MLSTP–PSD holds a dominant position in the São Tomé and Príncipe parliamentary election market due to its backing of incumbent President Carlos Vila Nova, who secured re-election as an independent with roughly 56% of the vote in the July 2026 presidential contest against the ADI candidate. This alignment follows the 2025 dismissal of former Prime Minister Patrice Trovoada and the subsequent political realignment that left ADI internally divided while positioning MLSTP as the main force supporting the executive. With voting set for 27 September under proportional representation across 55 National Assembly seats, traders see limited scope for ADI or smaller parties such as MCI-PS/PUN and Basta to overcome the momentum from the presidential outcome and institutional continuity. Late shifts remain possible if turnout falls sharply or unexpected alliances form before election day, though the current pricing reflects the party’s structural advantages heading into the vote.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedSão Tomé and Príncipe Parliamentary Election Winner
São Tomé and Príncipe Parliamentary Election Winner
MLSTP 92%
ADI 7%
Basta <1%
PCD <1%
$15,045 Vol.
$15,045 Vol.
Sep 26, 2026
MLSTP
92%
ADI
7%
Basta
<1%
PCD
<1%
MDFM
<1%
MCI-PS/PUN
<1%
Nossa Terra
<1%
MLSTP 92%
ADI 7%
Basta <1%
PCD <1%
$15,045 Vol.
$15,045 Vol.
Sep 26, 2026
MLSTP
$7,045 Vol.
92%
ADI
$4,624 Vol.
7%
Basta
$1,028 Vol.
<1%
PCD
$612 Vol.
<1%
MDFM
$662 Vol.
<1%
MCI-PS/PUN
$537 Vol.
<1%
Nossa Terra
$537 Vol.
<1%
Parliamentary elections to elect the National Assembly of São Tomé and Príncipe are scheduled to take place on September 27, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of São Tomé and Príncipe as a result of this election.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
Parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties or coalitions are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties or coalitions remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party or coalition names. This market will resolve to the party or coalition that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by the São Toméan government.MLSTP–PSD holds a dominant position in the São Tomé and Príncipe parliamentary election market due to its backing of incumbent President Carlos Vila Nova, who secured re-election as an independent with roughly 56% of the vote in the July 2026 presidential contest against the ADI candidate. This alignment follows the 2025 dismissal of former Prime Minister Patrice Trovoada and the subsequent political realignment that left ADI internally divided while positioning MLSTP as the main force supporting the executive. With voting set for 27 September under proportional representation across 55 National Assembly seats, traders see limited scope for ADI or smaller parties such as MCI-PS/PUN and Basta to overcome the momentum from the presidential outcome and institutional continuity. Late shifts remain possible if turnout falls sharply or unexpected alliances form before election day, though the current pricing reflects the party’s structural advantages heading into the vote.
Parliamentary elections to elect the National Assembly of São Tomé and Príncipe are scheduled to take place on September 27, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of São Tomé and Príncipe as a result of this election.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
Parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties or coalitions are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties or coalitions remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party or coalition names. This market will resolve to the party or coalition that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by the São Toméan government.
This market will resolve to the political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of São Tomé and Príncipe as a result of this election.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
Parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties or coalitions are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties or coalitions remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party or coalition names. This market will resolve to the party or coalition that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by the São Toméan government.
Market Opened: Aug 20, 2026, 5:45 AM ET
Volume
$15,045End Date
Sep 27, 2026Market Opened
Aug 20, 2026, 5:45 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections to elect the National Assembly of São Tomé and Príncipe are scheduled to take place on September 27, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of São Tomé and Príncipe as a result of this election.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
Parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties or coalitions are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties or coalitions remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party or coalition names. This market will resolve to the party or coalition that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by the São Toméan government.MLSTP–PSD holds a dominant position in the São Tomé and Príncipe parliamentary election market due to its backing of incumbent President Carlos Vila Nova, who secured re-election as an independent with roughly 56% of the vote in the July 2026 presidential contest against the ADI candidate. This alignment follows the 2025 dismissal of former Prime Minister Patrice Trovoada and the subsequent political realignment that left ADI internally divided while positioning MLSTP as the main force supporting the executive. With voting set for 27 September under proportional representation across 55 National Assembly seats, traders see limited scope for ADI or smaller parties such as MCI-PS/PUN and Basta to overcome the momentum from the presidential outcome and institutional continuity. Late shifts remain possible if turnout falls sharply or unexpected alliances form before election day, though the current pricing reflects the party’s structural advantages heading into the vote.
Parliamentary elections to elect the National Assembly of São Tomé and Príncipe are scheduled to take place on September 27, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of São Tomé and Príncipe as a result of this election.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
Parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties or coalitions are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties or coalitions remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party or coalition names. This market will resolve to the party or coalition that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by the São Toméan government.
This market will resolve to the political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of São Tomé and Príncipe as a result of this election.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
Parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties or coalitions are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties or coalitions remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party or coalition names. This market will resolve to the party or coalition that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by the São Toméan government.
Volume
$15,045End Date
Sep 27, 2026Market Opened
Aug 20, 2026, 5:45 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...MLSTP–PSD holds a dominant position in the São Tomé and Príncipe parliamentary election market due to its backing of incumbent President Carlos Vila Nova, who secured re-election as an independent with roughly 56% of the vote in the July 2026 presidential contest against the ADI candidate. This alignment follows the 2025 dismissal of former Prime Minister Patrice Trovoada and the subsequent political realignment that left ADI internally divided while positioning MLSTP as the main force supporting the executive. With voting set for 27 September under proportional representation across 55 National Assembly seats, traders see limited scope for ADI or smaller parties such as MCI-PS/PUN and Basta to overcome the momentum from the presidential outcome and institutional continuity. Late shifts remain possible if turnout falls sharply or unexpected alliances form before election day, though the current pricing reflects the party’s structural advantages heading into the vote.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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