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icon for Titled Tuesday Winner: August 18
Sports·Chess

Titled Tuesday Winner: August 18

icon for Titled Tuesday Winner: August 18
Sports·Chess

Titled Tuesday Winner: August 18

Winner

Top 3

Top 5

Top 8

Winner

Top 3

Top 5

Top 8

Hikaru Nakamura 26%

Magnus Carlsen 14%

Fabiano Caruana 9%

Wesley So 9%

Polymarket
NEW

Hikaru Nakamura 26%

Magnus Carlsen 14%

Fabiano Caruana 9%

Wesley So 9%

Polymarket
NEW

Hikaru Nakamura

$18 Vol.

20%

Magnus Carlsen

$13 Vol.

14%

Fabiano Caruana

$12 Vol.

9%

Wesley So

$12 Vol.

9%

Ding Liren

$12 Vol.

9%

Brandon Jacobson

$12 Vol.

9%

Tuomas Turunen

$12 Vol.

9%

Levon Aronian

$12 Vol.

9%

Praggnanandhaa Rameshbabu

$12 Vol.

9%

Sam Sevian

$12 Vol.

9%

Volen Dyulgerov

$12 Vol.

9%

Vincent Keymer

$12 Vol.

9%

Maxime Vachier-Lagrave

$12 Vol.

9%

Alireza Firouzja

$0 Vol.

5%

Dincer Tasdogen

$0 Vol.

5%

Faustino Oro

$0 Vol.

5%

Frederik Svane

$0 Vol.

5%

Arjun Erigaisi

$0 Vol.

5%

Denis Lazavik

$0 Vol.

5%

Sina Movahed

$0 Vol.

5%

Alexander Grischuk

$0 Vol.

5%

Aleksandar Indjic

$0 Vol.

5%

Aleksandr Shimanov

$0 Vol.

5%

Cristobal Henriquez Villagra

$0 Vol.

5%

Yoseph Theolifus Taher

$0 Vol.

5%

Zhamsaran Tsydypov

$0 Vol.

5%

Gukesh Dommaraju

$0 Vol.

5%

Wei Yi

$0 Vol.

5%

Vladimir Fedoseev

$0 Vol.

5%

Christopher Yoo

$0 Vol.

5%

Awonder Liang

$0 Vol.

5%

Andrew Tang

$0 Vol.

5%

Aravindh Chithambaram

$0 Vol.

5%

Aleksei Sarana

$0 Vol.

5%

Benjamin Bok

$0 Vol.

5%

Andrey Esipenko

$0 Vol.

5%

Bardiya Daneshvar

$0 Vol.

5%

Bogdan-Daniel Deac

$0 Vol.

5%

Dmitry Andreikin

$0 Vol.

5%

David Anton

$0 Vol.

5%

Dau Khuong Duy

$0 Vol.

5%

Hans Niemann

$0 Vol.

5%

Haowen Xue

$0 Vol.

5%

Ian Nepomniachtchi

$0 Vol.

5%

Jan-Krzysztof Duda

$0 Vol.

5%

Jose Martinez

$0 Vol.

5%

Jules Moussard

$0 Vol.

5%

Jeffery Xiong

$0 Vol.

5%

Le Tuan Minh

$0 Vol.

5%

Matthias Bluebaum

$0 Vol.

5%

Nodirbek Abdusattorov

$0 Vol.

5%

Pranav Venkatesh

$0 Vol.

5%

Renato Terry Lujan

$0 Vol.

5%

Rudik Makarian

$0 Vol.

5%

Rasmus Svane

$0 Vol.

5%

Sergey Sklokin

$0 Vol.

5%

Seyyed Mohammad Amin Tabatabaei

$0 Vol.

5%

Shamsiddin Vokhidov

$0 Vol.

5%

Vladislav Artemiev

$0 Vol.

5%

Haik Martirosyan

$0 Vol.

5%

Nihal Sarin

$0 Vol.

5%

Nikolas Theodorou

$0 Vol.

5%

Oleksandr Bortnyk

$0 Vol.

5%

Parham Maghsoodloo

$0 Vol.

5%

Pranesh Munirethinam

$0 Vol.

5%

Javokhir Sindarov

$62 Vol.

5%

This market will resolve according to the winner of Titled Tuesday on August 18, 2026 11:59 PM ET. If the listed player does not play their corresponding market will resolve to "No". If this tournament is postponed after September 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or a winner has not been declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other." If multiple players are declared winner, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed name comes first alphabetically. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the tournament organizer, Chess.com (https://www.chess.com/events/info/2026-titled-tuesday-blitz); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Magnus Carlsen and Hikaru Nakamura lead trader consensus at 16.5% and 15.5% implied probability for the August 18 Titled Tuesday blitz event due to their unmatched historical dominance, with Nakamura holding the all-time win record and Carlsen securing recent victories including the August 4 edition. A deep field of over 60 titled grandmasters creates tight clustering around 4.5-5% for players like Arjun Erigaisi, Alireza Firouzja, Nodirbek Abdusattorov, and others, reflecting the Swiss-system format's high variance, strong recent form from multiple contenders, and lack of any single dominant pre-tournament favorite. Head-to-head blitz records and participation frequency further support the narrow gap at the top while underscoring realistic upset potential across the leaderboard.

This market will resolve according to the winner of Titled Tuesday on August 18, 2026 11:59 PM ET.

If the listed player does not play their corresponding market will resolve to "No".

If this tournament is postponed after September 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or a winner has not been declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other."

If multiple players are declared winner, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed name comes first alphabetically.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the tournament organizer, Chess.com (https://www.chess.com/events/info/2026-titled-tuesday-blitz); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$225
End Date
Sep 2, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 11, 2026, 12:30 PM ET

Resolution Source

https://www.chess.com/events/info/2026-titled-tuesday-blitz

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the winner of Titled Tuesday on August 18, 2026 11:59 PM ET. If the listed player does not play their corresponding market will resolve to "No". If this tournament is postponed after September 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or a winner has not been declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other." If multiple players are declared winner, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed name comes first alphabetically. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the tournament organizer, Chess.com (https://www.chess.com/events/info/2026-titled-tuesday-blitz); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the winner of Titled Tuesday on August 18, 2026 11:59 PM ET. If the listed player does not play their corresponding market will resolve to "No". If this tournament is postponed after September 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or a winner has not been declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other." If multiple players are declared winner, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed name comes first alphabetically. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the tournament organizer, Chess.com (https://www.chess.com/events/info/2026-titled-tuesday-blitz); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Magnus Carlsen and Hikaru Nakamura lead trader consensus at 16.5% and 15.5% implied probability for the August 18 Titled Tuesday blitz event due to their unmatched historical dominance, with Nakamura holding the all-time win record and Carlsen securing recent victories including the August 4 edition. A deep field of over 60 titled grandmasters creates tight clustering around 4.5-5% for players like Arjun Erigaisi, Alireza Firouzja, Nodirbek Abdusattorov, and others, reflecting the Swiss-system format's high variance, strong recent form from multiple contenders, and lack of any single dominant pre-tournament favorite. Head-to-head blitz records and participation frequency further support the narrow gap at the top while underscoring realistic upset potential across the leaderboard.

This market will resolve according to the winner of Titled Tuesday on August 18, 2026 11:59 PM ET.

If the listed player does not play their corresponding market will resolve to "No".

If this tournament is postponed after September 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or a winner has not been declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other."

If multiple players are declared winner, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed name comes first alphabetically.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the tournament organizer, Chess.com (https://www.chess.com/events/info/2026-titled-tuesday-blitz); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$225
End Date
Sep 2, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 11, 2026, 12:30 PM ET

Resolution Source

https://www.chess.com/events/info/2026-titled-tuesday-blitz

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the winner of Titled Tuesday on August 18, 2026 11:59 PM ET. If the listed player does not play their corresponding market will resolve to "No". If this tournament is postponed after September 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or a winner has not been declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other." If multiple players are declared winner, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed name comes first alphabetically. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the tournament organizer, Chess.com (https://www.chess.com/events/info/2026-titled-tuesday-blitz); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Titled Tuesday Winner: August 18" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 66+ possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Hikaru Nakamura" at 20%, followed by "Magnus Carlsen" at 14%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 20¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 20% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Titled Tuesday Winner: August 18" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Aug 11, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Titled Tuesday Winner: August 18," browse the 66+ available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Titled Tuesday Winner: August 18" is "Hikaru Nakamura" at 20%, meaning the market assigns a 20% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Magnus Carlsen" at 14%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Titled Tuesday Winner: August 18" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.