Both the Houston Texans and Jacksonville Jaguars enter the 2026 season as established AFC South contenders following 12-5 and 13-4 records in 2025, respectively, creating expectations of a competitive split in their two head-to-head matchups. The Jaguars lost key contributors like running back Travis Etienne and linebacker Devin Lloyd but project near double-digit wins behind Trevor Lawrence and internal depth, while the Texans rely on a stout defense and C.J. Stroud’s rebound year after adding offensive line reinforcements. Their London and Houston games, plus comparable overall talent and recent divisional form, underpin trader consensus around a 1-1 series outcome as the most probable result.