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icon for Trump Media x TAE Technologies merger closed by July 31?

Trump Media x TAE Technologies merger closed by July 31?

icon for Trump Media x TAE Technologies merger closed by July 31?

Trump Media x TAE Technologies merger closed by July 31?

Jul 31

Jul 31

$732 Vol.

Dec 31, 2026
Polymarket

$732 Vol.

Polymarket
icon for December 31

December 31

$0 Vol.

43%

Donald Trump’s Social Media and Cryptocurrency company Trump Media and Technology Group and the fusion power company TAE Technologies announced they had agreed to a merger deal on December 18, 2025, signaling a shift of focus for the Trump-owned firm. You can read more about that here: https://www.nytimes.com/2025/12/18/business/trump-media-tae-technologies-fusion-power-deal.html This market will resolve to “Yes” if the merger between Trump Media and Technology Group and TAE Technologies is completed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The merger will be considered completed once it has become legally effective and the two companies are now a single entity or they exist under a single entity as one corporate group, as evidenced by official company announcements and/or regulatory filings (e.g. the filing of an 8-K form to the SEC that announces the closure of the deal). Shareholder approval, receipt of regulatory approvals, regulatory filings which do not announce the closure of the deal, or other intermediate steps towards the closing of a deal will not alone be sufficient for a ‘Yes’ resolution. If the merger agreement is officially terminated or the deal has been abandoned according to official company communications, this market will resolve to “No”. Resolution will be based on official company communications and regulatory filings from Trump Media and Technology Group, TAE Technologies, or a combined successor entity, supplemented as needed by a consensus of reporting from major reputable news outlets.Donald Trump’s Social Media and Cryptocurrency company Trump Media and Technology Group and the fusion power company TAE Technologies announced they had agreed to a merger deal on December 18th, signaling a shift of focus for the Trump-owned firm. You can read more about that here: https://www.nytimes.com/2025/12/18/business/trump-media-tae-technologies-fusion-power-deal.html This market will resolve to “Yes” if the merger between Trump Media and Technology Group and TAE Technologies is completed by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The merger will be considered completed once it has become legally effective and the two companies are now a single entity or they exist under a single entity as one corporate group, as evidenced by official company announcements and/or regulatory filings (e.g. the filing of an 8-K form to the SEC that announces the closure of the deal). Shareholder approval, receipt of regulatory approvals, regulatory filings which do not announce the closure of the deal, or other intermediate steps towards the closing of a deal will not alone be sufficient for a ‘Yes’ resolution. If the merger agreement is officially terminated or the deal has been abandoned according to official company communications, this market will resolve to “No”. Resolution will be based on official company communications and regulatory filings from Trump Media and Technology Group, TAE Technologies, or a combined successor entity, supplemented as needed by a consensus of reporting from major reputable news outlets.Trump Media & Technology Group (TMTG) and TAE Technologies signed a definitive all-stock merger agreement in December 2025 valued at more than $6 billion, with each side expected to own roughly half the combined entity focused on fusion power development. Initial targets pointed to a mid-2026 close subject to shareholder votes, regulatory clearances, and other customary conditions, including plans to advance a utility-scale fusion plant. In June 2026, the parties abandoned a proposed Truth Social spinoff and reaffirmed commitment to completing the deal in the fourth quarter of 2026 or sooner, without disclosing specific delays or new hurdles. As of mid-August 2026, no filings or announcements confirm closure by the July 31 deadline, leaving approval timelines and any remaining diligence as the main variables for traders assessing completion risk.

Donald Trump’s Social Media and Cryptocurrency company Trump Media and Technology Group and the fusion power company TAE Technologies announced they had agreed to a merger deal on December 18, 2025, signaling a shift of focus for the Trump-owned firm. You can read more about that here: https://www.nytimes.com/2025/12/18/business/trump-media-tae-technologies-fusion-power-deal.html

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the merger between Trump Media and Technology Group and TAE Technologies is completed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

The merger will be considered completed once it has become legally effective and the two companies are now a single entity or they exist under a single entity as one corporate group, as evidenced by official company announcements and/or regulatory filings (e.g. the filing of an 8-K form to the SEC that announces the closure of the deal). Shareholder approval, receipt of regulatory approvals, regulatory filings which do not announce the closure of the deal, or other intermediate steps towards the closing of a deal will not alone be sufficient for a ‘Yes’ resolution.

If the merger agreement is officially terminated or the deal has been abandoned according to official company communications, this market will resolve to “No”.

Resolution will be based on official company communications and regulatory filings from Trump Media and Technology Group, TAE Technologies, or a combined successor entity, supplemented as needed by a consensus of reporting from major reputable news outlets.
Volume
$732
End Date
Jul 31, 2026
Market Opened
Jul 31, 2026, 5:40 PM ET
Donald Trump’s Social Media and Cryptocurrency company Trump Media and Technology Group and the fusion power company TAE Technologies announced they had agreed to a merger deal on December 18, 2025, signaling a shift of focus for the Trump-owned firm. You can read more about that here: https://www.nytimes.com/2025/12/18/business/trump-media-tae-technologies-fusion-power-deal.html This market will resolve to “Yes” if the merger between Trump Media and Technology Group and TAE Technologies is completed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The merger will be considered completed once it has become legally effective and the two companies are now a single entity or they exist under a single entity as one corporate group, as evidenced by official company announcements and/or regulatory filings (e.g. the filing of an 8-K form to the SEC that announces the closure of the deal). Shareholder approval, receipt of regulatory approvals, regulatory filings which do not announce the closure of the deal, or other intermediate steps towards the closing of a deal will not alone be sufficient for a ‘Yes’ resolution. If the merger agreement is officially terminated or the deal has been abandoned according to official company communications, this market will resolve to “No”. Resolution will be based on official company communications and regulatory filings from Trump Media and Technology Group, TAE Technologies, or a combined successor entity, supplemented as needed by a consensus of reporting from major reputable news outlets.
Donald Trump’s Social Media and Cryptocurrency company Trump Media and Technology Group and the fusion power company TAE Technologies announced they had agreed to a merger deal on December 18, 2025, signaling a shift of focus for the Trump-owned firm. You can read more about that here: https://www.nytimes.com/2025/12/18/business/trump-media-tae-technologies-fusion-power-deal.html This market will resolve to “Yes” if the merger between Trump Media and Technology Group and TAE Technologies is completed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The merger will be considered completed once it has become legally effective and the two companies are now a single entity or they exist under a single entity as one corporate group, as evidenced by official company announcements and/or regulatory filings (e.g. the filing of an 8-K form to the SEC that announces the closure of the deal). Shareholder approval, receipt of regulatory approvals, regulatory filings which do not announce the closure of the deal, or other intermediate steps towards the closing of a deal will not alone be sufficient for a ‘Yes’ resolution. If the merger agreement is officially terminated or the deal has been abandoned according to official company communications, this market will resolve to “No”. Resolution will be based on official company communications and regulatory filings from Trump Media and Technology Group, TAE Technologies, or a combined successor entity, supplemented as needed by a consensus of reporting from major reputable news outlets.Donald Trump’s Social Media and Cryptocurrency company Trump Media and Technology Group and the fusion power company TAE Technologies announced they had agreed to a merger deal on December 18th, signaling a shift of focus for the Trump-owned firm. You can read more about that here: https://www.nytimes.com/2025/12/18/business/trump-media-tae-technologies-fusion-power-deal.html This market will resolve to “Yes” if the merger between Trump Media and Technology Group and TAE Technologies is completed by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The merger will be considered completed once it has become legally effective and the two companies are now a single entity or they exist under a single entity as one corporate group, as evidenced by official company announcements and/or regulatory filings (e.g. the filing of an 8-K form to the SEC that announces the closure of the deal). Shareholder approval, receipt of regulatory approvals, regulatory filings which do not announce the closure of the deal, or other intermediate steps towards the closing of a deal will not alone be sufficient for a ‘Yes’ resolution. If the merger agreement is officially terminated or the deal has been abandoned according to official company communications, this market will resolve to “No”. Resolution will be based on official company communications and regulatory filings from Trump Media and Technology Group, TAE Technologies, or a combined successor entity, supplemented as needed by a consensus of reporting from major reputable news outlets.Trump Media & Technology Group (TMTG) and TAE Technologies signed a definitive all-stock merger agreement in December 2025 valued at more than $6 billion, with each side expected to own roughly half the combined entity focused on fusion power development. Initial targets pointed to a mid-2026 close subject to shareholder votes, regulatory clearances, and other customary conditions, including plans to advance a utility-scale fusion plant. In June 2026, the parties abandoned a proposed Truth Social spinoff and reaffirmed commitment to completing the deal in the fourth quarter of 2026 or sooner, without disclosing specific delays or new hurdles. As of mid-August 2026, no filings or announcements confirm closure by the July 31 deadline, leaving approval timelines and any remaining diligence as the main variables for traders assessing completion risk.

Donald Trump’s Social Media and Cryptocurrency company Trump Media and Technology Group and the fusion power company TAE Technologies announced they had agreed to a merger deal on December 18, 2025, signaling a shift of focus for the Trump-owned firm. You can read more about that here: https://www.nytimes.com/2025/12/18/business/trump-media-tae-technologies-fusion-power-deal.html

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the merger between Trump Media and Technology Group and TAE Technologies is completed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

The merger will be considered completed once it has become legally effective and the two companies are now a single entity or they exist under a single entity as one corporate group, as evidenced by official company announcements and/or regulatory filings (e.g. the filing of an 8-K form to the SEC that announces the closure of the deal). Shareholder approval, receipt of regulatory approvals, regulatory filings which do not announce the closure of the deal, or other intermediate steps towards the closing of a deal will not alone be sufficient for a ‘Yes’ resolution.

If the merger agreement is officially terminated or the deal has been abandoned according to official company communications, this market will resolve to “No”.

Resolution will be based on official company communications and regulatory filings from Trump Media and Technology Group, TAE Technologies, or a combined successor entity, supplemented as needed by a consensus of reporting from major reputable news outlets.
Volume
$732
End Date
Jul 31, 2026
Market Opened
Jul 31, 2026, 5:40 PM ET
Donald Trump’s Social Media and Cryptocurrency company Trump Media and Technology Group and the fusion power company TAE Technologies announced they had agreed to a merger deal on December 18, 2025, signaling a shift of focus for the Trump-owned firm. You can read more about that here: https://www.nytimes.com/2025/12/18/business/trump-media-tae-technologies-fusion-power-deal.html This market will resolve to “Yes” if the merger between Trump Media and Technology Group and TAE Technologies is completed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The merger will be considered completed once it has become legally effective and the two companies are now a single entity or they exist under a single entity as one corporate group, as evidenced by official company announcements and/or regulatory filings (e.g. the filing of an 8-K form to the SEC that announces the closure of the deal). Shareholder approval, receipt of regulatory approvals, regulatory filings which do not announce the closure of the deal, or other intermediate steps towards the closing of a deal will not alone be sufficient for a ‘Yes’ resolution. If the merger agreement is officially terminated or the deal has been abandoned according to official company communications, this market will resolve to “No”. Resolution will be based on official company communications and regulatory filings from Trump Media and Technology Group, TAE Technologies, or a combined successor entity, supplemented as needed by a consensus of reporting from major reputable news outlets.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Trump Media x TAE Technologies merger closed by July 31?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 2 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "December 31" at 43%, followed by "Trump Media x TAE Technologies merger closed by July 31?" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 43¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 43% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Trump Media x TAE Technologies merger closed by July 31?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Jun 29, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Trump Media x TAE Technologies merger closed by July 31?," browse the 2 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Trump Media x TAE Technologies merger closed by July 31?" is "December 31" at 43%, meaning the market assigns a 43% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Trump Media x TAE Technologies merger closed by July 31?" at 0%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Trump Media x TAE Technologies merger closed by July 31?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.