Tech·App

#1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on September 25?

Sep 25

Muse from Meta 51%

ChatGPT 42%

Google Gemini <1%

Vinted: Pre-loved marketplace <1%

NEW

Sep 25, 2026

Muse from Meta

$152 Vol.

39%

ChatGPT

$2,593 Vol.

42%

Google Gemini

$316 Vol.

<1%

Vinted: Pre-loved marketplace

$317 Vol.

<1%

Amazon Prime Video

$276 Vol.

<1%

Muse from Meta 51%

ChatGPT 42%

Google Gemini <1%

Vinted: Pre-loved marketplace <1%

NEW

Sep 25, 2026

Muse from Meta

$152 Vol.

39%

ChatGPT

$2,593 Vol.

42%

Google Gemini

$316 Vol.

<1%

Vinted: Pre-loved marketplace

$317 Vol.

<1%

Amazon Prime Video

$276 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the iOS app, ranked #1 in the United States on the iPhone Apple App Store's overall Top Charts under "Free Apps", as of 12:00 PM ET on the specified date. If the chart is unavailable at 12:00 PM ET, this market may remain open for up to 48 hours to allow for the data to become available. If the data remains unavailable, this market will resolve according to the last published ranking. To find the overall chart, click "Apps" at the bottom of the US iOS App Store app, scroll down to "Top Free Apps" and click "See All". Then under "Free Apps" in the "Top Charts" section, you'll see the list that will be used as the resolution source to this market (https://apps.apple.com/us/charts/iphone).

Market Opened: Sep 18, 2026, 6:03 PM ET

Volume

$3,654

End Date

Sep 25, 2026

Market Opened

Sep 18, 2026, 6:03 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...

Volume

$3,654

End Date

Sep 25, 2026

Market Opened

Sep 18, 2026, 6:03 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...

Will play_music_theory be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on September 25?

51%

Dogecoin Up or Down

50%

Dogecoin Up or Down

50%

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"#1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on September 25?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 5 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "ChatGPT" at 42%, followed by "Muse from Meta" at 39%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 42¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 42% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"#1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on September 25?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Sep 18, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "#1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on September 25?," browse the 5 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "#1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on September 25?" is "ChatGPT" at 42%, meaning the market assigns a 42% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Muse from Meta" at 39%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "#1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on September 25?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.

Yes. You don't need to trade to stay informed. This page serves as a live tracker for "#1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on September 25?." The outcome probabilities update in real-time as new trades come in. You can bookmark this page and check the comments section to see what other traders are saying. You can also use the time-range filters on the chart to see how the odds have shifted over time. It's a free, real-time window into what the market expects to happen.

Polymarket odds are set by real traders putting real money behind their beliefs, which tends to surface accurate predictions. “#1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on September 25?” is still building its trading base, so the odds will become increasingly reliable as more participants enter the market. Prediction markets like Polymarket have a strong track record of accuracy, especially as events approach their resolution date. For example, Polymarket has a one month accuracy score of 94%. For the latest stats on Polymarket’s prediction accuracy, visit the accuracy page on Polymarket.

To place your first trade on "#1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on September 25?," sign up for a free Polymarket account and fund it using crypto, a credit or debit card, or a bank transfer. Once your account is funded, return to this page, select the outcome you want to trade, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If you're new to prediction markets, click the "How it works" link at the top of any Polymarket page for a quick step-by-step walkthrough of how trading works.

On Polymarket, the price of each outcome represents the market's implied probability. A price of 42¢ for "ChatGPT" in the "#1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on September 25?" market means traders collectively believe there is roughly a 42% chance that "ChatGPT" will be the correct result. If you buy "Yes" shares at 42¢ and the outcome is correct, you receive $1.00 per share — a profit of 58¢ per share. If incorrect, those shares are worth $0.

The "#1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on September 25?" market is scheduled to resolve on or around Sep 25, 2026. This means trading will remain open and the odds will continue to shift as new information emerges until that date. The exact resolution timing depends on when the official result becomes available, as outlined in the "Rules" section on this page.

The "#1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on September 25?" market has an active community of 309 comments where traders share their analysis, debate outcomes, and discuss breaking developments. Scroll down to the comments section below to read what other participants think. You can also filter by "Top Holders" to see what the market's biggest traders are positioned on, or check the "Activity" tab for a real-time feed of trades.

Polymarket is the world's largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge of real-world events. Traders buy and sell shares on outcomes for topics ranging from politics and elections to crypto, finance, sports, tech, and culture, including markets like "#1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on September 25?." Prices reflect real-time, crowd-sourced probabilities backed by financial conviction, often providing faster and more accurate signals than polls, pundits, or traditional surveys.

#1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on September 25?

#1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on September 25?

Rules

Market Context

Rules

Market Context

Related

Comments (309)

Top Holders

Positions

Activity

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the "#1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on September 25?" prediction market?

How much trading activity has "#1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on September 25?" generated on Polymarket?

How do I trade on "#1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on September 25?"?

What are the current odds for "#1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on September 25?"?

How will "#1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on September 25?" be resolved?

Can I follow "#1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on September 25?" without placing a trade?

Why are Polymarket's odds for "#1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on September 25?" considered reliable?

How do I start trading on "#1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on September 25?"?

What does a price of 42¢ for "ChatGPT" mean?

When does the "#1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on September 25?" market close?

What are traders saying about "#1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on September 25?"?

What is Polymarket?