NVIDIA shares closed at $214.72 on August 21, 2026, amid positioning ahead of fiscal Q2 earnings scheduled for release after the close on August 26. Consensus estimates call for roughly $92 billion in revenue—up about 95% year over year—and $2.09 in adjusted EPS, compared with company guidance centered on $91 billion at a 75% non-GAAP gross margin. Options markets price in a potential 5–6% move around the report, reflecting the stock’s history of post-earnings volatility despite consistent beats. Key variables for the week ending August 28 include any upward revisions to forward guidance on data-center demand, Blackwell or Rubin ramp progress, margin stability, and broader market reaction to PCE inflation data and the Jackson Hole symposium. Rising Treasury yields have recently pressured multiples, leaving the outcome sensitive to both results and macroeconomic sentiment.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$185
91%
$190
92%
$195
90%
$200
85%
$205
79%
$210
67%
$215
56%
$220
45%
$225
23%
$230
22%
$235
17%
$240
9%
$245
9%
$28 Vol.
$185
91%
$190
92%
$195
90%
$200
85%
$205
79%
$210
67%
$215
56%
$220
45%
$225
23%
$230
22%
$235
17%
$240
9%
$245
9%
If the two specified prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve to "No".
Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
If NVIDIA (NVDA) does not trade at all during the regular session of the final trading day of the week, the market will resolve 50-50.
For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If the relevant session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of that shortened session will be used.
If the relevant day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle for NVIDIA (NVDA) available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.NVDA%2FUSD.
Market Opened: Aug 21, 2026, 6:00 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.NVDA%2FUSDResolver
0x65070BE91...If the two specified prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve to "No".
Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
If NVIDIA (NVDA) does not trade at all during the regular session of the final trading day of the week, the market will resolve 50-50.
For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If the relevant session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of that shortened session will be used.
If the relevant day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle for NVIDIA (NVDA) available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.NVDA%2FUSD.
Resolution Source
https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.NVDA%2FUSDResolver
0x65070BE91...NVIDIA shares closed at $214.72 on August 21, 2026, amid positioning ahead of fiscal Q2 earnings scheduled for release after the close on August 26. Consensus estimates call for roughly $92 billion in revenue—up about 95% year over year—and $2.09 in adjusted EPS, compared with company guidance centered on $91 billion at a 75% non-GAAP gross margin. Options markets price in a potential 5–6% move around the report, reflecting the stock’s history of post-earnings volatility despite consistent beats. Key variables for the week ending August 28 include any upward revisions to forward guidance on data-center demand, Blackwell or Rubin ramp progress, margin stability, and broader market reaction to PCE inflation data and the Jackson Hole symposium. Rising Treasury yields have recently pressured multiples, leaving the outcome sensitive to both results and macroeconomic sentiment.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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