The 2026 live tournament money list remains highly competitive midway through the year, with no player holding a decisive edge and implied probabilities clustered tightly among contenders such as Adrian Mateos, Bryn Kenney, Aleksejs Ponakovs, and others. Recent WSOP results, including Mateos’s multiple high payouts and Lucas Jumalon’s strong overall earnings, have kept several names in contention, while high-roller series and upcoming Triton, WPT, and European stops continue to offer paths for surges by players like Alex Kulev or Jason Koon. High variance in poker, combined with large fields and occasional deep runs by under-the-radar pros, sustains broad trader consensus that the final leader could shift with late-season results.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedDaniel Rezaei 100%
Sean Winter 100%
William Alex Foxen 99%
Adrian Mateos 95%
Daniel Rezaei
100%
Sean Winter
100%
William Alex Foxen
99%
Adrian Mateos
95%
Brandon Wilson
95%
Wai Kiat Lee
95%
Anatoliy Zlotnikov
50%
Isaac Haxton
50%
Johannes Straver
50%
Jesse Lonis
50%
Elton Tsang
50%
Bernhard Binder
50%
Teun Mulder
50%
Jon Vallinas
50%
Danilo Velasevic
50%
Jamie Dwan
50%
Biao Ding
50%
Ben Heath
50%
Santhosh Suvarna
50%
Stephen Chidwick
50%
Tony Lin
50%
Ye Wang
50%
Leon Sturm
50%
Cesar Garcia
50%
Maher Nouira
50%
Alexey Lozuyk
50%
Philip Sternheimer
50%
Mehdi Chaoui
50%
Orpen Kisacikoglu
50%
Patrik Antonius
3%
Daniel Negreanu
3%
Bryn Kenney
-
Aleksejs Ponakovs
-
Eelis Pärssinen
-
Daniel Chi Tang
-
Daniel Dvoress
-
Alex Kulev
-
Jason Koon
-
Matthias Eibinger
-
Christopher Nam Nguyen
-
Kristen Foxen
-
Artur Martirosyan
-
Punnat Punsri
-
Paul Phua
-
Yuri Martins Dzivielevski
-
Benjamin Tollerene
-
Klemens Roiter
-
Michael Watson
50%
Quan Zhou
50%
Richard Gryko
50%
Daniel Rezaei 100%
Sean Winter 100%
William Alex Foxen 99%
Adrian Mateos 95%
Daniel Rezaei
100%
Sean Winter
100%
William Alex Foxen
99%
Adrian Mateos
95%
Brandon Wilson
95%
Wai Kiat Lee
95%
Anatoliy Zlotnikov
50%
Isaac Haxton
50%
Johannes Straver
50%
Jesse Lonis
50%
Elton Tsang
50%
Bernhard Binder
50%
Teun Mulder
50%
Jon Vallinas
50%
Danilo Velasevic
50%
Jamie Dwan
50%
Biao Ding
50%
Ben Heath
50%
Santhosh Suvarna
50%
Stephen Chidwick
50%
Tony Lin
50%
Ye Wang
50%
Leon Sturm
50%
Cesar Garcia
50%
Maher Nouira
50%
Alexey Lozuyk
50%
Philip Sternheimer
50%
Mehdi Chaoui
50%
Orpen Kisacikoglu
50%
Patrik Antonius
3%
Daniel Negreanu
3%
Bryn Kenney
-
Aleksejs Ponakovs
-
Eelis Pärssinen
-
Daniel Chi Tang
-
Daniel Dvoress
-
Alex Kulev
-
Jason Koon
-
Matthias Eibinger
-
Christopher Nam Nguyen
-
Kristen Foxen
-
Artur Martirosyan
-
Punnat Punsri
-
Paul Phua
-
Yuri Martins Dzivielevski
-
Benjamin Tollerene
-
Klemens Roiter
-
Michael Watson
50%
Quan Zhou
50%
Richard Gryko
50%
The 2026 Money List ranks players by total live tournament winnings recorded during the 2026 calendar year, as tracked by The Hendon Mob. This market resolves to the player occupying the #1 position on that list once all 2026 results have been recorded.
If two or more players are tied for #1 on the final 2026 Money List, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed name comes first alphabetically. If a player not individually listed as an outcome finishes #1, this market will resolve to "Other."
If the final 2026 Money List is not determined by January 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other."
The resolution source for this market will be official information from The Hendon Mob (https://pokerdb.thehendonmob.com/ranking/11059/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Jul 15, 2026, 3:04 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The 2026 Money List ranks players by total live tournament winnings recorded during the 2026 calendar year, as tracked by The Hendon Mob. This market resolves to the player occupying the #1 position on that list once all 2026 results have been recorded.
If two or more players are tied for #1 on the final 2026 Money List, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed name comes first alphabetically. If a player not individually listed as an outcome finishes #1, this market will resolve to "Other."
If the final 2026 Money List is not determined by January 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other."
The resolution source for this market will be official information from The Hendon Mob (https://pokerdb.thehendonmob.com/ranking/11059/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The 2026 live tournament money list remains highly competitive midway through the year, with no player holding a decisive edge and implied probabilities clustered tightly among contenders such as Adrian Mateos, Bryn Kenney, Aleksejs Ponakovs, and others. Recent WSOP results, including Mateos’s multiple high payouts and Lucas Jumalon’s strong overall earnings, have kept several names in contention, while high-roller series and upcoming Triton, WPT, and European stops continue to offer paths for surges by players like Alex Kulev or Jason Koon. High variance in poker, combined with large fields and occasional deep runs by under-the-radar pros, sustains broad trader consensus that the final leader could shift with late-season results.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated



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