Gold prices hover near $4,500–$4,600 per ounce after pulling back from three-month highs near $4,700 earlier in August, amid a roughly 14% monthly advance driven by Treasury bond buybacks, ETF inflows, and central bank purchases. Trader focus centers on Federal Reserve Chair Kevin Warsh’s Jackson Hole speech and sticky July PCE inflation at 3.7% year-over-year, which have kept September rate-hike odds around 35–40% and supported a firmer dollar. The non-yielding metal remains sensitive to real yields and USD moves; next week’s August nonfarm payrolls and ISM manufacturing data could shift implied rate paths and volatility around key technical levels such as the 200-day SMA near $4,525. Bullish bias persists above that support, tempered by persistent inflation concerns.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated↑ $4,800
50%
↑ $4,750
50%
↑ $4,700
50%
↑ $4,650
50%
↑ $4,600
50%
↑ $4,550
50%
↑ $4,500
50%
↓ $4,450
51%
↓ $4,400
50%
↓ $4,350
50%
↓ $4,300
50%
↓ $4,250
50%
↓ $4,200
50%
↓ $4,150
50%
$0.00 Vol.
↑ $4,800
50%
↑ $4,750
50%
↑ $4,700
50%
↑ $4,650
50%
↑ $4,600
50%
↑ $4,550
50%
↑ $4,500
50%
↓ $4,450
51%
↓ $4,400
50%
↓ $4,350
50%
↓ $4,300
50%
↓ $4,250
50%
↓ $4,200
50%
↓ $4,150
50%
Only prices achieved during an applicable trading session of the specified timeframe's business days will be considered. The trading session for a given business day typically begins at 6:00 PM ET on the prior calendar date. Under the standard schedule, trading is open from 6:00:00 PM ET Sunday through 5:00:00 PM ET Friday, with a daily break from 5:00:00 PM ET to 6:00:00 PM ET, except where modified by holiday or special-session hours.
Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
If Gold (XAUUSD) does not trade at all during the listed time frame, this market will resolve to "No".
In the event of a contract specification change, feed change, or similar structural modification affecting the market during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth.
The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the Gold (XAUUSD) "High" and "Low" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Metal.XAU%2FUSD, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles.
Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter.
If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily high/low price published for the relevant CME COMEX futures contract for the underlying metal—COMEX Gold Futures (GC)—may be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session.
Market Opened: Aug 28, 2026, 6:01 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://pythdata.app/explore/Metal.XAU%2FUSDResolver
0x65070BE91...Only prices achieved during an applicable trading session of the specified timeframe's business days will be considered. The trading session for a given business day typically begins at 6:00 PM ET on the prior calendar date. Under the standard schedule, trading is open from 6:00:00 PM ET Sunday through 5:00:00 PM ET Friday, with a daily break from 5:00:00 PM ET to 6:00:00 PM ET, except where modified by holiday or special-session hours.
Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
If Gold (XAUUSD) does not trade at all during the listed time frame, this market will resolve to "No".
In the event of a contract specification change, feed change, or similar structural modification affecting the market during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth.
The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the Gold (XAUUSD) "High" and "Low" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Metal.XAU%2FUSD, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles.
Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter.
If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily high/low price published for the relevant CME COMEX futures contract for the underlying metal—COMEX Gold Futures (GC)—may be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session.
Resolution Source
https://pythdata.app/explore/Metal.XAU%2FUSDResolver
0x65070BE91...Gold prices hover near $4,500–$4,600 per ounce after pulling back from three-month highs near $4,700 earlier in August, amid a roughly 14% monthly advance driven by Treasury bond buybacks, ETF inflows, and central bank purchases. Trader focus centers on Federal Reserve Chair Kevin Warsh’s Jackson Hole speech and sticky July PCE inflation at 3.7% year-over-year, which have kept September rate-hike odds around 35–40% and supported a firmer dollar. The non-yielding metal remains sensitive to real yields and USD moves; next week’s August nonfarm payrolls and ISM manufacturing data could shift implied rate paths and volatility around key technical levels such as the 200-day SMA near $4,525. Bullish bias persists above that support, tempered by persistent inflation concerns.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated

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