In the FedEx St. Jude Championship, the tightly bunched probabilities around 25% for the second round leader reflect the depth and parity of the PGA Tour field at TPC Southwind. No player enters with a clear statistical or form-based advantage sufficient to separate from the pack in traders' eyes, as opening-round scoring can shift quickly due to variable pin placements, firm greens, and potential for birdie runs or bogey strings. Recent player form, course history, and playoff positioning all factor into the even distribution, underscoring how 36 holes of stroke play allow multiple contenders to post competitive totals before separation occurs. This setup keeps implied probabilities compressed across dozens of names.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedSteven Fisk 50%
Matt Fitzpatrick 50%
Tommy Fleetwood 50%
Rickie Fowler 50%
NEW
NEW
Aug 16, 2026
Steven Fisk
50%
Matt Fitzpatrick
50%
Tommy Fleetwood
50%
Rickie Fowler
50%
Ryan Fox
50%
Aldrich Potgieter
50%
Robert MacIntyre
50%
Hideki Matsuyama
50%
Kristoffer Reitan
50%
Patrick Rodgers
50%
Justin Rose
50%
Xander Schauffele
50%
Matthias Schmid
50%
Adam Scott
50%
Jordan Spieth
50%
Nick Taylor
50%
Michael Thorbjornsen
50%
Cameron Young
50%
Akshay Bhatia
50%
Harry Hall
50%
Nicolai Hojgaard
50%
Sung-Jae Im
50%
Michael Kim
50%
Kurt Kitayama
50%
Jacob Bridgeman
50%
Sam Burns
50%
Ricky Castillo
50%
Bud Cauley
50%
Wyndham Clark
50%
Corey Conners
50%
Matt McCarty
50%
Rory McIlroy
50%
Keith Mitchell
50%
Collin Morikawa
50%
Pierceson Coody
25%
Nicolas Echavarria
25%
Harris English
25%
Alex Fitzpatrick
25%
Ryan Gerard
25%
Chris Gotterup
25%
Shane Lowry
25%
Ludvig Aberg
25%
Aaron Rai
25%
Scottie Scheffler
25%
Alex Smalley
25%
Jordan L. Smith
25%
J.J. Spaun
25%
Sam Stevens
25%
Sepp Straka
25%
Sahith Theegala
25%
Justin Thomas
25%
Gary Woodland
25%
Sudarshan Yellamaraju
25%
Ben Griffin
25%
Brian Harman
25%
Russell Henley
25%
Ryo Hisatsune
25%
Max Homa
25%
Viktor Hovland
25%
Si Woo Kim
25%
Tom Kim
25%
Jake Knapp
25%
Jackson Koivun
25%
Min Woo Lee
25%
Patrick Cantlay
25%
Eric Cole
25%
Maverick McNealy
25%
Alexander Noren
25%
JT Poston
25%
Steven Fisk 50%
Matt Fitzpatrick 50%
Tommy Fleetwood 50%
Rickie Fowler 50%
NEW
NEW
Aug 16, 2026
Steven Fisk
$0 Vol.
50%
Matt Fitzpatrick
$0 Vol.
50%
Tommy Fleetwood
$0 Vol.
50%
Rickie Fowler
$0 Vol.
50%
Ryan Fox
$0 Vol.
50%
Aldrich Potgieter
$0 Vol.
50%
Robert MacIntyre
$0 Vol.
50%
Hideki Matsuyama
$0 Vol.
50%
Kristoffer Reitan
$0 Vol.
50%
Patrick Rodgers
$0 Vol.
50%
Justin Rose
$0 Vol.
50%
Xander Schauffele
$0 Vol.
50%
Matthias Schmid
$0 Vol.
50%
Adam Scott
$0 Vol.
50%
Jordan Spieth
$0 Vol.
50%
Nick Taylor
$0 Vol.
50%
Michael Thorbjornsen
$0 Vol.
50%
Cameron Young
$0 Vol.
50%
Akshay Bhatia
$0 Vol.
50%
Harry Hall
$0 Vol.
50%
Nicolai Hojgaard
$0 Vol.
50%
Sung-Jae Im
$0 Vol.
50%
Michael Kim
$0 Vol.
50%
Kurt Kitayama
$0 Vol.
50%
Jacob Bridgeman
$0 Vol.
50%
Sam Burns
$0 Vol.
50%
Ricky Castillo
$0 Vol.
50%
Bud Cauley
$0 Vol.
50%
Wyndham Clark
$0 Vol.
50%
Corey Conners
$0 Vol.
50%
Matt McCarty
$0 Vol.
50%
Rory McIlroy
$0 Vol.
50%
Keith Mitchell
$0 Vol.
50%
Collin Morikawa
$0 Vol.
50%
Pierceson Coody
$0 Vol.
25%
Nicolas Echavarria
$0 Vol.
25%
Harris English
$0 Vol.
25%
Alex Fitzpatrick
$0 Vol.
25%
Ryan Gerard
$0 Vol.
25%
Chris Gotterup
$0 Vol.
25%
Shane Lowry
$0 Vol.
25%
Ludvig Aberg
$0 Vol.
25%
Aaron Rai
$0 Vol.
25%
Scottie Scheffler
$0 Vol.
25%
Alex Smalley
$0 Vol.
25%
Jordan L. Smith
$0 Vol.
25%
J.J. Spaun
$0 Vol.
25%
Sam Stevens
$0 Vol.
25%
Sepp Straka
$0 Vol.
25%
Sahith Theegala
$0 Vol.
25%
Justin Thomas
$0 Vol.
25%
Gary Woodland
$0 Vol.
25%
Sudarshan Yellamaraju
$0 Vol.
25%
Ben Griffin
$0 Vol.
25%
Brian Harman
$0 Vol.
25%
Russell Henley
$0 Vol.
25%
Ryo Hisatsune
$0 Vol.
25%
Max Homa
$0 Vol.
25%
Viktor Hovland
$0 Vol.
25%
Si Woo Kim
$0 Vol.
25%
Tom Kim
$0 Vol.
25%
Jake Knapp
$0 Vol.
25%
Jackson Koivun
$0 Vol.
25%
Min Woo Lee
$0 Vol.
25%
Patrick Cantlay
$0 Vol.
25%
Eric Cole
$0 Vol.
25%
Maverick McNealy
$0 Vol.
25%
Alexander Noren
$0 Vol.
25%
JT Poston
$0 Vol.
25%
This market will resolve according to the player that finishes Round 2 of the main tournament at the 2026 FedEx St. Jude Championship with the lowest cumulative score to par.
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the player with the lower score in Round 2. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player with the lower score in Round 1. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player that records more eagles thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player who records more birdies thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player who records fewer bogeys thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 FedEx St. Jude Championship is cancelled, postponed after August 29, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or if an official Round 2 leader has not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the event organizer or governing body.In the FedEx St. Jude Championship, the tightly bunched probabilities around 25% for the second round leader reflect the depth and parity of the PGA Tour field at TPC Southwind. No player enters with a clear statistical or form-based advantage sufficient to separate from the pack in traders' eyes, as opening-round scoring can shift quickly due to variable pin placements, firm greens, and potential for birdie runs or bogey strings. Recent player form, course history, and playoff positioning all factor into the even distribution, underscoring how 36 holes of stroke play allow multiple contenders to post competitive totals before separation occurs. This setup keeps implied probabilities compressed across dozens of names.
This market will resolve according to the player that finishes Round 2 of the main tournament at the 2026 FedEx St. Jude Championship with the lowest cumulative score to par.
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the player with the lower score in Round 2. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player with the lower score in Round 1. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player that records more eagles thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player who records more birdies thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player who records fewer bogeys thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 FedEx St. Jude Championship is cancelled, postponed after August 29, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or if an official Round 2 leader has not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the event organizer or governing body.
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the player with the lower score in Round 2. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player with the lower score in Round 1. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player that records more eagles thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player who records more birdies thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player who records fewer bogeys thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 FedEx St. Jude Championship is cancelled, postponed after August 29, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or if an official Round 2 leader has not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the event organizer or governing body.
Market Opened: Aug 8, 2026, 12:02 PM ET
Volume
$0End Date
Aug 16, 2026Market Opened
Aug 8, 2026, 12:02 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.pgatour.com/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the player that finishes Round 2 of the main tournament at the 2026 FedEx St. Jude Championship with the lowest cumulative score to par.
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the player with the lower score in Round 2. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player with the lower score in Round 1. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player that records more eagles thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player who records more birdies thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player who records fewer bogeys thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 FedEx St. Jude Championship is cancelled, postponed after August 29, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or if an official Round 2 leader has not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the event organizer or governing body.In the FedEx St. Jude Championship, the tightly bunched probabilities around 25% for the second round leader reflect the depth and parity of the PGA Tour field at TPC Southwind. No player enters with a clear statistical or form-based advantage sufficient to separate from the pack in traders' eyes, as opening-round scoring can shift quickly due to variable pin placements, firm greens, and potential for birdie runs or bogey strings. Recent player form, course history, and playoff positioning all factor into the even distribution, underscoring how 36 holes of stroke play allow multiple contenders to post competitive totals before separation occurs. This setup keeps implied probabilities compressed across dozens of names.
This market will resolve according to the player that finishes Round 2 of the main tournament at the 2026 FedEx St. Jude Championship with the lowest cumulative score to par.
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the player with the lower score in Round 2. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player with the lower score in Round 1. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player that records more eagles thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player who records more birdies thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player who records fewer bogeys thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 FedEx St. Jude Championship is cancelled, postponed after August 29, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or if an official Round 2 leader has not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the event organizer or governing body.
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the player with the lower score in Round 2. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player with the lower score in Round 1. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player that records more eagles thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player who records more birdies thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player who records fewer bogeys thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 FedEx St. Jude Championship is cancelled, postponed after August 29, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or if an official Round 2 leader has not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the event organizer or governing body.
Volume
$0End Date
Aug 16, 2026Market Opened
Aug 8, 2026, 12:02 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.pgatour.com/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...In the FedEx St. Jude Championship, the tightly bunched probabilities around 25% for the second round leader reflect the depth and parity of the PGA Tour field at TPC Southwind. No player enters with a clear statistical or form-based advantage sufficient to separate from the pack in traders' eyes, as opening-round scoring can shift quickly due to variable pin placements, firm greens, and potential for birdie runs or bogey strings. Recent player form, course history, and playoff positioning all factor into the even distribution, underscoring how 36 holes of stroke play allow multiple contenders to post competitive totals before separation occurs. This setup keeps implied probabilities compressed across dozens of names.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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