UAE-Qatar diplomatic ties have remained stable through mid-2026, supported by the continuation of the Al-Ula reconciliation framework and active bilateral institutions. The seventh session of the Qatar-UAE Joint Supreme Committee in May 2026 concluded with agreements on expanded cooperation, signed by senior ministers from both sides, and both governments have conducted regular high-level consultations on regional security and de-escalation. Qatar publicly condemned Iranian strikes on UAE territory earlier in the year and participated in GCC statements addressing shared threats, while no official actions, disputes, or policy divergences have emerged that would trigger a break in relations before year-end. Trader consensus reflected in the 95% probability for no severance aligns with these sustained diplomatic and institutional channels.