The pending trade sending Kawhi Leonard from the LA Clippers to the Toronto Raptors drives the dominant 79.7% market pricing on Toronto, as Leonard has signaled he would only commit long-term to an extension in Toronto after the deal. The Clippers agreed to the framework in late June involving Brandon Ingram and draft assets but paused completion in early July pending the NBA’s salary-cap circumvention investigation tied to prior sponsorship arrangements with Leonard. Recent leaks about a second undisclosed sponsor deal have introduced additional uncertainty, keeping the Clippers at 14.8% as a fallback if the transaction stalls. Lower probabilities across other teams reflect Leonard’s limited willingness to commit elsewhere and the Clippers’ push toward a youth reset ahead of 2026-27 training camp.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedNBA: Kawhi Leonard Next Team
Toronto Raptors 79.8%
Los Angeles Clippers 14.9%
San Antonio Spurs 3.8%
Detroit Pistons 1.8%
$296,146 Vol.
$296,146 Vol.
Toronto Raptors
80%
Los Angeles Clippers
15%
San Antonio Spurs
4%
Detroit Pistons
2%
Golden State Warriors
1%
Oklahoma City Thunder
<1%
Sacramento Kings
<1%
Boston Celtics
<1%
Dallas Mavericks
<1%
Indiana Pacers
<1%
Milwaukee Bucks
<1%
Orlando Magic
<1%
Washington Wizards
<1%
Los Angeles Lakers
<1%
New Orleans Pelicans
<1%
Phoenix Suns
<1%
Atlanta Hawks
<1%
Cleveland Cavaliers
<1%
Houston Rockets
<1%
Miami Heat
<1%
Chicago Bulls
<1%
Memphis Grizzlies
<1%
New York Knicks
<1%
Portland Trail Blazers
<1%
Utah Jazz
<1%
Brooklyn Nets
<1%
Denver Nuggets
<1%
Minnesota Timberwolves
<1%
Philadelphia 76ers
<1%
Charlotte Hornets
<1%
Toronto Raptors 79.8%
Los Angeles Clippers 14.9%
San Antonio Spurs 3.8%
Detroit Pistons 1.8%
$296,146 Vol.
$296,146 Vol.
Toronto Raptors
80%
Los Angeles Clippers
15%
San Antonio Spurs
4%
Detroit Pistons
2%
Golden State Warriors
1%
Oklahoma City Thunder
<1%
Sacramento Kings
<1%
Boston Celtics
<1%
Dallas Mavericks
<1%
Indiana Pacers
<1%
Milwaukee Bucks
<1%
Orlando Magic
<1%
Washington Wizards
<1%
Los Angeles Lakers
<1%
New Orleans Pelicans
<1%
Phoenix Suns
<1%
Atlanta Hawks
<1%
Cleveland Cavaliers
<1%
Houston Rockets
<1%
Miami Heat
<1%
Chicago Bulls
<1%
Memphis Grizzlies
<1%
New York Knicks
<1%
Portland Trail Blazers
<1%
Utah Jazz
<1%
Brooklyn Nets
<1%
Denver Nuggets
<1%
Minnesota Timberwolves
<1%
Philadelphia 76ers
<1%
Charlotte Hornets
<1%
If Kawhi Leonard does not officially join a new team by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Los Angeles Clippers”.
If Kawhi Leonard joins a team that is not listed, this market will resolve to “Other”.
If Kawhi Leonard retires or is not under contract with any professional team by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
An official acquisition announcement prior to the market’s close date will immediately resolve this market to the corresponding option.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official announcements from the Los Angeles Clippers and/or the acquiring team. A consensus of credible media reporting may also be used to resolve the market.
Market Opened: Jun 29, 2026, 10:46 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If Kawhi Leonard does not officially join a new team by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Los Angeles Clippers”.
If Kawhi Leonard joins a team that is not listed, this market will resolve to “Other”.
If Kawhi Leonard retires or is not under contract with any professional team by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
An official acquisition announcement prior to the market’s close date will immediately resolve this market to the corresponding option.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official announcements from the Los Angeles Clippers and/or the acquiring team. A consensus of credible media reporting may also be used to resolve the market.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The pending trade sending Kawhi Leonard from the LA Clippers to the Toronto Raptors drives the dominant 79.7% market pricing on Toronto, as Leonard has signaled he would only commit long-term to an extension in Toronto after the deal. The Clippers agreed to the framework in late June involving Brandon Ingram and draft assets but paused completion in early July pending the NBA’s salary-cap circumvention investigation tied to prior sponsorship arrangements with Leonard. Recent leaks about a second undisclosed sponsor deal have introduced additional uncertainty, keeping the Clippers at 14.8% as a fallback if the transaction stalls. Lower probabilities across other teams reflect Leonard’s limited willingness to commit elsewhere and the Clippers’ push toward a youth reset ahead of 2026-27 training camp.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated



Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions