Scottie Scheffler’s commanding regular-season lead in FedExCup points and strokes-gained metrics underpins his 17% implied probability as the top favorite entering the three-event playoffs, though his lack of a recent win keeps the door open for challengers. Rory McIlroy’s 13.5% share reflects his strong historical playoff record, multiple prior titles, and return to the field after skipping the opener last year, with the pair paired together at the ongoing FedEx St. Jude Championship. Cameron Young, Xander Schauffele, Tommy Fleetwood, and others trail in a tight cluster because the progressive cuts to the BMW Championship and Tour Championship at East Lake allow significant movement based on recent form, course fit at TPC Southwind and Bellerive, and momentum shifts across the remaining events. Trader consensus views the race as highly competitive given the format’s emphasis on late-season surges over any single player’s dominance.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedScottie Scheffler 17%
Rory McIlroy 14%
Cameron Young 7.6%
Xander Schauffele 5.8%
$2,609,378 Vol.
$2,609,378 Vol.
Scottie Scheffler
17%
Rory McIlroy
14%
Cameron Young
8%
Xander Schauffele
6%
Tommy Fleetwood
5%
Daniel Berger
5%
Hideki Matsuyama
5%
Ludvig Åberg
4%
Nico Echavarria
4%
Chris Gotterup
4%
Matt Fitzpatrick
3%
Si Woo Kim
3%
Sam Burns
3%
Robert MacIntyre
3%
Sahith Theegala
2%
Sudarshan Yellamaraju
2%
Collin Morikawa
2%
Russell Henley
2%
Akshay Bhatia
2%
Sepp Straka
2%
J.J. Spaun
1%
Nicolai Højgaard
1%
Min Woo Lee
1%
Justin Rose
1%
Ryan Gerard
1%
Gary Woodland
1%
Jacob Bridgeman
1%
Ryo Hisatsune
<1%
Adam Scott
<1%
Jake Knapp
<1%
Scottie Scheffler 17%
Rory McIlroy 14%
Cameron Young 7.6%
Xander Schauffele 5.8%
$2,609,378 Vol.
$2,609,378 Vol.
Scottie Scheffler
17%
Rory McIlroy
14%
Cameron Young
8%
Xander Schauffele
6%
Tommy Fleetwood
5%
Daniel Berger
5%
Hideki Matsuyama
5%
Ludvig Åberg
4%
Nico Echavarria
4%
Chris Gotterup
4%
Matt Fitzpatrick
3%
Si Woo Kim
3%
Sam Burns
3%
Robert MacIntyre
3%
Sahith Theegala
2%
Sudarshan Yellamaraju
2%
Collin Morikawa
2%
Russell Henley
2%
Akshay Bhatia
2%
Sepp Straka
2%
J.J. Spaun
1%
Nicolai Højgaard
1%
Min Woo Lee
1%
Justin Rose
1%
Ryan Gerard
1%
Gary Woodland
1%
Jacob Bridgeman
1%
Ryo Hisatsune
<1%
Adam Scott
<1%
Jake Knapp
<1%
If a listed player withdraws, is disqualified, does not participate or is eliminated from contention for the 2026 TOUR Championship tournament based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will immediately resolve to "No".
If an unlisted player wins the 2026 TOUR Championship tournament this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by PGA Tour official tournament rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If no winner is announced by September 15, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the PGA Tour website (https://www.pgatour.com/).
Market Opened: Apr 13, 2026, 4:50 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If a listed player withdraws, is disqualified, does not participate or is eliminated from contention for the 2026 TOUR Championship tournament based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will immediately resolve to "No".
If an unlisted player wins the 2026 TOUR Championship tournament this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by PGA Tour official tournament rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If no winner is announced by September 15, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the PGA Tour website (https://www.pgatour.com/).
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Scottie Scheffler’s commanding regular-season lead in FedExCup points and strokes-gained metrics underpins his 17% implied probability as the top favorite entering the three-event playoffs, though his lack of a recent win keeps the door open for challengers. Rory McIlroy’s 13.5% share reflects his strong historical playoff record, multiple prior titles, and return to the field after skipping the opener last year, with the pair paired together at the ongoing FedEx St. Jude Championship. Cameron Young, Xander Schauffele, Tommy Fleetwood, and others trail in a tight cluster because the progressive cuts to the BMW Championship and Tour Championship at East Lake allow significant movement based on recent form, course fit at TPC Southwind and Bellerive, and momentum shifts across the remaining events. Trader consensus views the race as highly competitive given the format’s emphasis on late-season surges over any single player’s dominance.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated

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