Curt Cignetti holds the clearest edge in the NCAA Football Coach of the Year market at 49.5% implied probability, driven by his back-to-back awards and Indiana’s rapid rise to national champion in 2025 after transforming a struggling program. Multiple established coaches sit tightly bunched behind him in the mid-20s range, including Matt Campbell, Lane Kiffin, Kirby Smart, Ryan Day, and others, reflecting broad trader consensus on the depth of talent across power-conference programs. Preseason rankings highlight Cignetti’s sustained momentum, yet roster turnover, transfer portal activity, and schedule strength create uncertainty that keeps several contenders viable for the 2026 award. This distribution underscores how recent form, program trajectory, and head-to-head conference implications shape the field ahead of the regular season.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedMatt Campbell 52%
Pete Golding 50%
Bill Belichick 50%
Clark Lea 50%
Matt Campbell
52%
Pete Golding
50%
Bill Belichick
50%
Clark Lea
50%
James Franklin
50%
Jerry Mack
50%
Kyle Whittingham
50%
Lincoln Riley
50%
Matt Rhule
50%
D
50%
E
50%
H
50%
J
50%
Lane Kiffin
50%
Kirby Smart
50%
Deion Sanders
50%
Joey McGuire
50%
Ryan Day
50%
G
50%
I
50%
L
50%
M
50%
Curt Cignetti
50%
Jim Mora
49%
Tony Elliott
47%
Kalen DeBoer
47%
Brent Venables
46%
F
46%
Bob Chesney
46%
Josh Heupel
46%
Jon Sumrall
46%
Kalani Sitake
46%
Mike Elko
46%
K
46%
Marcus Freeman
11%
Mario Cristobal
10%
Steve Sarkisian
10%
Dan Lanning
8%
Matt Campbell 52%
Pete Golding 50%
Bill Belichick 50%
Clark Lea 50%
Matt Campbell
52%
Pete Golding
50%
Bill Belichick
50%
Clark Lea
50%
James Franklin
50%
Jerry Mack
50%
Kyle Whittingham
50%
Lincoln Riley
50%
Matt Rhule
50%
D
50%
E
50%
H
50%
J
50%
Lane Kiffin
50%
Kirby Smart
50%
Deion Sanders
50%
Joey McGuire
50%
Ryan Day
50%
G
50%
I
50%
L
50%
M
50%
Curt Cignetti
50%
Jim Mora
49%
Tony Elliott
47%
Kalen DeBoer
47%
Brent Venables
46%
F
46%
Bob Chesney
46%
Josh Heupel
46%
Jon Sumrall
46%
Kalani Sitake
46%
Mike Elko
46%
K
46%
Marcus Freeman
11%
Mario Cristobal
10%
Steve Sarkisian
10%
Dan Lanning
8%
If the award is not presented, is canceled, or a winner has not been announced by February 10, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other."
If multiple coaches are named co-winners, this market will resolve in favor of the coach whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from AP; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Aug 5, 2026, 2:18 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If the award is not presented, is canceled, or a winner has not been announced by February 10, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other."
If multiple coaches are named co-winners, this market will resolve in favor of the coach whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from AP; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Curt Cignetti holds the clearest edge in the NCAA Football Coach of the Year market at 49.5% implied probability, driven by his back-to-back awards and Indiana’s rapid rise to national champion in 2025 after transforming a struggling program. Multiple established coaches sit tightly bunched behind him in the mid-20s range, including Matt Campbell, Lane Kiffin, Kirby Smart, Ryan Day, and others, reflecting broad trader consensus on the depth of talent across power-conference programs. Preseason rankings highlight Cignetti’s sustained momentum, yet roster turnover, transfer portal activity, and schedule strength create uncertainty that keeps several contenders viable for the 2026 award. This distribution underscores how recent form, program trajectory, and head-to-head conference implications shape the field ahead of the regular season.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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