Modern pitching management in MLB, including strict pitch counts, early hooks to bullpens, and matchup-specific relief usage, continues to suppress complete games and nine-inning dominance, contributing to the absence of any perfectos through the first four-plus months of the 2026 season. The last such outing occurred in 2023, and no-hitters have also been scarce recently. With roughly half the regular-season schedule remaining and historical gaps of multiple years without a perfecto common, trader consensus reflects these structural barriers. Late-season roster health or an outlier starter could theoretically alter the outlook, but current form and usage trends support the elevated probability assigned to no perfect game occurring.