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icon for #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on August 14?

#2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on August 14?

icon for #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on August 14?

#2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on August 14?

TikTok Pro - Events 100.0%

ChatGPT 3%

ParentSquare <1%

Capital One Mobile <1%

Polymarket

$3,540 Vol.

TikTok Pro - Events 100.0%

ChatGPT 3%

ParentSquare <1%

Capital One Mobile <1%

Polymarket

$3,540 Vol.

icon for TikTok Pro - Events

TikTok Pro - Events

$736 Vol.

Yes

icon for ParentSquare

ParentSquare

$598 Vol.

No

icon for Capital One Mobile

Capital One Mobile

$552 Vol.

No

icon for ChatGPT

ChatGPT

$778 Vol.

No

icon for Vinted: Pre-loved Marketplace

Vinted: Pre-loved Marketplace

$312 Vol.

No

icon for Depop - Buy & Sell Clothes

Depop - Buy & Sell Clothes

$301 Vol.

No

icon for Threads

Threads

$263 Vol.

No

This market will resolve according to the iOS app, ranked #2 in the United States on the iPhone Apple App Store's overall Top Charts under "Free Apps", as of 12:00 PM ET on the specified date. To find the overall chart, click "Apps" at the bottom of the US iOS App Store app, scroll down to "Top Free Apps" and click "See All". Then under "Free Apps" in the "Top Charts" section, you'll see the list that will be used as the resolution source to this market (https://apps.apple.com/us/charts/iphone).TikTok Pro - Events holds a 100% market-implied probability as the #2 free U.S. App Store title on August 14 due to its June 2026 standalone launch as a dedicated fan-engagement platform for major cultural events, including the FIFA World Cup 2026. The app's features—daily challenges, curated creator feeds, trending video discovery, and reward mechanics—have driven sustained downloads and visibility amid ongoing event-related buzz, with a recent August 7 update further optimizing the feed experience. Traders see limited near-term disruption risk from competing entertainment apps, though an unexpected policy change or platform-wide ranking shift could still alter the outcome before resolution.

This market will resolve according to the iOS app, ranked #2 in the United States on the iPhone Apple App Store's overall Top Charts under "Free Apps", as of 12:00 PM ET on the specified date.

To find the overall chart, click "Apps" at the bottom of the US iOS App Store app, scroll down to "Top Free Apps" and click "See All". Then under "Free Apps" in the "Top Charts" section, you'll see the list that will be used as the resolution source to this market (https://apps.apple.com/us/charts/iphone).
Volume
$3,540
End Date
Aug 14, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 7, 2026, 6:56 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the iOS app, ranked #2 in the United States on the iPhone Apple App Store's overall Top Charts under "Free Apps", as of 12:00 PM ET on the specified date. To find the overall chart, click "Apps" at the bottom of the US iOS App Store app, scroll down to "Top Free Apps" and click "See All". Then under "Free Apps" in the "Top Charts" section, you'll see the list that will be used as the resolution source to this market (https://apps.apple.com/us/charts/iphone).

Outcome proposed: No

No dispute

Final outcome: No

This market will resolve according to the iOS app, ranked #2 in the United States on the iPhone Apple App Store's overall Top Charts under "Free Apps", as of 12:00 PM ET on the specified date. To find the overall chart, click "Apps" at the bottom of the US iOS App Store app, scroll down to "Top Free Apps" and click "See All". Then under "Free Apps" in the "Top Charts" section, you'll see the list that will be used as the resolution source to this market (https://apps.apple.com/us/charts/iphone).TikTok Pro - Events holds a 100% market-implied probability as the #2 free U.S. App Store title on August 14 due to its June 2026 standalone launch as a dedicated fan-engagement platform for major cultural events, including the FIFA World Cup 2026. The app's features—daily challenges, curated creator feeds, trending video discovery, and reward mechanics—have driven sustained downloads and visibility amid ongoing event-related buzz, with a recent August 7 update further optimizing the feed experience. Traders see limited near-term disruption risk from competing entertainment apps, though an unexpected policy change or platform-wide ranking shift could still alter the outcome before resolution.

This market will resolve according to the iOS app, ranked #2 in the United States on the iPhone Apple App Store's overall Top Charts under "Free Apps", as of 12:00 PM ET on the specified date.

To find the overall chart, click "Apps" at the bottom of the US iOS App Store app, scroll down to "Top Free Apps" and click "See All". Then under "Free Apps" in the "Top Charts" section, you'll see the list that will be used as the resolution source to this market (https://apps.apple.com/us/charts/iphone).
Volume
$3,540
End Date
Aug 14, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 7, 2026, 6:56 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the iOS app, ranked #2 in the United States on the iPhone Apple App Store's overall Top Charts under "Free Apps", as of 12:00 PM ET on the specified date. To find the overall chart, click "Apps" at the bottom of the US iOS App Store app, scroll down to "Top Free Apps" and click "See All". Then under "Free Apps" in the "Top Charts" section, you'll see the list that will be used as the resolution source to this market (https://apps.apple.com/us/charts/iphone).

Outcome proposed: No

No dispute

Final outcome: No

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"#2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on August 14?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 7 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "TikTok Pro - Events" at 100%, followed by "ParentSquare" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"#2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on August 14?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Aug 7, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "#2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on August 14?," browse the 7 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "#2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on August 14?" is "TikTok Pro - Events" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "ParentSquare" at 0%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "#2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on August 14?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.