Zack Wheeler leads NL Comeback Player of the Year trading at 70% implied probability after recovering from 2025 thoracic outlet syndrome surgery that sidelined him late in the prior season. The Phillies right-hander returned to the rotation in late April 2026 following a gradual buildup and has posted a career-best sub-2.20 ERA across roughly 100 innings while anchoring a strong rotation amid Philadelphia’s improved record. Sandy Alcantara sits second at 14% on the strength of his healthy 2026 campaign following 2024 Tommy John surgery and a difficult 2025 return, evidenced by a 13-6 mark and 3.52 ERA through late summer. Lower-probability names such as Tanner Scott, Brandon Woodruff, and Michael Harris II reflect more modest or less-documented recovery narratives relative to the front-runners’ established recent dominance.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedZack Wheeler 73%
Sandy Alcantara 11%
Brandon Woodruff 4.9%
Michael Harris II 4.3%
$148,714 Vol.
$148,714 Vol.
Zack Wheeler
73%
Sandy Alcantara
15%
Brandon Woodruff
5%
Michael Harris II
4%
Tanner Scott
4%
Ezequiel Tovar
1%
O'Neil Cruz
1%
Shota Imanaga
1%
Porter Hodge
1%
Sean Manaea
1%
Zack Wheeler 73%
Sandy Alcantara 11%
Brandon Woodruff 4.9%
Michael Harris II 4.3%
$148,714 Vol.
$148,714 Vol.
Zack Wheeler
73%
Sandy Alcantara
15%
Brandon Woodruff
5%
Michael Harris II
4%
Tanner Scott
4%
Ezequiel Tovar
1%
O'Neil Cruz
1%
Shota Imanaga
1%
Porter Hodge
1%
Sean Manaea
1%
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Mar 26, 2026, 5:10 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Zack Wheeler leads NL Comeback Player of the Year trading at 70% implied probability after recovering from 2025 thoracic outlet syndrome surgery that sidelined him late in the prior season. The Phillies right-hander returned to the rotation in late April 2026 following a gradual buildup and has posted a career-best sub-2.20 ERA across roughly 100 innings while anchoring a strong rotation amid Philadelphia’s improved record. Sandy Alcantara sits second at 14% on the strength of his healthy 2026 campaign following 2024 Tommy John surgery and a difficult 2025 return, evidenced by a 13-6 mark and 3.52 ERA through late summer. Lower-probability names such as Tanner Scott, Brandon Woodruff, and Michael Harris II reflect more modest or less-documented recovery narratives relative to the front-runners’ established recent dominance.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated

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