The closely contested 2026 Wisconsin gubernatorial race between Democrat David Crowley and Republican Tom Tiffany, following Crowley's narrow primary upset victory on August 11, drives trader uncertainty around turnout levels. Recent polls showing Crowley with a modest edge highlight the potential for strong mobilization in Milwaukee and suburban areas alongside variable rural participation, typical of competitive swing-state contests. Wisconsin's historically high voter engagement, including second-highest national turnout in 2024, adds to the range of possible outcomes as campaigns focus on key voting blocs and issue-based appeals on affordability and public safety through November 3.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedWisconsin Governor Election: Turnout
3.2M+ 42%
2.2M-2.4M 38%
2.4M-2.6M 38%
3M-3.2M 38%
<2.2M
37%
2.2M-2.4M
38%
2.4M-2.6M
38%
2.6M-2.8M
38%
2.8M-3M
37%
3M-3.2M
38%
3.2M+
42%
3.2M+ 42%
2.2M-2.4M 38%
2.4M-2.6M 38%
3M-3.2M 38%
<2.2M
37%
2.2M-2.4M
38%
2.4M-2.6M
38%
2.6M-2.8M
38%
2.8M-3M
37%
3M-3.2M
38%
3.2M+
42%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Wisconsin, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Aug 18, 2026, 10:27 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Wisconsin, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The closely contested 2026 Wisconsin gubernatorial race between Democrat David Crowley and Republican Tom Tiffany, following Crowley's narrow primary upset victory on August 11, drives trader uncertainty around turnout levels. Recent polls showing Crowley with a modest edge highlight the potential for strong mobilization in Milwaukee and suburban areas alongside variable rural participation, typical of competitive swing-state contests. Wisconsin's historically high voter engagement, including second-highest national turnout in 2024, adds to the range of possible outcomes as campaigns focus on key voting blocs and issue-based appeals on affordability and public safety through November 3.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated



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