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icon for NBA: Stephen Curry to leave Warriors?

NBA: Stephen Curry to leave Warriors?

icon for NBA: Stephen Curry to leave Warriors?

NBA: Stephen Curry to leave Warriors?

2% chance
Polymarket

$225,559 Vol.

2% chance
Polymarket

$225,559 Vol.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Stephen Curry is not rostered by the Golden State Warriors before October 22, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If Stephen Curry retires, is released, is traded, or is otherwise not a member of the Golden State Warriors official player roster, this market will resolve to “Yes”. If Stephen Curry is listed on the official roster of the Golden State Warriors as of October 22, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, regardless of his playing status, this market will resolve to “No.” The primary resolution source will be official information from the NBA, Golden State Warriors, and/or Stephen Curry; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Stephen Curry's deep roots with the Golden State Warriors, including four NBA championships and his status as the franchise's all-time leader in key statistical categories, anchor trader confidence that he will not depart. At age 38 entering the final year of his current max deal, recent developments reinforce this outlook: Warriors general manager Mike Dunleavy has publicly affirmed the organization's desire for Curry to finish his career in the Bay Area, with positive extension talks underway ahead of his August 29 eligibility for a potential two-year, $136 million deal. Official team statements and reporting emphasize continuity over any trade or free-agency scenarios. While roster construction around his age and upcoming free agency in 2027 could theoretically open doors, the absence of credible reports of dissatisfaction or external interest sustains the near-certain implied probability reflected in current pricing.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Stephen Curry is not rostered by the Golden State Warriors before October 22, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

If Stephen Curry retires, is released, is traded, or is otherwise not a member of the Golden State Warriors official player roster, this market will resolve to “Yes”.

If Stephen Curry is listed on the official roster of the Golden State Warriors as of October 22, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, regardless of his playing status, this market will resolve to “No.”

The primary resolution source will be official information from the NBA, Golden State Warriors, and/or Stephen Curry; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$225,559
End Date
Oct 22, 2026
Market Opened
Apr 28, 2026, 5:09 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Stephen Curry is not rostered by the Golden State Warriors before October 22, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If Stephen Curry retires, is released, is traded, or is otherwise not a member of the Golden State Warriors official player roster, this market will resolve to “Yes”. If Stephen Curry is listed on the official roster of the Golden State Warriors as of October 22, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, regardless of his playing status, this market will resolve to “No.” The primary resolution source will be official information from the NBA, Golden State Warriors, and/or Stephen Curry; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Stephen Curry is not rostered by the Golden State Warriors before October 22, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If Stephen Curry retires, is released, is traded, or is otherwise not a member of the Golden State Warriors official player roster, this market will resolve to “Yes”. If Stephen Curry is listed on the official roster of the Golden State Warriors as of October 22, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, regardless of his playing status, this market will resolve to “No.” The primary resolution source will be official information from the NBA, Golden State Warriors, and/or Stephen Curry; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Stephen Curry's deep roots with the Golden State Warriors, including four NBA championships and his status as the franchise's all-time leader in key statistical categories, anchor trader confidence that he will not depart. At age 38 entering the final year of his current max deal, recent developments reinforce this outlook: Warriors general manager Mike Dunleavy has publicly affirmed the organization's desire for Curry to finish his career in the Bay Area, with positive extension talks underway ahead of his August 29 eligibility for a potential two-year, $136 million deal. Official team statements and reporting emphasize continuity over any trade or free-agency scenarios. While roster construction around his age and upcoming free agency in 2027 could theoretically open doors, the absence of credible reports of dissatisfaction or external interest sustains the near-certain implied probability reflected in current pricing.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Stephen Curry is not rostered by the Golden State Warriors before October 22, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

If Stephen Curry retires, is released, is traded, or is otherwise not a member of the Golden State Warriors official player roster, this market will resolve to “Yes”.

If Stephen Curry is listed on the official roster of the Golden State Warriors as of October 22, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, regardless of his playing status, this market will resolve to “No.”

The primary resolution source will be official information from the NBA, Golden State Warriors, and/or Stephen Curry; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$225,559
End Date
Oct 22, 2026
Market Opened
Apr 28, 2026, 5:09 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Stephen Curry is not rostered by the Golden State Warriors before October 22, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If Stephen Curry retires, is released, is traded, or is otherwise not a member of the Golden State Warriors official player roster, this market will resolve to “Yes”. If Stephen Curry is listed on the official roster of the Golden State Warriors as of October 22, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, regardless of his playing status, this market will resolve to “No.” The primary resolution source will be official information from the NBA, Golden State Warriors, and/or Stephen Curry; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"NBA: Stephen Curry to leave Warriors?" is a prediction market on Polymarket where traders buy and sell "Yes" or "No" shares based on whether they believe this event will happen. The current crowd-sourced probability is 2% for "Yes." For example, if "Yes" is priced at 2¢, the market collectively assigns a 2% chance that this event will occur. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "NBA: Stephen Curry to leave Warriors?" has generated $225.6K in total trading volume since the market launched on Apr 28, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "NBA: Stephen Curry to leave Warriors?," simply choose whether you believe the answer is "Yes" or "No." Each side has a current price that reflects the market's implied probability. Enter your amount and click "Trade." If you buy "Yes" shares and the outcome resolves as "Yes," each share pays out $1. If it resolves as "No," your "Yes" shares pay $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current probability for "NBA: Stephen Curry to leave Warriors?" is 2% for "Yes." This means the Polymarket crowd currently believes there is a 2% chance that this event will occur. These odds update in real-time based on actual trades, providing a continuously updated signal of what the market expects to happen.

The resolution rules for "NBA: Stephen Curry to leave Warriors?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.