Skip to main content
icon for Nitto ATP Finals: Player to Qualify

Nitto ATP Finals: Player to Qualify

icon for Nitto ATP Finals: Player to Qualify

Nitto ATP Finals: Player to Qualify

$11,467 Vol.

Polymarket

$11,467 Vol.

Polymarket

Carlos Alcaraz

$143 Vol.

81%

Flavio Cobolli

$832 Vol.

78%

Ben Shelton

$1,630 Vol.

67%

Felix Auger-Aliassime

$1,348 Vol.

61%

Daniil Medvedev

$392 Vol.

55%

Novak Djokovic

$20 Vol.

55%

Taylor Fritz

$243 Vol.

55%

Rafael Jodar

$815 Vol.

52%

Alex de Minaur

$2,086 Vol.

45%

Frances Tiafoe

$91 Vol.

19%

Tommy Paul

$151 Vol.

18%

Andrey Rublev

$91 Vol.

18%

Casper Ruud

$60 Vol.

17%

Arthur Fils

$60 Vol.

16%

Jakub Mensik

$60 Vol.

16%

Alejandro Tabilo

$40 Vol.

15%

Tomas Martin Etcheverry

$40 Vol.

14%

Stefanos Tsitsipas

$40 Vol.

14%

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina

$40 Vol.

13%

Joao Fonseca

$93 Vol.

13%

Alexander Bublik

$100 Vol.

8%

Jiri Lehecka

$1,331 Vol.

8%

Luciano Darderi

$70 Vol.

7%

Learner Tien

$120 Vol.

14%

Brandon Nakashima

$20 Vol.

6%

Lorenzo Musetti

$104 Vol.

6%

Valentin Vacherot

$0 Vol.

5%

Zizou Bergs

$0 Vol.

5%

Raphael Collignon

$0 Vol.

5%

Matteo Arnaldi

$0 Vol.

5%

Alexander Blockx

$0 Vol.

5%

Ignacio Buse

$63 Vol.

5%

Quentin Halys

$0 Vol.

5%

Mariano Navone

$100 Vol.

5%

Arthur Fery

$5 Vol.

4%

Francisco Cerundolo

$1,120 Vol.

11%

Ugo Humbert

$160 Vol.

50%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the specified player qualifies for the singles main draw of the 2026 Nitto ATP Finals, currently scheduled for November 15, 2026 to November 22, 2026, in Turin, Italy. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." A player is considered to have "qualified" if they are named to one of the eight (8) singles main-draw spots according to the official ATP source. If a player qualifies but withdraws before competing, they will still be considered to have "qualified" and this market will resolve "Yes." If the tournament is postponed beyond December 6, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or the eight-player singles field has not been officially determined within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the ATP Tour (atptour.com); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Jannik Sinner secured the first 2026 Nitto ATP Finals berth in July by reaching the Wimbledon final, while Alexander Zverev followed in early August after his Roland Garros title and Wimbledon runner-up finish. Current PIF ATP Live Race to Turin standings show Sinner holding a substantial lead, with Zverev, Carlos Alcaraz, Taylor Fritz, Ben Shelton, and Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard occupying the next positions. The remaining six spots will be decided primarily through the North American hard-court swing, US Open, and fall Masters 1000 events, where consistent deep runs and head-to-head results among the top 20 directly influence qualification thresholds. Late-season injuries, schedule management, and the distribution of ranking points from mandatory events continue to shape trader views on contenders outside the top two.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the specified player qualifies for the singles main draw of the 2026 Nitto ATP Finals, currently scheduled for November 15, 2026 to November 22, 2026, in Turin, Italy. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

A player is considered to have "qualified" if they are named to one of the eight (8) singles main-draw spots according to the official ATP source.

If a player qualifies but withdraws before competing, they will still be considered to have "qualified" and this market will resolve "Yes."

If the tournament is postponed beyond December 6, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or the eight-player singles field has not been officially determined within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "No."

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the ATP Tour (atptour.com); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$11,467
Market Opened
Jul 28, 2026, 10:09 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the specified player qualifies for the singles main draw of the 2026 Nitto ATP Finals, currently scheduled for November 15, 2026 to November 22, 2026, in Turin, Italy. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." A player is considered to have "qualified" if they are named to one of the eight (8) singles main-draw spots according to the official ATP source. If a player qualifies but withdraws before competing, they will still be considered to have "qualified" and this market will resolve "Yes." If the tournament is postponed beyond December 6, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or the eight-player singles field has not been officially determined within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the ATP Tour (atptour.com); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the specified player qualifies for the singles main draw of the 2026 Nitto ATP Finals, currently scheduled for November 15, 2026 to November 22, 2026, in Turin, Italy. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." A player is considered to have "qualified" if they are named to one of the eight (8) singles main-draw spots according to the official ATP source. If a player qualifies but withdraws before competing, they will still be considered to have "qualified" and this market will resolve "Yes." If the tournament is postponed beyond December 6, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or the eight-player singles field has not been officially determined within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the ATP Tour (atptour.com); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Jannik Sinner secured the first 2026 Nitto ATP Finals berth in July by reaching the Wimbledon final, while Alexander Zverev followed in early August after his Roland Garros title and Wimbledon runner-up finish. Current PIF ATP Live Race to Turin standings show Sinner holding a substantial lead, with Zverev, Carlos Alcaraz, Taylor Fritz, Ben Shelton, and Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard occupying the next positions. The remaining six spots will be decided primarily through the North American hard-court swing, US Open, and fall Masters 1000 events, where consistent deep runs and head-to-head results among the top 20 directly influence qualification thresholds. Late-season injuries, schedule management, and the distribution of ranking points from mandatory events continue to shape trader views on contenders outside the top two.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the specified player qualifies for the singles main draw of the 2026 Nitto ATP Finals, currently scheduled for November 15, 2026 to November 22, 2026, in Turin, Italy. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

A player is considered to have "qualified" if they are named to one of the eight (8) singles main-draw spots according to the official ATP source.

If a player qualifies but withdraws before competing, they will still be considered to have "qualified" and this market will resolve "Yes."

If the tournament is postponed beyond December 6, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or the eight-player singles field has not been officially determined within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "No."

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the ATP Tour (atptour.com); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$11,467
Market Opened
Jul 28, 2026, 10:09 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the specified player qualifies for the singles main draw of the 2026 Nitto ATP Finals, currently scheduled for November 15, 2026 to November 22, 2026, in Turin, Italy. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." A player is considered to have "qualified" if they are named to one of the eight (8) singles main-draw spots according to the official ATP source. If a player qualifies but withdraws before competing, they will still be considered to have "qualified" and this market will resolve "Yes." If the tournament is postponed beyond December 6, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or the eight-player singles field has not been officially determined within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the ATP Tour (atptour.com); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Related

icon for Will Jannik Sinner Make the Top 10 in the 2026 ATP end of year rankings

Will Jannik Sinner Make the Top 10 in the 2026 ATP end of year rankings

96%
icon for Will Jannik Sinner be Number 1 on the End of Year ATP Rankings

Will Jannik Sinner be Number 1 on the End of Year ATP Rankings

92%
icon for Will Ben Stiller attend the US Open Finals?

Will Ben Stiller attend the US Open Finals?

78%

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Nitto ATP Finals: Player to Qualify" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 37 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Carlos Alcaraz" at 81%, followed by "Flavio Cobolli" at 78%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 81¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 81% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Nitto ATP Finals: Player to Qualify" has generated $11.5K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jul 28, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Nitto ATP Finals: Player to Qualify," browse the 37 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Nitto ATP Finals: Player to Qualify" is "Carlos Alcaraz" at 81%, meaning the market assigns a 81% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Flavio Cobolli" at 78%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Nitto ATP Finals: Player to Qualify" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.