Merab Dvalishvili holds an overwhelming 88% implied probability in the Petr Yan next-fight market due to confirmed scheduling of their bantamweight title trilogy at UFC 333 in October. Yan reclaimed the belt with a unanimous decision victory over Dvalishvili at UFC 323 in December 2025, following his earlier loss in 2023, and both fighters plus their camps have repeatedly prioritized completing the rivalry over other options. Dvalishvili’s public statements about holding out for the rematch, combined with Yan’s post-surgery return timeline, have solidified trader consensus around this matchup. Lower-probability names such as Sean O’Malley or Song Yadong would require significant delays or injuries to surface, scenarios that remain unlikely given the current timeline and mutual interest in settling the series.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedMerab Dvalishvili 88%
Sean O’Malley 3.9%
Song Yadong 1.5%
Alexander Volkanovski <1%
$1,142,747 Vol.
$1,142,747 Vol.
Merab Dvalishvili
88%
Sean O’Malley
6%
Song Yadong
2%
Alexander Volkanovski
1%
Dominick Cruz
<1%
Umar Nurmagomedov
<1%
Cory Sandhagen
<1%
Rob Font
<1%
Pedro Munhoz
<1%
Alexandre Pantoja
<1%
Deiveson Figueiredo
<1%
Ricky Simón
<1%
Payton Talbott
<1%
Henry Cejudo
<1%
Merab Dvalishvili 88%
Sean O’Malley 3.9%
Song Yadong 1.5%
Alexander Volkanovski <1%
$1,142,747 Vol.
$1,142,747 Vol.
Merab Dvalishvili
88%
Sean O’Malley
6%
Song Yadong
2%
Alexander Volkanovski
1%
Dominick Cruz
<1%
Umar Nurmagomedov
<1%
Cory Sandhagen
<1%
Rob Font
<1%
Pedro Munhoz
<1%
Alexandre Pantoja
<1%
Deiveson Figueiredo
<1%
Ricky Simón
<1%
Payton Talbott
<1%
Henry Cejudo
<1%
Resolution for this market will be based on the next UFC fighter that Petr Yan is officially announced to fight, regardless of whether the fight ends up taking place.
Only official announcements from the UFC, which include a scheduled date for the bout, will count. Announcements with no date or which do not confirm that the fight is official, speculation, or other unofficial announcements will not count.
If Yan is officially announced to fight any non-listed fighter or no qualifying announcement is made by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/).
Market Opened: Dec 8, 2025, 5:17 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Resolution for this market will be based on the next UFC fighter that Petr Yan is officially announced to fight, regardless of whether the fight ends up taking place.
Only official announcements from the UFC, which include a scheduled date for the bout, will count. Announcements with no date or which do not confirm that the fight is official, speculation, or other unofficial announcements will not count.
If Yan is officially announced to fight any non-listed fighter or no qualifying announcement is made by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Merab Dvalishvili holds an overwhelming 88% implied probability in the Petr Yan next-fight market due to confirmed scheduling of their bantamweight title trilogy at UFC 333 in October. Yan reclaimed the belt with a unanimous decision victory over Dvalishvili at UFC 323 in December 2025, following his earlier loss in 2023, and both fighters plus their camps have repeatedly prioritized completing the rivalry over other options. Dvalishvili’s public statements about holding out for the rematch, combined with Yan’s post-surgery return timeline, have solidified trader consensus around this matchup. Lower-probability names such as Sean O’Malley or Song Yadong would require significant delays or injuries to surface, scenarios that remain unlikely given the current timeline and mutual interest in settling the series.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated



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