing, with Scottie Scheffler leading at 12% implied probability amid a leaderboard featuring multiple first-round co-leaders including Michael Kim, Jake Knapp, Michael Thorbjornsen, Jordan Spieth, and Kurt Kitayama. Scheffler's patient opening 68 reflects his consistent ball-striking and course management on the tree-lined, water-guarded layout, yet recent form across the top 30 qualifiers shows comparable accuracy off the tee and around the greens. The mid-August Memphis heat and playoff positioning pressure create parity, as players like Steven Fisk, Tommy Fleetwood, and Hideki Matsuyama post strong recent results and historical fits at the venue. This setup favors a broad group of contenders rather than any single dominant force through the weekend rounds.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedSteven Fisk 20.1%
Scottie Scheffler 12%
Tommy Fleetwood 8.8%
Hideki Matsuyama 7.6%
$67,933 Vol.
$67,933 Vol.
Steven Fisk
20%
Scottie Scheffler
12%
Tommy Fleetwood
9%
Hideki Matsuyama
8%
Michael Thorbjornsen
7%
Xander Schauffele
6%
Sam Burns
6%
Chris Gotterup
5%
Kurt Kitayama
5%
Jake Knapp
5%
Jordan Spieth
4%
Michael Kim
3%
Sung-Jae Im
3%
Bud Cauley
3%
Ludvig Aberg
3%
Min Woo Lee
3%
Cameron Young
2%
Adam Scott
2%
Viktor Hovland
2%
Gary Woodland
2%
Rickie Fowler
2%
Maverick McNealy
2%
Matt Fitzpatrick
1%
Keith Mitchell
1%
Sahith Theegala
1%
Alex Smalley
1%
Jacob Bridgeman
1%
Wyndham Clark
1%
Alex Fitzpatrick
1%
Matthias Schmid
1%
Patrick Cantlay
1%
Nicolai Hojgaard
1%
Nick Taylor
1%
Harris English
1%
Matt McCarty
1%
Si Woo Kim
1%
Brian Harman
1%
Corey Conners
1%
Jordan L. Smith
1%
Sam Stevens
1%
Max Homa
1%
Kristoffer Reitan
1%
Ben Griffin
1%
Harry Hall
1%
Eric Cole
1%
Ryan Fox
1%
Robert MacIntyre
1%
Aaron Rai
1%
Collin Morikawa
1%
Sepp Straka
1%
Nicolas Echavarria
1%
Russell Henley
1%
Shane Lowry
1%
Ryan Gerard
1%
Justin Thomas
1%
Alexander Noren
1%
Rory McIlroy
1%
Sudarshan Yellamaraju
1%
Ryo Hisatsune
1%
J.J. Spaun
1%
Akshay Bhatia
1%
JT Poston
1%
Ricky Castillo
<1%
Pierceson Coody
<1%
Justin Rose
<1%
Tom Kim
<1%
Jackson Koivun
<1%
Aldrich Potgieter
<1%
Patrick Rodgers
<1%
Steven Fisk 20.1%
Scottie Scheffler 12%
Tommy Fleetwood 8.8%
Hideki Matsuyama 7.6%
$67,933 Vol.
$67,933 Vol.
Steven Fisk
20%
Scottie Scheffler
12%
Tommy Fleetwood
9%
Hideki Matsuyama
8%
Michael Thorbjornsen
7%
Xander Schauffele
6%
Sam Burns
6%
Chris Gotterup
5%
Kurt Kitayama
5%
Jake Knapp
5%
Jordan Spieth
4%
Michael Kim
3%
Sung-Jae Im
3%
Bud Cauley
3%
Ludvig Aberg
3%
Min Woo Lee
3%
Cameron Young
2%
Adam Scott
2%
Viktor Hovland
2%
Gary Woodland
2%
Rickie Fowler
2%
Maverick McNealy
2%
Matt Fitzpatrick
1%
Keith Mitchell
1%
Sahith Theegala
1%
Alex Smalley
1%
Jacob Bridgeman
1%
Wyndham Clark
1%
Alex Fitzpatrick
1%
Matthias Schmid
1%
Patrick Cantlay
1%
Nicolai Hojgaard
1%
Nick Taylor
1%
Harris English
1%
Matt McCarty
1%
Si Woo Kim
1%
Brian Harman
1%
Corey Conners
1%
Jordan L. Smith
1%
Sam Stevens
1%
Max Homa
1%
Kristoffer Reitan
1%
Ben Griffin
1%
Harry Hall
1%
Eric Cole
1%
Ryan Fox
1%
Robert MacIntyre
1%
Aaron Rai
1%
Collin Morikawa
1%
Sepp Straka
1%
Nicolas Echavarria
1%
Russell Henley
1%
Shane Lowry
1%
Ryan Gerard
1%
Justin Thomas
1%
Alexander Noren
1%
Rory McIlroy
1%
Sudarshan Yellamaraju
1%
Ryo Hisatsune
1%
J.J. Spaun
1%
Akshay Bhatia
1%
JT Poston
1%
Ricky Castillo
<1%
Pierceson Coody
<1%
Justin Rose
<1%
Tom Kim
<1%
Jackson Koivun
<1%
Aldrich Potgieter
<1%
Patrick Rodgers
<1%
If a listed player is eliminated from contention for the FedEx St. Jude Championship tournament based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will immediately resolve to "No".
If an unlisted player wins the FedEx St. Jude Championship tournament this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by PGA Tour official tournament rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If no winner is announced by August 22, 2026 at 8:00PM ET this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the PGA Tour website (https://www.pgatour.com/).
Market Opened: Aug 8, 2026, 12:00 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.pgatour.com/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If a listed player is eliminated from contention for the FedEx St. Jude Championship tournament based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will immediately resolve to "No".
If an unlisted player wins the FedEx St. Jude Championship tournament this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by PGA Tour official tournament rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If no winner is announced by August 22, 2026 at 8:00PM ET this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the PGA Tour website (https://www.pgatour.com/).
Resolution Source
https://www.pgatour.com/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The deep, evenly matched field at the 2026 FedEx St. Jude Championship at TPC Southwind drives the tight Polymarket pricing, with Scottie Scheffler leading at 12% implied probability amid a leaderboard featuring multiple first-round co-leaders including Michael Kim, Jake Knapp, Michael Thorbjornsen, Jordan Spieth, and Kurt Kitayama. Scheffler's patient opening 68 reflects his consistent ball-striking and course management on the tree-lined, water-guarded layout, yet recent form across the top 30 qualifiers shows comparable accuracy off the tee and around the greens. The mid-August Memphis heat and playoff positioning pressure create parity, as players like Steven Fisk, Tommy Fleetwood, and Hideki Matsuyama post strong recent results and historical fits at the venue. This setup favors a broad group of contenders rather than any single dominant force through the weekend rounds.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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