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NCAA Football: Team to be Ranked #1

icon for NCAA Football: Team to be Ranked #1

NCAA Football: Team to be Ranked #1

NEW
Polymarket

$3,528 Vol.

Polymarket

Ohio St.

$330 Vol.

75%

Oregon

$1,427 Vol.

36%

Texas

$363 Vol.

37%

Notre Dame

$1,113 Vol.

29%

Georgia

$240 Vol.

26%

Indiana

$33 Vol.

26%

Alabama

$0 Vol.

9%

Miami (FL)

$21 Vol.

7%

Michigan

$0 Vol.

5%

Texas A&M

$0 Vol.

5%

LSU

$0 Vol.

4%

Oklahoma

$0 Vol.

4%

Texas Tech

$0 Vol.

4%

USC

$0 Vol.

4%

Florida

$0 Vol.

3%

Penn St.

$0 Vol.

3%

Tennessee

$0 Vol.

3%

This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed team is ranked #1 on the AP top 25 College Football Poll during any gameweek of the 2026-27 season, preseason polls do not count. Otherwise this market will resolve "No". This market does not count any other ranking sources such as other power rankings or CFP rankings. The primary resolution source for this market will be the AP News Top 25 College Football Poll (https://apnews.com/hub/ap-top-25-college-football-poll), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Ohio State enters the 2026 season as the clear preseason favorite to claim the No. 1 ranking, driven by elite returning production, a loaded roster headlined by wideout Jeremiah Smith, and continuity under Ryan Day. Multiple expert rankings and the Coaches Poll place the Buckeyes atop projections, citing their offensive firepower and Big Ten depth despite a demanding early schedule that includes road tests against top conference opponents. Oregon sits as the next most likely option in trader consensus, buoyed by strong overall roster health and Pac-12/Big Ten transition advantages, while Georgia, Texas, and Notre Dame trail with notable questions at quarterback or in the secondary. The market reflects the wisdom of crowds pricing in how voters typically reward perceived talent and historical pedigree in the initial AP Poll. Late roster developments or injuries ahead of Week 1 could still shift implied probabilities.

This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed team is ranked #1 on the AP top 25 College Football Poll during any gameweek of the 2026-27 season, preseason polls do not count. Otherwise this market will resolve "No".

This market does not count any other ranking sources such as other power rankings or CFP rankings.

The primary resolution source for this market will be the AP News Top 25 College Football Poll (https://apnews.com/hub/ap-top-25-college-football-poll), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$3,528
Market Opened
Aug 5, 2026, 11:08 AM ET
This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed team is ranked #1 on the AP top 25 College Football Poll during any gameweek of the 2026-27 season, preseason polls do not count. Otherwise this market will resolve "No". This market does not count any other ranking sources such as other power rankings or CFP rankings. The primary resolution source for this market will be the AP News Top 25 College Football Poll (https://apnews.com/hub/ap-top-25-college-football-poll), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed team is ranked #1 on the AP top 25 College Football Poll during any gameweek of the 2026-27 season, preseason polls do not count. Otherwise this market will resolve "No". This market does not count any other ranking sources such as other power rankings or CFP rankings. The primary resolution source for this market will be the AP News Top 25 College Football Poll (https://apnews.com/hub/ap-top-25-college-football-poll), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Ohio State enters the 2026 season as the clear preseason favorite to claim the No. 1 ranking, driven by elite returning production, a loaded roster headlined by wideout Jeremiah Smith, and continuity under Ryan Day. Multiple expert rankings and the Coaches Poll place the Buckeyes atop projections, citing their offensive firepower and Big Ten depth despite a demanding early schedule that includes road tests against top conference opponents. Oregon sits as the next most likely option in trader consensus, buoyed by strong overall roster health and Pac-12/Big Ten transition advantages, while Georgia, Texas, and Notre Dame trail with notable questions at quarterback or in the secondary. The market reflects the wisdom of crowds pricing in how voters typically reward perceived talent and historical pedigree in the initial AP Poll. Late roster developments or injuries ahead of Week 1 could still shift implied probabilities.

This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed team is ranked #1 on the AP top 25 College Football Poll during any gameweek of the 2026-27 season, preseason polls do not count. Otherwise this market will resolve "No".

This market does not count any other ranking sources such as other power rankings or CFP rankings.

The primary resolution source for this market will be the AP News Top 25 College Football Poll (https://apnews.com/hub/ap-top-25-college-football-poll), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$3,528
Market Opened
Aug 5, 2026, 11:08 AM ET
This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed team is ranked #1 on the AP top 25 College Football Poll during any gameweek of the 2026-27 season, preseason polls do not count. Otherwise this market will resolve "No". This market does not count any other ranking sources such as other power rankings or CFP rankings. The primary resolution source for this market will be the AP News Top 25 College Football Poll (https://apnews.com/hub/ap-top-25-college-football-poll), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"NCAA Football: Team to be Ranked #1" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 17 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Ohio St." at 75%, followed by "Texas" at 37%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 75¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 75% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"NCAA Football: Team to be Ranked #1" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Aug 5, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "NCAA Football: Team to be Ranked #1," browse the 17 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "NCAA Football: Team to be Ranked #1" is "Ohio St." at 75%, meaning the market assigns a 75% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Texas" at 37%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "NCAA Football: Team to be Ranked #1" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.