Carlos Alcaraz’s right wrist injury, sustained in April 2026 and diagnosed as tenosynovitis, has kept the world No. 2 and defending US Open champion sidelined without competitive matches for over four months. He has withdrawn from the Canadian Open and Cincinnati Masters while continuing low-intensity training, with no sets or full sessions reported. The hard-court major begins August 30, leaving limited time for a safe return, though Alcaraz remains on the official entry list and the Winston-Salem Open (starting August 23) offers a potential final tune-up. Recent commentary from former pros advising caution against rushing underscores the medical uncertainty. These developments create a closely contested market, with traders assigning a modest edge to participation based on his elite recovery resources and title defense motivation while pricing in substantial risk from the extended absence.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated56% chance
$10,774 Vol.
$10,774 Vol.
56% chance
$10,774 Vol.
$10,774 Vol.
This market will resolve "Yes" if Carlos Alcaraz competes in at least one main-draw singles match at the 2026 US Open, scheduled for August 30, 2026 to September 13, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve "No."
Carlos Alcaraz is considered to have "played" if he takes the court and play begins in any of his main-draw singles matches. Being entered in the draw, or an opponent's retirement or walkover before any play begins, does not by itself count as having played. If Alcaraz begins a match and then retires or is defaulted, this market will resolve "Yes."
If the tournament is postponed beyond September 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or canceled before Alcaraz plays a main-draw singles match, this market will resolve "No."
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the US Open (usopen.org); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Carlos Alcaraz’s right wrist injury, sustained in April 2026 and diagnosed as tenosynovitis, has kept the world No. 2 and defending US Open champion sidelined without competitive matches for over four months. He has withdrawn from the Canadian Open and Cincinnati Masters while continuing low-intensity training, with no sets or full sessions reported. The hard-court major begins August 30, leaving limited time for a safe return, though Alcaraz remains on the official entry list and the Winston-Salem Open (starting August 23) offers a potential final tune-up. Recent commentary from former pros advising caution against rushing underscores the medical uncertainty. These developments create a closely contested market, with traders assigning a modest edge to participation based on his elite recovery resources and title defense motivation while pricing in substantial risk from the extended absence.
This market will resolve "Yes" if Carlos Alcaraz competes in at least one main-draw singles match at the 2026 US Open, scheduled for August 30, 2026 to September 13, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve "No."
Carlos Alcaraz is considered to have "played" if he takes the court and play begins in any of his main-draw singles matches. Being entered in the draw, or an opponent's retirement or walkover before any play begins, does not by itself count as having played. If Alcaraz begins a match and then retires or is defaulted, this market will resolve "Yes."
If the tournament is postponed beyond September 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or canceled before Alcaraz plays a main-draw singles match, this market will resolve "No."
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the US Open (usopen.org); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Carlos Alcaraz is considered to have "played" if he takes the court and play begins in any of his main-draw singles matches. Being entered in the draw, or an opponent's retirement or walkover before any play begins, does not by itself count as having played. If Alcaraz begins a match and then retires or is defaulted, this market will resolve "Yes."
If the tournament is postponed beyond September 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or canceled before Alcaraz plays a main-draw singles match, this market will resolve "No."
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the US Open (usopen.org); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Aug 6, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
Volume
$10,774Market Opened
Aug 6, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve "Yes" if Carlos Alcaraz competes in at least one main-draw singles match at the 2026 US Open, scheduled for August 30, 2026 to September 13, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve "No."
Carlos Alcaraz is considered to have "played" if he takes the court and play begins in any of his main-draw singles matches. Being entered in the draw, or an opponent's retirement or walkover before any play begins, does not by itself count as having played. If Alcaraz begins a match and then retires or is defaulted, this market will resolve "Yes."
If the tournament is postponed beyond September 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or canceled before Alcaraz plays a main-draw singles match, this market will resolve "No."
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the US Open (usopen.org); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Carlos Alcaraz’s right wrist injury, sustained in April 2026 and diagnosed as tenosynovitis, has kept the world No. 2 and defending US Open champion sidelined without competitive matches for over four months. He has withdrawn from the Canadian Open and Cincinnati Masters while continuing low-intensity training, with no sets or full sessions reported. The hard-court major begins August 30, leaving limited time for a safe return, though Alcaraz remains on the official entry list and the Winston-Salem Open (starting August 23) offers a potential final tune-up. Recent commentary from former pros advising caution against rushing underscores the medical uncertainty. These developments create a closely contested market, with traders assigning a modest edge to participation based on his elite recovery resources and title defense motivation while pricing in substantial risk from the extended absence.
This market will resolve "Yes" if Carlos Alcaraz competes in at least one main-draw singles match at the 2026 US Open, scheduled for August 30, 2026 to September 13, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve "No."
Carlos Alcaraz is considered to have "played" if he takes the court and play begins in any of his main-draw singles matches. Being entered in the draw, or an opponent's retirement or walkover before any play begins, does not by itself count as having played. If Alcaraz begins a match and then retires or is defaulted, this market will resolve "Yes."
If the tournament is postponed beyond September 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or canceled before Alcaraz plays a main-draw singles match, this market will resolve "No."
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the US Open (usopen.org); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Carlos Alcaraz is considered to have "played" if he takes the court and play begins in any of his main-draw singles matches. Being entered in the draw, or an opponent's retirement or walkover before any play begins, does not by itself count as having played. If Alcaraz begins a match and then retires or is defaulted, this market will resolve "Yes."
If the tournament is postponed beyond September 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or canceled before Alcaraz plays a main-draw singles match, this market will resolve "No."
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the US Open (usopen.org); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$10,774Market Opened
Aug 6, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Carlos Alcaraz’s right wrist injury, sustained in April 2026 and diagnosed as tenosynovitis, has kept the world No. 2 and defending US Open champion sidelined without competitive matches for over four months. He has withdrawn from the Canadian Open and Cincinnati Masters while continuing low-intensity training, with no sets or full sessions reported. The hard-court major begins August 30, leaving limited time for a safe return, though Alcaraz remains on the official entry list and the Winston-Salem Open (starting August 23) offers a potential final tune-up. Recent commentary from former pros advising caution against rushing underscores the medical uncertainty. These developments create a closely contested market, with traders assigning a modest edge to participation based on his elite recovery resources and title defense motivation while pricing in substantial risk from the extended absence.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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