Titled Tuesday's large Swiss field of elite blitz specialists creates tight probabilities, with Nakamura's 13% and Carlsen's 10.5% reflecting their unmatched historical win totals and rating edges while dozens of GMs remain live. Recent results underscore the volatility: Carlsen captured the August 4 event at 9.5/11 ahead of Erigaisi, Nakamura placed third, and Ashraf claimed the August 11 crown. In the 5+0 format, factors such as pairing luck, current form, and rest from other events keep outcomes open, as consistent performers like Sarana, Firouzja, and Duda can surge on any Tuesday. This depth produces the bunched pricing traders assign across the leaderboard.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHikaru Nakamura 14%
Magnus Carlsen 13%
Fabiano Caruana 9%
Wesley So 9%
Hikaru Nakamura
14%
Magnus Carlsen
13%
Fabiano Caruana
9%
Wesley So
9%
Ding Liren
9%
Vladimir Fedoseev
9%
Brandon Jacobson
9%
Awonder Liang
9%
Tuomas Turunen
9%
Levon Aronian
9%
Praggnanandhaa Rameshbabu
9%
Sam Sevian
9%
Volen Dyulgerov
9%
Vincent Keymer
9%
Maxime Vachier-Lagrave
9%
Aleksei Sarana
7%
Arjun Erigaisi
6%
Denis Lazavik
5%
Jan-Krzysztof Duda
5%
Sina Movahed
5%
Alireza Firouzja
5%
Dmitry Andreikin
5%
Dau Khuong Duy
5%
Hans Niemann
5%
Ian Nepomniachtchi
5%
Jeffery Xiong
5%
Haik Martirosyan
5%
Nihal Sarin
5%
Dincer Tasdogen
5%
Faustino Oro
5%
Frederik Svane
5%
Alexander Grischuk
5%
Aleksandar Indjic
5%
Aleksandr Shimanov
5%
Cristobal Henriquez Villagra
5%
Yoseph Theolifus Taher
5%
Zhamsaran Tsydypov
5%
Gukesh Dommaraju
5%
Wei Yi
5%
Christopher Yoo
5%
Andrew Tang
5%
Aravindh Chithambaram
5%
Benjamin Bok
5%
Andrey Esipenko
5%
Bardiya Daneshvar
5%
Bogdan-Daniel Deac
5%
David Anton
5%
Haowen Xue
5%
Jose Martinez
5%
Jules Moussard
5%
Le Tuan Minh
5%
Matthias Bluebaum
5%
Nodirbek Abdusattorov
5%
Pranav Venkatesh
5%
Renato Terry Lujan
5%
Rudik Makarian
5%
Rasmus Svane
5%
Sergey Sklokin
5%
Seyyed Mohammad Amin Tabatabaei
5%
Shamsiddin Vokhidov
5%
Vladislav Artemiev
5%
Nikolas Theodorou
5%
Oleksandr Bortnyk
5%
Parham Maghsoodloo
5%
Pranesh Munirethinam
5%
Javokhir Sindarov
5%
Hikaru Nakamura 14%
Magnus Carlsen 13%
Fabiano Caruana 9%
Wesley So 9%
Hikaru Nakamura
14%
Magnus Carlsen
13%
Fabiano Caruana
9%
Wesley So
9%
Ding Liren
9%
Vladimir Fedoseev
9%
Brandon Jacobson
9%
Awonder Liang
9%
Tuomas Turunen
9%
Levon Aronian
9%
Praggnanandhaa Rameshbabu
9%
Sam Sevian
9%
Volen Dyulgerov
9%
Vincent Keymer
9%
Maxime Vachier-Lagrave
9%
Aleksei Sarana
7%
Arjun Erigaisi
6%
Denis Lazavik
5%
Jan-Krzysztof Duda
5%
Sina Movahed
5%
Alireza Firouzja
5%
Dmitry Andreikin
5%
Dau Khuong Duy
5%
Hans Niemann
5%
Ian Nepomniachtchi
5%
Jeffery Xiong
5%
Haik Martirosyan
5%
Nihal Sarin
5%
Dincer Tasdogen
5%
Faustino Oro
5%
Frederik Svane
5%
Alexander Grischuk
5%
Aleksandar Indjic
5%
Aleksandr Shimanov
5%
Cristobal Henriquez Villagra
5%
Yoseph Theolifus Taher
5%
Zhamsaran Tsydypov
5%
Gukesh Dommaraju
5%
Wei Yi
5%
Christopher Yoo
5%
Andrew Tang
5%
Aravindh Chithambaram
5%
Benjamin Bok
5%
Andrey Esipenko
5%
Bardiya Daneshvar
5%
Bogdan-Daniel Deac
5%
David Anton
5%
Haowen Xue
5%
Jose Martinez
5%
Jules Moussard
5%
Le Tuan Minh
5%
Matthias Bluebaum
5%
Nodirbek Abdusattorov
5%
Pranav Venkatesh
5%
Renato Terry Lujan
5%
Rudik Makarian
5%
Rasmus Svane
5%
Sergey Sklokin
5%
Seyyed Mohammad Amin Tabatabaei
5%
Shamsiddin Vokhidov
5%
Vladislav Artemiev
5%
Nikolas Theodorou
5%
Oleksandr Bortnyk
5%
Parham Maghsoodloo
5%
Pranesh Munirethinam
5%
Javokhir Sindarov
5%
If the listed player does not play their corresponding market will resolve to "No".
If this tournament is postponed after September 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or a winner has not been declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other."
If multiple players are declared winner, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the tournament organizer, Chess.com (https://www.chess.com/events/info/2026-titled-tuesday-blitz); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Aug 11, 2026, 12:30 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.chess.com/events/info/2026-titled-tuesday-blitzResolver
0x69c47De9D...If the listed player does not play their corresponding market will resolve to "No".
If this tournament is postponed after September 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or a winner has not been declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other."
If multiple players are declared winner, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the tournament organizer, Chess.com (https://www.chess.com/events/info/2026-titled-tuesday-blitz); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolution Source
https://www.chess.com/events/info/2026-titled-tuesday-blitzResolver
0x69c47De9D...Titled Tuesday's large Swiss field of elite blitz specialists creates tight probabilities, with Nakamura's 13% and Carlsen's 10.5% reflecting their unmatched historical win totals and rating edges while dozens of GMs remain live. Recent results underscore the volatility: Carlsen captured the August 4 event at 9.5/11 ahead of Erigaisi, Nakamura placed third, and Ashraf claimed the August 11 crown. In the 5+0 format, factors such as pairing luck, current form, and rest from other events keep outcomes open, as consistent performers like Sarana, Firouzja, and Duda can surge on any Tuesday. This depth produces the bunched pricing traders assign across the leaderboard.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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