Skip to main content
icon for Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30 PM? (August 10 - August 15)
Politics·Lid

Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30 PM? (August 10 - August 15)

icon for Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30 PM? (August 10 - August 15)
Politics·Lid

Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30 PM? (August 10 - August 15)

Aug 15

Aug 15

$11,202 Vol.

Aug 14, 2026
Polymarket

$11,202 Vol.

Polymarket

August 14

$2,485 Vol.

31%

August 15

$1,557 Vol.

79%

A "full lid" at the White House is an official announcement indicating that the President's public activities for the day have concluded and no further public events, appearances, or news are expected. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the White House Press Office calls a full lid for the specified date by 6:30 PM ET on that date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Only a full lid will qualify; lunch lids, intermissions, or any other press lid not explicitly listed as a full lid will not be sufficient to qualify this market towards a "Yes" resolution. This market will resolve according to the time listed by Roll Call of the first full lid called in the daily calendar (https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/calendar/). If Roll Call does not list a lid time or is for any reason unavailable, this market will resolve according to Forth (https://www.forth.news/whpool).The White House communications team determines full lids based on the absence of scheduled briefings, official travel, or major announcements, often aligning with periods of lower news flow such as congressional recesses. Mid-August 2026 falls during typical summer slowdowns when legislative activity pauses and executive branch events are limited, influencing trader assessments of early lid probability. Any unannounced developments, last-minute policy statements, or responses to breaking events could extend the press window past 6:30 PM on specific days within August 10–15. Market odds reflect the consensus view of these scheduling patterns and historical precedent for quiet periods rather than guaranteed outcomes.

A "full lid" at the White House is an official announcement indicating that the President's public activities for the day have concluded and no further public events, appearances, or news are expected.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the White House Press Office calls a full lid for the specified date by 6:30 PM ET on that date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

Only a full lid will qualify; lunch lids, intermissions, or any other press lid not explicitly listed as a full lid will not be sufficient to qualify this market towards a "Yes" resolution.

This market will resolve according to the time listed by Roll Call of the first full lid called in the daily calendar (https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/calendar/). If Roll Call does not list a lid time or is for any reason unavailable, this market will resolve according to Forth (https://www.forth.news/whpool).
Volume
$11,202
End Date
Aug 15, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 8, 2026, 12:10 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
A "full lid" at the White House is an official announcement indicating that the President's public activities for the day have concluded and no further public events, appearances, or news are expected. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the White House Press Office calls a full lid for the specified date by 6:30 PM ET on that date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Only a full lid will qualify; lunch lids, intermissions, or any other press lid not explicitly listed as a full lid will not be sufficient to qualify this market towards a "Yes" resolution. This market will resolve according to the time listed by Roll Call of the first full lid called in the daily calendar (https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/calendar/). If Roll Call does not list a lid time or is for any reason unavailable, this market will resolve according to Forth (https://www.forth.news/whpool).
A "full lid" at the White House is an official announcement indicating that the President's public activities for the day have concluded and no further public events, appearances, or news are expected. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the White House Press Office calls a full lid for the specified date by 6:30 PM ET on that date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Only a full lid will qualify; lunch lids, intermissions, or any other press lid not explicitly listed as a full lid will not be sufficient to qualify this market towards a "Yes" resolution. This market will resolve according to the time listed by Roll Call of the first full lid called in the daily calendar (https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/calendar/). If Roll Call does not list a lid time or is for any reason unavailable, this market will resolve according to Forth (https://www.forth.news/whpool).The White House communications team determines full lids based on the absence of scheduled briefings, official travel, or major announcements, often aligning with periods of lower news flow such as congressional recesses. Mid-August 2026 falls during typical summer slowdowns when legislative activity pauses and executive branch events are limited, influencing trader assessments of early lid probability. Any unannounced developments, last-minute policy statements, or responses to breaking events could extend the press window past 6:30 PM on specific days within August 10–15. Market odds reflect the consensus view of these scheduling patterns and historical precedent for quiet periods rather than guaranteed outcomes.

A "full lid" at the White House is an official announcement indicating that the President's public activities for the day have concluded and no further public events, appearances, or news are expected.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the White House Press Office calls a full lid for the specified date by 6:30 PM ET on that date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

Only a full lid will qualify; lunch lids, intermissions, or any other press lid not explicitly listed as a full lid will not be sufficient to qualify this market towards a "Yes" resolution.

This market will resolve according to the time listed by Roll Call of the first full lid called in the daily calendar (https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/calendar/). If Roll Call does not list a lid time or is for any reason unavailable, this market will resolve according to Forth (https://www.forth.news/whpool).
Volume
$11,202
End Date
Aug 15, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 8, 2026, 12:10 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
A "full lid" at the White House is an official announcement indicating that the President's public activities for the day have concluded and no further public events, appearances, or news are expected. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the White House Press Office calls a full lid for the specified date by 6:30 PM ET on that date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Only a full lid will qualify; lunch lids, intermissions, or any other press lid not explicitly listed as a full lid will not be sufficient to qualify this market towards a "Yes" resolution. This market will resolve according to the time listed by Roll Call of the first full lid called in the daily calendar (https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/calendar/). If Roll Call does not list a lid time or is for any reason unavailable, this market will resolve according to Forth (https://www.forth.news/whpool).

Related

icon for Will Trump speak to Andy Burnham in August?

Will Trump speak to Andy Burnham in August?

63%
icon for Will Trump say "Sucker" in August?

Will Trump say "Sucker" in August?

72%
icon for Will White House post 200+ posts from August 11 to August 18, 2026?

Will White House post 200+ posts from August 11 to August 18, 2026?

70%

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30 PM? (August 10 - August 15)" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 6 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "August 10" at 100%, followed by "August 12" at 100%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30 PM? (August 10 - August 15)" has generated $11.2K in total trading volume since the market launched on Aug 8, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30 PM? (August 10 - August 15)," browse the 6 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30 PM? (August 10 - August 15)" is "August 10" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "August 12" at 100%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30 PM? (August 10 - August 15)" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.