**Traders assign a 93% implied probability against the UAE leaving the Gulf Cooperation Council in 2026, reflecting the absence of any official withdrawal signals or procedural steps.** Despite the UAE’s April 2026 exit from OPEC amid disagreements with Saudi Arabia over production quotas and regional security priorities during the Iran conflict, Emirati officials have continued participating in GCC summits and joint initiatives. A senior official noted plans to scrutinize partnerships but ruled out additional departures, and the bloc affirmed a unified stance on collective defense and connectivity at the April Jeddah meeting. Ongoing economic integration, shared security concerns, and the lack of constitutional or diplomatic triggers for exit sustain the market’s strong consensus that membership will hold through the year.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedWill UAE leave the Gulf Cooperation Council in 2026?
Will UAE leave the Gulf Cooperation Council in 2026?
7% chance
$100,301 Vol.
$100,301 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
7% chance
$100,301 Vol.
$100,301 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the UAE officially announces or formally communicates its decision to withdraw from the Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM Gulf Standard Time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An official announcement or formal communication refers to a statement by the United Arab Emirates government or an entity officially authorized to make such a decision that clearly indicates its decision to withdraw from the Gulf Cooperation Council, including but not limited to a notice of denunciation or equivalent official statement, regardless of when the withdrawal is set to take effect.
Informal announcements, statements from unnamed sources, or leaks will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the UAE government and the GCC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Traders assign a 93% implied probability against the UAE leaving the Gulf Cooperation Council in 2026, reflecting the absence of any official withdrawal signals or procedural steps.** Despite the UAE’s April 2026 exit from OPEC amid disagreements with Saudi Arabia over production quotas and regional security priorities during the Iran conflict, Emirati officials have continued participating in GCC summits and joint initiatives. A senior official noted plans to scrutinize partnerships but ruled out additional departures, and the bloc affirmed a unified stance on collective defense and connectivity at the April Jeddah meeting.
Ongoing economic integration, shared security concerns, and the lack of constitutional or diplomatic triggers for exit sustain the market’s strong consensus that membership will hold through the year.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the UAE officially announces or formally communicates its decision to withdraw from the Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM Gulf Standard Time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An official announcement or formal communication refers to a statement by the United Arab Emirates government or an entity officially authorized to make such a decision that clearly indicates its decision to withdraw from the Gulf Cooperation Council, including but not limited to a notice of denunciation or equivalent official statement, regardless of when the withdrawal is set to take effect.
Informal announcements, statements from unnamed sources, or leaks will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the UAE government and the GCC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An official announcement or formal communication refers to a statement by the United Arab Emirates government or an entity officially authorized to make such a decision that clearly indicates its decision to withdraw from the Gulf Cooperation Council, including but not limited to a notice of denunciation or equivalent official statement, regardless of when the withdrawal is set to take effect.
Informal announcements, statements from unnamed sources, or leaks will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the UAE government and the GCC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Apr 28, 2026, 3:54 PM ET
Volume
$100,301End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Apr 28, 2026, 3:54 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the UAE officially announces or formally communicates its decision to withdraw from the Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM Gulf Standard Time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An official announcement or formal communication refers to a statement by the United Arab Emirates government or an entity officially authorized to make such a decision that clearly indicates its decision to withdraw from the Gulf Cooperation Council, including but not limited to a notice of denunciation or equivalent official statement, regardless of when the withdrawal is set to take effect.
Informal announcements, statements from unnamed sources, or leaks will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the UAE government and the GCC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Traders assign a 93% implied probability against the UAE leaving the Gulf Cooperation Council in 2026, reflecting the absence of any official withdrawal signals or procedural steps.** Despite the UAE’s April 2026 exit from OPEC amid disagreements with Saudi Arabia over production quotas and regional security priorities during the Iran conflict, Emirati officials have continued participating in GCC summits and joint initiatives. A senior official noted plans to scrutinize partnerships but ruled out additional departures, and the bloc affirmed a unified stance on collective defense and connectivity at the April Jeddah meeting.
Ongoing economic integration, shared security concerns, and the lack of constitutional or diplomatic triggers for exit sustain the market’s strong consensus that membership will hold through the year.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the UAE officially announces or formally communicates its decision to withdraw from the Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM Gulf Standard Time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An official announcement or formal communication refers to a statement by the United Arab Emirates government or an entity officially authorized to make such a decision that clearly indicates its decision to withdraw from the Gulf Cooperation Council, including but not limited to a notice of denunciation or equivalent official statement, regardless of when the withdrawal is set to take effect.
Informal announcements, statements from unnamed sources, or leaks will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the UAE government and the GCC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An official announcement or formal communication refers to a statement by the United Arab Emirates government or an entity officially authorized to make such a decision that clearly indicates its decision to withdraw from the Gulf Cooperation Council, including but not limited to a notice of denunciation or equivalent official statement, regardless of when the withdrawal is set to take effect.
Informal announcements, statements from unnamed sources, or leaks will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the UAE government and the GCC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$100,301End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Apr 28, 2026, 3:54 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...**Traders assign a 93% implied probability against the UAE leaving the Gulf Cooperation Council in 2026, reflecting the absence of any official withdrawal signals or procedural steps.** Despite the UAE’s April 2026 exit from OPEC amid disagreements with Saudi Arabia over production quotas and regional security priorities during the Iran conflict, Emirati officials have continued participating in GCC summits and joint initiatives. A senior official noted plans to scrutinize partnerships but ruled out additional departures, and the bloc affirmed a unified stance on collective defense and connectivity at the April Jeddah meeting. Ongoing economic integration, shared security concerns, and the lack of constitutional or diplomatic triggers for exit sustain the market’s strong consensus that membership will hold through the year.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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