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icon for 2027 NBA Draft Lottery: 1st Pick
Sports·NBA Draft

2027 NBA Draft Lottery: 1st Pick

icon for 2027 NBA Draft Lottery: 1st Pick
Sports·NBA Draft

2027 NBA Draft Lottery: 1st Pick

Indiana Pacers 99%

Atlanta Hawks 99%

Los Angeles Lakers 99%

Miami Heat 99%

Polymarket
NEW

Indiana Pacers 99%

Atlanta Hawks 99%

Los Angeles Lakers 99%

Miami Heat 99%

Polymarket
NEW

Indiana Pacers

$0 Vol.

99%

Atlanta Hawks

$0 Vol.

99%

Los Angeles Lakers

$0 Vol.

99%

Miami Heat

$0 Vol.

99%

Toronto Raptors

$0 Vol.

99%

Washington Wizards

$0 Vol.

99%

Detroit Pistons

$0 Vol.

97%

Oklahoma City Thunder

$0 Vol.

95%

San Antonio Spurs

$0 Vol.

95%

Charlotte Hornets

$0 Vol.

94%

Denver Nuggets

$0 Vol.

94%

New Orleans Pelicans

$0 Vol.

94%

Portland Trail Blazers

$0 Vol.

94%

Boston Celtics

$0 Vol.

90%

Golden State Warriors

$0 Vol.

89%

Utah Jazz

$0 Vol.

89%

Cleveland Cavaliers

$0 Vol.

87%

Sacramento Kings

$0 Vol.

85%

Minnesota Timberwolves

$0 Vol.

50%

New York Knicks

$0 Vol.

50%

Orlando Magic

$0 Vol.

50%

Philadelphia 76ers

$0 Vol.

50%

Phoenix Suns

$0 Vol.

50%

Brooklyn Nets

$0 Vol.

48%

Houston Rockets

$0 Vol.

46%

Los Angeles Clippers

$0 Vol.

46%

Milwaukee Bucks

$0 Vol.

46%

Chicago Bulls

$0 Vol.

46%

Memphis Grizzlies

$0 Vol.

45%

Dallas Mavericks

$0 Vol.

45%

This market will resolve based on which team holds the draft rights to the first overall pick at the conclusion of the 2027 NBA Draft Lottery. If a listed team holds another franchise's draft pick via trade at the time of the lottery, and that traded pick results in the first overall selection, the holder of the draft rights is considered the winner. If a traded pick is subject to protection (e.g., "top-5 protected"), the winner is determined by which team ultimately receives the first overall pick after all protections are applied. If the 2027 NBA Draft Lottery is postponed, not completed, or no team has been announced as the recipient of the first overall pick by June 1, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NBA. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.With the 2026-27 NBA season yet to begin, the market for the 2027 draft lottery's top selection remains tightly bunched because numerous franchises share comparable projected records and roster trajectories entering training camp. Recent offseason moves, including trades, free-agent signings, and draft selections, have left teams like the Magic, 76ers, Suns, Hawks, and Pistons with similar incentives and talent gaps that could influence late-season positioning. The wisdom of crowds reflected in these probabilities underscores the unpredictable nature of regular-season outcomes, where injuries, coaching adjustments, and load management decisions often reshape standings. Lower-priced contenders such as the Timberwolves and Knicks sit further back due to stronger projected cores, while the overall spread highlights how small shifts in team health or performance streaks could rapidly alter implied probabilities before the lottery odds are finalized.

This market will resolve based on which team holds the draft rights to the first overall pick at the conclusion of the 2027 NBA Draft Lottery.

If a listed team holds another franchise's draft pick via trade at the time of the lottery, and that traded pick results in the first overall selection, the holder of the draft rights is considered the winner.

If a traded pick is subject to protection (e.g., "top-5 protected"), the winner is determined by which team ultimately receives the first overall pick after all protections are applied.

If the 2027 NBA Draft Lottery is postponed, not completed, or no team has been announced as the recipient of the first overall pick by June 1, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NBA. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$0
End Date
May 18, 2027
Market Opened
Aug 7, 2026, 12:00 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve based on which team holds the draft rights to the first overall pick at the conclusion of the 2027 NBA Draft Lottery. If a listed team holds another franchise's draft pick via trade at the time of the lottery, and that traded pick results in the first overall selection, the holder of the draft rights is considered the winner. If a traded pick is subject to protection (e.g., "top-5 protected"), the winner is determined by which team ultimately receives the first overall pick after all protections are applied. If the 2027 NBA Draft Lottery is postponed, not completed, or no team has been announced as the recipient of the first overall pick by June 1, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NBA. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve based on which team holds the draft rights to the first overall pick at the conclusion of the 2027 NBA Draft Lottery. If a listed team holds another franchise's draft pick via trade at the time of the lottery, and that traded pick results in the first overall selection, the holder of the draft rights is considered the winner. If a traded pick is subject to protection (e.g., "top-5 protected"), the winner is determined by which team ultimately receives the first overall pick after all protections are applied. If the 2027 NBA Draft Lottery is postponed, not completed, or no team has been announced as the recipient of the first overall pick by June 1, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NBA. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.With the 2026-27 NBA season yet to begin, the market for the 2027 draft lottery's top selection remains tightly bunched because numerous franchises share comparable projected records and roster trajectories entering training camp. Recent offseason moves, including trades, free-agent signings, and draft selections, have left teams like the Magic, 76ers, Suns, Hawks, and Pistons with similar incentives and talent gaps that could influence late-season positioning. The wisdom of crowds reflected in these probabilities underscores the unpredictable nature of regular-season outcomes, where injuries, coaching adjustments, and load management decisions often reshape standings. Lower-priced contenders such as the Timberwolves and Knicks sit further back due to stronger projected cores, while the overall spread highlights how small shifts in team health or performance streaks could rapidly alter implied probabilities before the lottery odds are finalized.

This market will resolve based on which team holds the draft rights to the first overall pick at the conclusion of the 2027 NBA Draft Lottery.

If a listed team holds another franchise's draft pick via trade at the time of the lottery, and that traded pick results in the first overall selection, the holder of the draft rights is considered the winner.

If a traded pick is subject to protection (e.g., "top-5 protected"), the winner is determined by which team ultimately receives the first overall pick after all protections are applied.

If the 2027 NBA Draft Lottery is postponed, not completed, or no team has been announced as the recipient of the first overall pick by June 1, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NBA. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$0
End Date
May 18, 2027
Market Opened
Aug 7, 2026, 12:00 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve based on which team holds the draft rights to the first overall pick at the conclusion of the 2027 NBA Draft Lottery. If a listed team holds another franchise's draft pick via trade at the time of the lottery, and that traded pick results in the first overall selection, the holder of the draft rights is considered the winner. If a traded pick is subject to protection (e.g., "top-5 protected"), the winner is determined by which team ultimately receives the first overall pick after all protections are applied. If the 2027 NBA Draft Lottery is postponed, not completed, or no team has been announced as the recipient of the first overall pick by June 1, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NBA. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"2027 NBA Draft Lottery: 1st Pick" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 30 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Indiana Pacers" at 50%, followed by "Atlanta Hawks" at 50%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 50¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 50% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"2027 NBA Draft Lottery: 1st Pick" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Aug 7, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "2027 NBA Draft Lottery: 1st Pick," browse the 30 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "2027 NBA Draft Lottery: 1st Pick" is "Indiana Pacers" at 50%, meaning the market assigns a 50% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Atlanta Hawks" at 50%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "2027 NBA Draft Lottery: 1st Pick" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.