Jannik Sinner currently holds 13,450 ATP points as world No. 1 following his Wimbledon title defense, with a career-high near 14,350 earlier in 2026. A recent right-knee injury forced his withdrawal from the Cincinnati Masters 1000 and has kept him sidelined since July, creating uncertainty around his US Open participation and the remainder of the hard-court swing. Earlier setbacks, including a second-round French Open exit hampered by physical issues, already limited his 2026 point accumulation despite a dominant 44-3 record and six titles through midsummer. Traders assign a 91% probability to “No” because the compressed schedule offers limited opportunities to add the roughly 1,550+ points needed before year-end, especially with potential missed events and standard 52-week point drop-offs reducing his total.